Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇮🇷 NEW: Contrary to reports that Iran’s Air Force was completely destroyed, an Iranian F-4 ‘Phantom’ is seen in an undisclosed location after being deployed for cruise missile and drone hunting operations
In front, a soldier of the 65th NOHED Special Forces protecting it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
In front, a soldier of the 65th NOHED Special Forces protecting it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Analyst Intel
🇮🇷⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱 Pentagon to blockade IRAN’S ports. note: i say restart the war and let those ships come closer.
🧐 Iran can Qwadar port in Pakistan to ship its oil. The golf countries will be affected the most.
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War Monitor
⚡️Trump posts image portraying himself as Jesus Christ.
🇻🇦⚔️🇺🇸🔻Trump about Pope Leo.
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🇱🇧⚔️🇮🇱 Israeli Health Ministry says:
Northern hospitals have received 10 casualties since this morning.
Yesterday, Hospitals in the north has received 40 casualties.
Northern hospitals have received 10 casualties since this morning.
Yesterday, Hospitals in the north has received 40 casualties.
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🇮🇷🇺🇸🇹🇭The Iranian Embassy in Thailand stated that Trump's idea of imposing a blockade on Iran is so stupid that they didn't even come up with a meme about it.
A blockade of Iran = a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz = a blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait = oil at over 200 dollars per barrel.
Blockade that get a blockade that will make a new blockade.
Nice
A blockade of Iran = a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz = a blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait = oil at over 200 dollars per barrel.
Blockade that get a blockade that will make a new blockade.
Nice
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🇨🇳🇮🇷⚡️Five Chinese COSCO tankers scheduled to transit the Strait of Hormuz this week are now stuck and will not proceed until the situation clears up.
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🇮🇷/🇸🇦 The Saudi Foreign Minister once again spoke by phone with Abbas Araghchi, Iran's Foreign Minister, after a deadlock in negotiations between Tehran and Washington in Pakistan.
It is noteworthy that these days, the only Gulf countries directly in contact with Iran are Oman, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar; however, the UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait do not have such direct communication.
It is noteworthy that these days, the only Gulf countries directly in contact with Iran are Oman, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar; however, the UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait do not have such direct communication.
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The restoration of all the bridges and railways that were bombed by the enemy in Iran.
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Analyst Intel
Photo
I doubt Trump will understand this equation but ΔO_BSOH > 0 = f(f(O)) > f(O) is worth understanding.
Δ (delta) just means “change,” so ΔO_BSOH > 0 means oil disruption is increasing due to a Strait of Hormuz blockade.
f(O) is the first-order effect, the market’s immediate response, prices go up.
f(f(O)) > f(O) is the second-order effect, that response gets amplified again pushing prices even higher.
Ghalibaf’s point is simple: if Hormuz disruption worsens, price increases won’t be linear, they’ll compound.
In plain terms, if you escalate with the blockade in Hormuz, gas prices won’t just rise once, they’ll surge beyond the first spike, and today’s “high” prices will look cheap.
Δ (delta) just means “change,” so ΔO_BSOH > 0 means oil disruption is increasing due to a Strait of Hormuz blockade.
f(O) is the first-order effect, the market’s immediate response, prices go up.
f(f(O)) > f(O) is the second-order effect, that response gets amplified again pushing prices even higher.
Ghalibaf’s point is simple: if Hormuz disruption worsens, price increases won’t be linear, they’ll compound.
In plain terms, if you escalate with the blockade in Hormuz, gas prices won’t just rise once, they’ll surge beyond the first spike, and today’s “high” prices will look cheap.
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🟡🇮🇱🔻Reports indicate a Hezbollah ambush in the Bint Jbeil area left more than 11 Israelis dead.
#Hezbollah
#Hezbollah
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A Turkish journalist in Pakistan reported that
Abbas Araqchi and Witkov nearly came to blows during talks about the Strait of Hormuz.
Witkov said the Strait of Hormuz must be opened under any circumstances, to which Araqchi replied, "We are at the negotiating table, not issuing orders. You could have opened it in 40 days; you won't be able to open it for even a minute."
Abbas Araqchi and Witkov nearly came to blows during talks about the Strait of Hormuz.
Witkov said the Strait of Hormuz must be opened under any circumstances, to which Araqchi replied, "We are at the negotiating table, not issuing orders. You could have opened it in 40 days; you won't be able to open it for even a minute."
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🟡 3 security incidents in south Lebanon
In addition, Hezbollah missiles and drones have been firing at the Zionist colony's North non-stop since this morning
In addition, Hezbollah missiles and drones have been firing at the Zionist colony's North non-stop since this morning
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🇮🇷⚡️🇮🇱 Zionist Media Channel 13:
"There are SO MANY Iranian spies in Israel, they formed a Special Unit with Shin Bet and the Police. So far there are 38 Cases with over 50 spies, Israelis are selling out Israel for a few bucks, not a lot of money..."
"There are SO MANY Iranian spies in Israel, they formed a Special Unit with Shin Bet and the Police. So far there are 38 Cases with over 50 spies, Israelis are selling out Israel for a few bucks, not a lot of money..."
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