#Sudan 🇸🇩: Rapid Support Forces (#RSF) carried out a missile strike against combatants of Sudanese Armed Forces (#SAF).

The attack appears to be carried out with a #Russia-made 🇷🇺 9M133-1 Kornet-E missile —number of previously fired missiles can be seen as well.

https://twitter.com/war_noir/status/1778842349637865884

🔎🇨🇳🇷🇺🇺🇦 Through the Lens: Chinese think-tank on the Ukraine crisis

Throughout the year, the crisis in Ukraine has exhibited several features. A war of attrition with significant losses — the Ukraine crisis has thus far lasted more than 600 days, and both sides have invested considerable human, material, and financial resources.

A protracted tug-of-war — in 2023, the two sides have made limited changes in the front. Neither Russia nor Ukraine can launch a decisive offensive to turn the tide of the war.

The road to a political settlement Is long and difficult. The reasons are:

1️⃣ The Russian and Ukrainian positions are diametrically opposed. Russia cannot accept defeat, refuses to abandon the existing front, and will continue pushing forward. Ukraine refuses to acknowledge the status quo and seeks to recover its territory. The battlefield will remain relatively balanced in the short term, making it difficult to see fundamental changes.

2️⃣ The United States and Europe will continue to aid Ukraine, but fatigue is becoming apparent. At the beginning of the Ukraine crisis, 72% of Americans actively supported aid to Ukraine, but that number had fallen to approximately 63% by October 2023. In April 2022, 33% of EU respondents strongly supported supplying arms to Ukraine, a figure that had dropped to 24% in August 2023.

Broad and far-reaching global impact

The prolonged Ukraine crisis has contributed to a reconfiguration of relations among the major countries and the global order.

▪️One such change is the definitive termination of the post-Cold War order. Russia and the United States are at loggerheads, and through the Ukrainian crisis, they hope to push for a renewal of the international order.

The second is the rising risk of conflict between the major countries. The Ukraine crisis has lowered the bottom line of national competition. All parties are now willing to resort to extreme means to achieve their goals.

▪️The third is the strengthening of the Western camp. The US has also greatly exaggerated the “Russian threat” and further activated small multilateral security mechanisms with Japan and South Korea, the UK, and Australia.

The strategic buffer between NATO and Russia has disappeared, creating a clear geopolitical divide and plunging Europe into a new Cold War.

🔻 The Ukraine crisis has sparked a series of regional hotspots:

In September 2023, Azerbaijan began an anti-terrorist operation in the Nagorno-Karabakh region, achieving total victory.

The US and the West have pushed Japan and South Korea to strengthen cooperation and plotted to strengthen the Northeast Asian alliance system; this is likely to result in the great power game around the Korean Peninsula becoming increasingly fierce.

The adjustment of relations between the major countries brought about by the Ukraine crisis is also an incentive for resuming the Israeli—Palestinian conflict.

❗️The protracted Ukraine crisis is one of the most critical events in the evolution of the contemporary international order. The international community must make concerted efforts to advance the peace process.

Full report

China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations is a prominent think-tank working directly under Chinese government.

#China #Russia #Ukraine

@asianomics

#Sudan 🇸🇩: Rapid Support Forces (#RSF) reportedly destroyed a Main Battle Tank belonging to Sudanese Armed Forces.

The attack seems to be carried out with a possible #Russia-made 🇷🇺 9M133-1 'Kornet-E' anti-tank guided missile (ATGM).

https://twitter.com/war_noir/status/1784441209752019024

🇧🇾🏴 The arrest of members of the terrorist cell "Jamaat Ansarullah" in Belarus raises a number of important questions in our view.

▪️Firstly, the terrorist attack at "Crocus" involving radical Islamist groups from Tajikistan was likely not the only goal of the same organizers. Something similar could have been planned in Belarus to destabilize the domestic political situation.

▪️Secondly, "Jamaat Ansarullah" rarely appears in the media, especially in the context of arrests. However, their activation in conjunction with "Wilayat Khorasan" indirectly confirms the involvement of external stakeholders who have seen Tajik radicals as an effective tool for carrying out terrorist attacks.

▪️And thirdly, there are growing concerns that the ethnic Tajik riots in the Afghan Badakhshan and the war of local groups against the Taliban significantly simplifies the task of terrorists in recruiting the oppressed population and stimulates the spread of radical movements across the post-Soviet space.

🔻All this needs to be taken into account when shaping Russian migration policy.

#Belarus #Russia #terrorism
@rybar

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#Russia / #Ukraine 🇷🇺🇺🇦: A combatant of #Ukrainian Armed Forces released a video of various weapons used on the frontline.

The video shows FN SCAR-H rifle (from #Belgium 🇧🇪), MSBS Grot C16 FB-M1 rifle (from #Poland 🇵🇱), M72A5-C1 Anti-Tank weapon (from #Canada 🇨🇦) and Soviet Stechkin APS pistol.

https://x.com/war_noir/status/1795801076651733341

#Russia / #Ukraine 🇷🇺🇺🇦: Pro-Russian Partisan group "Russian Kherson" reportedly carried out a shooting attack on #Ukrainian soldiers who were conscripting residents in #Kherson.

Fighters of the group appear to be armed with common 5.45x39mm AK-74/AKS-74 assault rifles.

https://x.com/war_noir/status/1799505828975661257

#Russia 🇷🇺: A footage shows armed militants (likely affiliated with #ISIS / #ISKP) during the shooting attack in #Dagestan.

Militants seem to be armed with a scoped AR-15 rifle and a possible 7.62x39mm 'MA-136-SU' carbine.

https://x.com/war_noir/status/1804920065868865548