Analyst Intel
๐บ๐ธTrump's ultimatum to Iran about 48 hours is fraught with a reckless escalation, believes Bloomberg columnist Mark Champion. In just one weekend, Donald Trump went from declaring that his military goals in Iran had been achieved and he would soon begin toโฆ
However, there's no guarantee that he will succeed in this, and the consequences of an escalation involving the declaration of a de facto free hunt for critical energy infrastructure would be enormous.
The likelihood that the Iranians will back down is extremely low. For decades, they have kept the threat of closing the strait in reserve, not daring to actually take this step for fear of provoking an American-Israeli strike.
However, this strike still happened, and by closing the Strait of Hormuz, they made a discovery that cannot be forgotten โ the geography and development of modern warfare allow them to control access to and exit from the strait, and this gives them the opportunity to hold the global economy hostage.
If Trump believes that the threat of strikes on energy will make Tehran reconsider its position, then he still doesn't understand his opponent.
It's impossible to predict with certainty how this conflict will develop, not least because, apparently, Trump was counting on a quick victory and is now forced to improvise as events unfold. However, his choice has become binary.
He can either intensify the course of regime change and completely destroy its ability to strike back, or negotiate an agreement with an opponent who โ ironically, despite the impressive successes of the US and Israeli armed forces โ at the moment has stronger negotiating positions than before the start of the war.
The likelihood that the Iranians will back down is extremely low. For decades, they have kept the threat of closing the strait in reserve, not daring to actually take this step for fear of provoking an American-Israeli strike.
However, this strike still happened, and by closing the Strait of Hormuz, they made a discovery that cannot be forgotten โ the geography and development of modern warfare allow them to control access to and exit from the strait, and this gives them the opportunity to hold the global economy hostage.
If Trump believes that the threat of strikes on energy will make Tehran reconsider its position, then he still doesn't understand his opponent.
It's impossible to predict with certainty how this conflict will develop, not least because, apparently, Trump was counting on a quick victory and is now forced to improvise as events unfold. However, his choice has become binary.
He can either intensify the course of regime change and completely destroy its ability to strike back, or negotiate an agreement with an opponent who โ ironically, despite the impressive successes of the US and Israeli armed forces โ at the moment has stronger negotiating positions than before the start of the war.
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โโ๐ฎ๐ท/๐ฎ๐ฑ Iranian Army says:
'Two American drones were destroyed and shot down in Bandar Abbas by the air defenses of the Naval Force of the Army of the Islamic Republic'
๐ The number of drones shot down from the beginning of the aggression until now has reached 129 aircraft of various types.
'Two American drones were destroyed and shot down in Bandar Abbas by the air defenses of the Naval Force of the Army of the Islamic Republic'
๐ The number of drones shot down from the beginning of the aggression until now has reached 129 aircraft of various types.
๐1
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๐ฎ๐ทโก๏ธ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ Continuing Wave 75
The IRGC Ground Forces drone unit launched a large-scale attack on separatist positions and gatherings in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan.
Enemies will not be safe anywhereโwe will find them. Their fate has already been declared.
The IRGC Ground Forces drone unit launched a large-scale attack on separatist positions and gatherings in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan.
Enemies will not be safe anywhereโwe will find them. Their fate has already been declared.
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Forwarded from Lorenzo Enzo Romano
Media is too big
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A ground offensive into Iran would be an absolute DISASTER' โ Special Forces officer Anthony Aguilar to RT
'They will decimate any US ground forceโฆ airborne troops would be shot out of the sky'
โUNEASYโ US troops push back on possible Iran GROUND WAR โ HuffPost
'ABSOLUTE DISASTER'
'We do NOT want to die for Israelโฆ donโt make us political pawns
'They will decimate any US ground forceโฆ airborne troops would be shot out of the sky'
โUNEASYโ US troops push back on possible Iran GROUND WAR โ HuffPost
'ABSOLUTE DISASTER'
'We do NOT want to die for Israelโฆ donโt make us political pawns
โค5๐2
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An American warplane, believed to be an A10, is leaving Jordanian airspace towards Iraq.
note: Jordanian bases need a good hammering ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
note: Jordanian bases need a good hammering ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
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Forwarded from BRICS News
JUST IN: ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท President Trump postpones all military strikes against Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure for five days as talks continue to end the war.
@BRICSNews
@BRICSNews
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Forwarded from War Monitor
โก๏ธ#BREAKING Oil prices have dropped 10% as a result of Trump withdrawing the threat of striking Iranian power plants
๐2
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑLast week, there were rumors that Trump was looking for someone to negotiate with in Tehran. And here is the statement of the US President:
I have ordered the military department to postpone any military strikes on Iranian power stations and energy infrastructure for a five-day period, provided that the current meetings and discussions are successful.
note: i still don't trust this Orange ๐ท and he is a slave of his zionist masters.
