Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
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๐จ They were studying to become teachers. Learning English. Sleeping in their dorms. Ukraine sent 16 drones and killed them. Starlink guided every single one.
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๐ฏ3
Forwarded from AMK Mapping
Russia intends to launch another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine in the coming days. Here's what is known about their strike plans so far.
What could be used:
- Kh-101 cruise missiles from 4-6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase and possibly Engels-2 Airbase. Russia likely still needs to equip 2-3 of these bombers at Engels-2 Airbase with missiles, after which they may redeploy to Olenya Airbase.
- Kh-101 cruise missiles from 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase. It is unknown if they are equipped with missiles yet, but they will be soon if they haven't already.
- Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles from 2-6 MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. At least two of these aircraft are already equipped with missiles.
- Kh-22/32 cruise missiles launched from 3-6 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase. At least 2 of these aircraft have been equipped with missiles for at least the last month. More may have been equipped since then.
- Up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles launched from two ships at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai. These ships were recently re-equipped with missiles following the most recent massive missile attack.
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles from Bryansk, Kursk, Voronezh, and Rostov Oblasts. New deliveries of missiles have been made to OTRK installations in these locations, however the number expected to be used is unknown as of now.
- 1-3 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles launched from near Manturovo, Kursk Oblast. This is a new launch site that was used for the first time in the most recent massive missile attack, and has recently received new deliveries of missiles.
- Up to 8 Iskander-K cruise missiles from Kursk Oblast. New deliveries of missiles to launch positions here (presumably in northern Kursk Oblast) were made recently.
- Hundreds of Geran-2, Geran-3, and Gerbera drones from several different launch sites surrounding Ukraine.
Not all of the weapons used above will be used - this is just what there is information on so far. The missiles with the highest probability of use are Kh-101s, Iskander-Ks, Kalibrs, and Iskander-Ms.
The highest threat is to Kyiv, especially the military industrial complex and decision-making centres across the city. The highest threat is for the next 3 days, specifically between 12am and 7am, but there is also a possibility that the attack takes place this weekend instead.
What could be used:
- Kh-101 cruise missiles from 4-6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase and possibly Engels-2 Airbase. Russia likely still needs to equip 2-3 of these bombers at Engels-2 Airbase with missiles, after which they may redeploy to Olenya Airbase.
- Kh-101 cruise missiles from 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase. It is unknown if they are equipped with missiles yet, but they will be soon if they haven't already.
- Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles from 2-6 MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. At least two of these aircraft are already equipped with missiles.
- Kh-22/32 cruise missiles launched from 3-6 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase. At least 2 of these aircraft have been equipped with missiles for at least the last month. More may have been equipped since then.
- Up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles launched from two ships at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai. These ships were recently re-equipped with missiles following the most recent massive missile attack.
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles from Bryansk, Kursk, Voronezh, and Rostov Oblasts. New deliveries of missiles have been made to OTRK installations in these locations, however the number expected to be used is unknown as of now.
- 1-3 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles launched from near Manturovo, Kursk Oblast. This is a new launch site that was used for the first time in the most recent massive missile attack, and has recently received new deliveries of missiles.
- Up to 8 Iskander-K cruise missiles from Kursk Oblast. New deliveries of missiles to launch positions here (presumably in northern Kursk Oblast) were made recently.
- Hundreds of Geran-2, Geran-3, and Gerbera drones from several different launch sites surrounding Ukraine.
Not all of the weapons used above will be used - this is just what there is information on so far. The missiles with the highest probability of use are Kh-101s, Iskander-Ks, Kalibrs, and Iskander-Ms.
The highest threat is to Kyiv, especially the military industrial complex and decision-making centres across the city. The highest threat is for the next 3 days, specifically between 12am and 7am, but there is also a possibility that the attack takes place this weekend instead.
โค5๐ฅ1
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โผ๏ธUKRAINIAN POSTโผ๏ธ
"It's going to be loud. If you can't take it anymore, you need to take a break from living in Kyiv... Psychologically, you need to prepare for destruction in the capital," โ Kuleba
Lavrov has asked to pass on a message from Putin to Trump regarding Russia's readiness to strike at Kyiv.
https://t.me/insiderUKR/125239
"It's going to be loud. If you can't take it anymore, you need to take a break from living in Kyiv... Psychologically, you need to prepare for destruction in the capital," โ Kuleba
Lavrov has asked to pass on a message from Putin to Trump regarding Russia's readiness to strike at Kyiv.
https://t.me/insiderUKR/125239
๐ป2
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โผ๏ธUKRAINIAN POSTโผ๏ธ
Odessa is being prepared for all-around defense: the construction of multi-kilometer anti-tank trenches and bunkers is being completed around the city, barbed wire is being installed, โ regional administration of the "South" Territorial Defense Forces.
https://t.me/insiderUKR/125242
Odessa is being prepared for all-around defense: the construction of multi-kilometer anti-tank trenches and bunkers is being completed around the city, barbed wire is being installed, โ regional administration of the "South" Territorial Defense Forces.
https://t.me/insiderUKR/125242
๐คก5
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (J Asbery)
After the nighttime American strikes on southern Iran, Tehran stated that further US actions in the Middle East could lead to a sharp rise in oil prices - up to $200 per barrel. This was written on Telegram by the official representative of the central operational headquarters "Khatam al-Anbia" of the Iranian armed forces, Ibrahim Zolfakari.
