🇺🇸❗️Trump admits he has no other cards left but bombing civilian infrastructure:
“The only thing left really is their water, which would be very devastating to hit.”
I would hate to do it, but it’s their water, their desalination plants, and their electric generating plants.
“We could have them all down. And I mean down, like you couldn’t have electricity for ten years…”
You’d probably never be able to build them again.
“I think we pretty much maxed out, other than those few items.“
“The only thing left really is their water, which would be very devastating to hit.”
I would hate to do it, but it’s their water, their desalination plants, and their electric generating plants.
“We could have them all down. And I mean down, like you couldn’t have electricity for ten years…”
You’d probably never be able to build them again.
“I think we pretty much maxed out, other than those few items.“
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🇮🇷 Secretary of the Iranian Government Media Council:
Iran is not Venezuela, and the credibility of American threats has eroded.
Iran is not Venezuela, and the credibility of American threats has eroded.
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🇺🇸 Trump's blockade & its dynamics:
- He got out of his "Powerplant & Bridge Day" ultimatum
- China-linked ships do most of the current traffic at the Strait of Hormuz
- China can rein-in Iran to some extend by limiting provision of satellite-intel targeting data
- But China can also provide targeting data on USN vessles, if China-linked tankers are attacked by 🇺🇸
- Dramatic impact on Global energy prices will show themselves almost immediately before any blockade effects are felt in Iran ⏱️
- Iran's supplies & self-suffciency allow it to sit this out much less affected than the Persian Gulf Arab countries and the World ⏱️
➡️ This is another non-starter
Patarames
- He got out of his "Powerplant & Bridge Day" ultimatum
- China-linked ships do most of the current traffic at the Strait of Hormuz
- China can rein-in Iran to some extend by limiting provision of satellite-intel targeting data
- But China can also provide targeting data on USN vessles, if China-linked tankers are attacked by 🇺🇸
- Dramatic impact on Global energy prices will show themselves almost immediately before any blockade effects are felt in Iran ⏱️
- Iran's supplies & self-suffciency allow it to sit this out much less affected than the Persian Gulf Arab countries and the World ⏱️
➡️ This is another non-starter
Patarames
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Analyst Intel
Another one: important Iranian account has been deleted. X is trying to kill of every pro-Iran account, Elon is doing the work for his masters in Tel Aviv.
🧐 This why this channel doesn't have X account (never had). The censorship is almost as same as Twitter.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
I’m quite sure this will be treated as an act of war, if the U.S. is actually adamant on blocking Iranian ports.
We have to wait till tomorrow, but in response, Iran will likely target all remaining ports in the region for Arab states.
This probably includes Fujairah (UAE), Yanbu (Saudi Arabia), and Jeddah (Saudi Arabia.
We have to wait till tomorrow, but in response, Iran will likely target all remaining ports in the region for Arab states.
This probably includes Fujairah (UAE), Yanbu (Saudi Arabia), and Jeddah (Saudi Arabia.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇮🇷 NEW: Contrary to reports that Iran’s Air Force was completely destroyed, an Iranian F-4 ‘Phantom’ is seen in an undisclosed location after being deployed for cruise missile and drone hunting operations
In front, a soldier of the 65th NOHED Special Forces protecting it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
In front, a soldier of the 65th NOHED Special Forces protecting it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Analyst Intel
🇮🇷⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱 Pentagon to blockade IRAN’S ports. note: i say restart the war and let those ships come closer.
🧐 Iran can Qwadar port in Pakistan to ship its oil. The golf countries will be affected the most.
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War Monitor
⚡️Trump posts image portraying himself as Jesus Christ.
🇻🇦⚔️🇺🇸🔻Trump about Pope Leo.
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🇱🇧⚔️🇮🇱 Israeli Health Ministry says:
Northern hospitals have received 10 casualties since this morning.
Yesterday, Hospitals in the north has received 40 casualties.
Northern hospitals have received 10 casualties since this morning.
Yesterday, Hospitals in the north has received 40 casualties.
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🇮🇷🇺🇸🇹🇭The Iranian Embassy in Thailand stated that Trump's idea of imposing a blockade on Iran is so stupid that they didn't even come up with a meme about it.
A blockade of Iran = a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz = a blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait = oil at over 200 dollars per barrel.
Blockade that get a blockade that will make a new blockade.
Nice
A blockade of Iran = a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz = a blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait = oil at over 200 dollars per barrel.
Blockade that get a blockade that will make a new blockade.
Nice
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🇨🇳🇮🇷⚡️Five Chinese COSCO tankers scheduled to transit the Strait of Hormuz this week are now stuck and will not proceed until the situation clears up.
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🇮🇷/🇸🇦 The Saudi Foreign Minister once again spoke by phone with Abbas Araghchi, Iran's Foreign Minister, after a deadlock in negotiations between Tehran and Washington in Pakistan.
It is noteworthy that these days, the only Gulf countries directly in contact with Iran are Oman, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar; however, the UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait do not have such direct communication.
It is noteworthy that these days, the only Gulf countries directly in contact with Iran are Oman, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar; however, the UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait do not have such direct communication.
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The restoration of all the bridges and railways that were bombed by the enemy in Iran.
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Analyst Intel
Photo
I doubt Trump will understand this equation but ΔO_BSOH > 0 = f(f(O)) > f(O) is worth understanding.
Δ (delta) just means “change,” so ΔO_BSOH > 0 means oil disruption is increasing due to a Strait of Hormuz blockade.
f(O) is the first-order effect, the market’s immediate response, prices go up.
f(f(O)) > f(O) is the second-order effect, that response gets amplified again pushing prices even higher.
Ghalibaf’s point is simple: if Hormuz disruption worsens, price increases won’t be linear, they’ll compound.
In plain terms, if you escalate with the blockade in Hormuz, gas prices won’t just rise once, they’ll surge beyond the first spike, and today’s “high” prices will look cheap.
Δ (delta) just means “change,” so ΔO_BSOH > 0 means oil disruption is increasing due to a Strait of Hormuz blockade.
f(O) is the first-order effect, the market’s immediate response, prices go up.
f(f(O)) > f(O) is the second-order effect, that response gets amplified again pushing prices even higher.
Ghalibaf’s point is simple: if Hormuz disruption worsens, price increases won’t be linear, they’ll compound.
In plain terms, if you escalate with the blockade in Hormuz, gas prices won’t just rise once, they’ll surge beyond the first spike, and today’s “high” prices will look cheap.
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