I have ordered the military department to postpone any military strikes on Iranian power stations and energy infrastructure for a five-day period, provided that the current meetings and discussions are successful.
note: i still don't trust this Orange ๐ท and he is a slave of his zionist masters.
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โ๐ท๐บ๐ฎ๐ท/๐บ๐ธ NEW: Russia has warned US against striking Russian-built nuclear power plant "Bushehr" in Iran.
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Analyst Intel
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑLast week, there were rumors that Trump was looking for someone to negotiate with in Tehran. And here is the statement of the US President: I have ordered the military department to postpone any military strikes on Iranian power stations and energy infrastructureโฆ
โโ๐ฎ๐ท/๐บ๐ธ BREAKING: A senior source in the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded:
'We "deny" what US Trump said about negotiations between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran
โข The Islamic Republic of Iran adheres to its position of rejecting any type of negotiations before achieving Iranโs war goals
Trumpโs words are a retreat from his previous threats, but the Islamic Republic of Iran still adheres to all of its declared positions.
Iran's position regarding the 'Strait of Hormuz' has not changed, and the Strait will remain closed to aggressors against the Islamic Republic and its people.'
'We "deny" what US Trump said about negotiations between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran
โข The Islamic Republic of Iran adheres to its position of rejecting any type of negotiations before achieving Iranโs war goals
Trumpโs words are a retreat from his previous threats, but the Islamic Republic of Iran still adheres to all of its declared positions.
Iran's position regarding the 'Strait of Hormuz' has not changed, and the Strait will remain closed to aggressors against the Islamic Republic and its people.'
โค7
๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ฐ๐ฃ Israeli Media: Our Coverage Is Not Truthful
Israel has some of the worldโs strictest censorship possible, where youโd be captured and jailed if you dare to report on any issues the military bans discussing.
Unsurprising considering the lengths they go to kill journalists of all manners. What is surprising is to put that as a headline on a newspaper...
Israel has some of the worldโs strictest censorship possible, where youโd be captured and jailed if you dare to report on any issues the military bans discussing.
Unsurprising considering the lengths they go to kill journalists of all manners. What is surprising is to put that as a headline on a newspaper...
โค4
Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends (Bebot)
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๐ฆ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท Australians ask for the price to stop supporting the war in Iran
Prices there have jumped sharply, reaching about $3 for diesel fuel in some places
๐
Join us | @MyLordBebo
Prices there have jumped sharply, reaching about $3 for diesel fuel in some places
๐
Join us | @MyLordBebo
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๐ฎ๐ฑ\๐ฎ๐ท NETANYAHU:
We are working to bring Iran to places it has never been before. They will understand that they are below, and we are above.
We are working to bring Iran to places it has never been before. They will understand that they are below, and we are above.
๐5
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ทThe New York Times reports that the war in Iran actually began due to a large-scale failure of Israeli intelligence.
The "Mossad" allegedly made a strategic bet on an internal uprising in Iran, which turned out to be a fatal mistake. Subsequently, Israeli special services and the country's leadership convinced Washington of the need for a coordinated strike, but the plan completely failed.
It was assumed that the targeted elimination of the top religious and political leadership of Iran would provoke a mass protest movement, and armed Kurdish forces on the borders would become the core of direct military pressure on the ground.
The American intelligence community was initially skeptical of this scenario, pointing to the lack of real prerequisites for such a development of events. Nevertheless, the Mossad's arguments about the "quick collapse of the regime" became decisive for involving the US in a full-scale conflict. And it was probably not easy to argue with Trump, as there was a real risk of losing funding and jobs.
As a result, Washington found itself hostage to a strategy based on a weak hypothesis: that an external military "roll" would lead to an instant destabilization of power. In practice, however, this caused the opposite effect - an unprecedented consolidation of the Iranian leadership and a sharp escalation of the conflict.
@Slavyangrad
The "Mossad" allegedly made a strategic bet on an internal uprising in Iran, which turned out to be a fatal mistake. Subsequently, Israeli special services and the country's leadership convinced Washington of the need for a coordinated strike, but the plan completely failed.
It was assumed that the targeted elimination of the top religious and political leadership of Iran would provoke a mass protest movement, and armed Kurdish forces on the borders would become the core of direct military pressure on the ground.
The American intelligence community was initially skeptical of this scenario, pointing to the lack of real prerequisites for such a development of events. Nevertheless, the Mossad's arguments about the "quick collapse of the regime" became decisive for involving the US in a full-scale conflict. And it was probably not easy to argue with Trump, as there was a real risk of losing funding and jobs.
As a result, Washington found itself hostage to a strategy based on a weak hypothesis: that an external military "roll" would lead to an instant destabilization of power. In practice, however, this caused the opposite effect - an unprecedented consolidation of the Iranian leadership and a sharp escalation of the conflict.
@Slavyangrad
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