"The US government has repeatedly demonstrated that it only understands the language of force. Get ready for oil at $200 per barrel," he wrote.
Zolfakari added that the continuation of US "military adventures" in the region makes any negotiations or agreements between the parties impossible.
@Slavyangrad
"The US government has repeatedly demonstrated that it only understands the language of force. Get ready for oil at $200 per barrel," he wrote.
Zolfakari added that the continuation of US "military adventures" in the region makes any negotiations or agreements between the parties impossible.
@Slavyangrad
โค1๐ฅ1
๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท US Secretary of State says:
โ
โReaching an agreement with Iran is still possible within days despite the US strikesโ
โ
โReaching an agreement with Iran is still possible within days despite the US strikesโ
๐คก11
Forwarded from AMK Mapping
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Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an IDF fuel truck in the city of Bint Jbeil, southern Lebanon.
โค5โก3
Forwarded from AMK Mapping
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Hezbollah released another compilation video showing a series of recent FPV drone strikes on Israeli positions in the town of Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon.
The following was targeted:
- A gathering of IDF soldiers (by a drone-dropped explosive).
- Two ammunition storage facilities.
- A Merkava tank
- Three shelters containing what appears to be Humvee vehicles.
- A military excavator
The video also showed the launch of mortars, kamikazed drones, and rockets towards Israeli positions in Al-Bayada. Reconnaissance on the targets hit were carried out by FPV drones both before and afterwards.
According to Hezbollah, Israeli forces evacuated a number of their positions following the strikes.
The following was targeted:
- A gathering of IDF soldiers (by a drone-dropped explosive).
- Two ammunition storage facilities.
- A Merkava tank
- Three shelters containing what appears to be Humvee vehicles.
- A military excavator
The video also showed the launch of mortars, kamikazed drones, and rockets towards Israeli positions in Al-Bayada. Reconnaissance on the targets hit were carried out by FPV drones both before and afterwards.
According to Hezbollah, Israeli forces evacuated a number of their positions following the strikes.
โค6
Forwarded from AMK Mapping
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Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an IDF soldier in the town of Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon, which either seriously wounded or killed him.
Notably, the drone is equipped with night vision imaging. This appears to be the first Hezbollah FPV drone strike to take place at night.
Notably, the drone is equipped with night vision imaging. This appears to be the first Hezbollah FPV drone strike to take place at night.
โค6
Forwarded from AMK Mapping
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Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an IDF vehicle, presumably transporting soldiers, in the town of Misgav Am, southern Lebanon.
โค3
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท BREAKING: Two IRGC Navy speedboats were targeted by American fighter jets in the Persian Gulf, and four sailors were killed
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
๐คฌ2
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โโ๏ธ๐บ๐ธ/๐ฎ๐ท/๐ด๐ฒ NEW: Iran struck an oil tanker off the coast of Oman, per UKMTO
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
โ ๐ฎ๐ฑ/๐ฑ๐ง NEW: Israeli airstrikes have been taking place across Lebanon throughout today, with the exception of Beirut, the only place still off-limits
But I donโt think thatโll be the case for long, as Israel will try to sabotage the U.S.-Iran MoU.
@Middle_East_Spectator
But I donโt think thatโll be the case for long, as Israel will try to sabotage the U.S.-Iran MoU.
@Middle_East_Spectator
๐ก6๐คฌ1
Zapselye and Ryasnoye in the Sumy direction are in good Russian hands...
The capture of Zapselye, located just outside recently liberated Myropolye near the border with Russia's Kursk region, allows Russia's "North" group of forces to expand their bridgehead in the Sumy region, preventing the enemy from invading Russian border villages and creating the conditions for an attack on the city of Sumy from the northeast direction. Next in line are Velikaia Rybitsa, Mogritsa, and Grunovka.
With the liberation of Ryasnoe, Russia's "North" group of forces continues to deepen the bridgehead on Ukrainian territory stretching for 9 kilometers along the Popovka-Vysokoe-Grabovskoye line. With the liberation of Novodmitrovka 5 kilometers to the north, the front on this section has leveled off along the Novodmitrovka-Taratutino-Ryasnoe line.
(394 settlements in the last 419 days, two settlements in one day)
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
https://t.me/mod_russia/63977
https://t.me/rosich_russia/90189
https://t.me/opersvodki/32778?single
The capture of Zapselye, located just outside recently liberated Myropolye near the border with Russia's Kursk region, allows Russia's "North" group of forces to expand their bridgehead in the Sumy region, preventing the enemy from invading Russian border villages and creating the conditions for an attack on the city of Sumy from the northeast direction. Next in line are Velikaia Rybitsa, Mogritsa, and Grunovka.
With the liberation of Ryasnoe, Russia's "North" group of forces continues to deepen the bridgehead on Ukrainian territory stretching for 9 kilometers along the Popovka-Vysokoe-Grabovskoye line. With the liberation of Novodmitrovka 5 kilometers to the north, the front on this section has leveled off along the Novodmitrovka-Taratutino-Ryasnoe line.
(394 settlements in the last 419 days, two settlements in one day)
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
https://t.me/mod_russia/63977
https://t.me/rosich_russia/90189
https://t.me/opersvodki/32778?single
โค3๐2