📅 This week, the Fed's internal debate goes public - and the UK's inflation story gets its next chapter.

Wednesday is the day. Two red events. Twelve hours apart.

UK CPI drops at 06:00 UTC. FOMC Minutes drop at 18:00 UTC.
One tells us if the Bank of England can cut. The other tells us how close the Fed came to hiking.

And overnight Thursday - Japan CPI. If it hits 2.0%, the BOJ's September hike is back on.

🟠 Mon Aug 17 — Japan Q2 GDP ACTUAL: +0.3% QoQ (miss) | NY Empire Mfg
🟠 Tue Aug 18 — UK Employment + US Housing Starts + Industrial Production
🔴🔴 Wed Aug 19 | 06:00 UTC — UK CPI (Jul) ← prev +2.6% YoY
🔴🔴 Wed Aug 19 | 18:00 UTC — FOMC Minutes (Jul 28–29 Meeting)
🟠 Thu Aug 20 | 12:30 UTC — Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Mfg
🔴 Thu Aug 20 | 23:30 UTC — Japan CPI (Jul) ← fcst +2.0% YoY
🟠 Fri Aug 21 | 06:00 UTC — UK Retail Sales
🟠 Fri Aug 21 | 13:45 UTC — S&P Flash PMIs (Mfg + Services)

📅 This week, the Fed Chair speaks to the world.

Wednesday delivers the biggest data double of the month, PCE inflation and GDP second estimate, both at 12:30 UTC. Then Friday, Chair Warsh takes the Jackson Hole stage for his first-ever keynote as Fed Chair.

Hot PCE on Wednesday = hawkish Warsh on Friday.
Cool PCE = the market's biggest summer surprise.

Every trader on the planet will be watching.

🟢 Mon Aug 24 — Chicago Fed CFNAI. Quiet pre-positioning day.
🟠 Tue Aug 25 — RBA Minutes + Consumer Confidence + New Home Sales
🔴🔴 Wed Aug 26 | 12:30 UTC — GDP Q2 2nd Est + PCE Jul + Core PCE + Personal Income
🟠 Thu Aug 27 | 12:30 UTC — Jobless Claims | Jackson Hole Day 1 opens
🔴🔴 Fri Aug 28 | ~14:00 UTC — Warsh Jackson Hole Keynote (1st ever as Chair)
🔴🔴 Fri Aug 28 | 12:30 UTC — NFP Annual Revision Prelim
🟠 Fri Aug 28 | 14:00 UTC — UoM Consumer Sentiment Final


📊 Trade the New not the Noise
#Bonafx #JacksonHole #PCE #GDP #Warsh #EconomicCalendar #ForexTrading #FedWatch #USD

📌 Tue Sep 1 | 09:00 UTC — Eurozone CPI Flash (Aug) 🔴
Sets the ECB September tone.

📌 Tue Sep 1 | 14:00 UTC — ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 🔴
July: 55.6% — highest since May 2022. Does the expansion hold in August?

📌 Tue Sep 1 | 14:00 UTC — JOLTS Job Openings (Jul) 🔴
June had 7.6 million openings. Still historically tight despite the NFP miss.

📌 Wed Sep 2 | 12:15 UTC — ADP Employment (Aug) 🟠
July ADP: +98K. Versus NFP: −23K. That gap tells the real pre-NFP story.

📌 Wed Sep 2 | 13:45 UTC — Bank of Canada Rate Decision 🔴🔴
Hold at 2.25% — 7th consecutive expected. Canada CPI rose to 3.0% in July. Macklem press conference at 14:30 UTC.

📌 Thu Sep 3 | 14:00 UTC — ISM Services PMI (Aug) 🔴🔴
Services covers 80% of the US economy. 54.1% in July — 25th straight month of expansion.

📌 Fri Sep 4 | 12:30 UTC — NFP + Unemployment Rate + Avg Hourly Earnings 🔴🔴
Canada Jobs drops at the exact same time.

📊 Trade the News not the Noise

📅 Quiet start. Explosive finish.

Monday is Labor Day - US markets closed.
The Fed is in its quiet period - no FedSpeak all week.

That leaves Thursday and Friday to do all the heavy lifting.

🟢 Mon Sep 7 — US Labor Day. All US markets closed.
🟢 Tue Sep 8 — NFIB Small Business Optimism. Quiet.
🟢 Wed Sep 9 — No major releases. Pre-positioning.
🔴🔴 Thu Sep 10 | 12:15 UTC — ECB Rate Decision + Staff Projections
🔴🔴 Thu Sep 10 | 12:45 UTC — Lagarde Press Conference
🔴🔴 Thu Sep 10 | 12:30 UTC — US PPI (Aug) ← prev 0.0% MoM / +4.7% YoY
🟠 Fri Sep 11 | 06:00 UTC — UK GDP (Jul) + Industrial Production
🔴🔴 Fri Sep 11 | 12:30 UTC — US CPI (Aug) + Core CPI ← FINAL PRINT BEFORE SEP 16 FOMC

🕐 All times UTC. All events verified from official sources.
⚠️ No FedSpeak this week — FOMC quiet period Sep 5–17.
⚠️ Next week: FOMC Sep 16 @ 18:00 UTC | Retail Sales Sep 16 @ 12:30 UTC | BoE Sep 17.