Analyst Intel
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Forwarded from Megatron
BREAKING:

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ CNBC reports that Iran exports millions of barrels of oil to China through the Strait of Hormuz despite navigation obstruction in the strait

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BREAKING: ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ CNBC reports that Iran exports millions of barrels of oil to China through the Strait of Hormuz despite navigation obstruction in the strait @Megatron_ron
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท | Iran has shipped 11-12 million barrels of crude to China through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the war.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ| Israel is set to deploy the Golani Brigade in battles in southern Lebanon after the current units failed to advance towards the frontline villages.
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JUST IN: IEA officially proposes releasing 300-400 million barrels of oil from its reserve.

@BRICSNews
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Three ships were targeted today by Iranโ€™s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) near/within the Strait of Hormuz.

โ€ข A container ship was struck by a projectile ~25NM northwest of Ras Al Khaimah.

โ€ข A bulk carrier was hit by a projectile about 50NM northwest of Dubai.

โ€ข A cargo ship was struck by a projectile 11NM northwest of Oman, which ignited a fire on board.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท In Iran, The Basij forces who have been on the streets for a month or more are now actively working for the homeland, repairing and renovating people's house windows for free.
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends (Bebot)
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ "Dark cloud of burning oil covered Tehran after US-Israel had attacked several oil reserves"

๐Ÿ‘‰ That same night, magically, it started raining
๐Ÿ‘‰ Then, 2 days after the attack, it started snowing

"It feel like this snow was some kind of a gift from above or a sign" โ€” Iranian woman

๐Ÿ”—

Join us | @MyLordBebo
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโš”๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Images show the accuracy of Iranian missile and drone strikes on American bases.
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Israeli officials are now changing their expectations for the outcome of attacking Iran, with regime change slowly being pulled off the table for both Israel and the US, where both nations have started to realize that the Iranian regime is far more entrenched than previously thought.

US officials have been inconsistent in explaining war goals and expectations, originally suggesting Iranian freedom and regime change were the targets, before settling on military neutralization.

Other reports have suggested that, if hostilities cease, Iran would be able to recover enriched nuclear material and rebuild their military, suggesting the potential need for US troops or repeat attacks.
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Analyst Intel
Israeli officials are now changing their expectations for the outcome of attacking Iran, with regime change slowly being pulled off the table for both Israel and the US, where both nations have started to realize that the Iranian regime is far more entrenchedโ€ฆ
The persistence and solidarity shown by the Iranian people, specifically the urban population centers, show that Iran is unlikely to change pace, with many prior dissidents now supporting the regime as a result of brutal Israeli and US attacks.

The outcome, which remains unclear, has the potential to leave the US and Israel with a far more bellicose, calculating, and hateful opponent, potentially requiring frequent military operations or an occupation of sorts.

Some officials in the Trump admin, like Witkoff, have said they have no clue what the outcome will be.

The Trump admin has been criticized for their lack of planning for domestic and global oil shocks, as well as their naivety regarding the political situation in Iran.

Follow: @AFpost
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The Zionist did not even spare the center for children with physical and mental disabilities.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran Army:

Iranian army forces targeted the Israeli military intelligence organization known as "Aman," Unit 8200, the Green Pine radar, and the submarine command building at the Haifa naval base with drone attacks, and these assaults are still continuing.

Sound on!! ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ
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๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅMUST READ ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ

The ghost of defeat begins to haunt!!!

Anyone who has been following me for several days will have seen that Iโ€™ve been tracking and repeating this same perception, which has now been published today by several major American newspapers.

And Iโ€™ll go even further: The US-Israel alliance is suffering a defeat the likes of which hasnโ€™t been seen in a very long time.

The number of hospitalized people in Israel has risen to nearly 2,500, which reflects the scale of the Iranian response. Unfortunately, the vast majority are civilians, just as they are in Iran.

Air-defense batteries are being rushed in from Asia because Iran has destroyed or severely damaged several radars that are critical to these systems. Interceptors are also being urgently flown in from Asian countries.

150 American soldiers have been wounded and 7 have been killed so far.

Around 30 expensive Israel-US drones have been lost.

Billion-dollar damage has been inflicted on bases across the region, as well as on satellite communication systems in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Israel.

Iran has been launching missiles across 7 fronts for 11 straight days, day and night, with no sign of stopping.

And what are the US and Israel doing in response? The exact same thing: dropping bombs on Iran. Do you know what this has changed in the conflict? Absolutely nothing.
Iran remains resilient in the face of these airstrikes, which so far have destroyed only a small portion of its arsenal.

But if Iran isnโ€™t winning on the damage game, where exactly is it winning?

In an asymmetric war, you donโ€™t need to dispute the damage on the front line , you just need to be resilient and exhaust your opponent, because he will eventually be consumed by โ€œthe pressure and criticsโ€.

Iran has thousands  of modern drone and of many types and models to secure the strait, along with a large stockpile of anti-ship missiles.
I see no realistic chance of Iran losing the Strait of Hormuz now or at any other point in this war. For that to happen, there would need to be a massive ground invasion, and it would have to actually succeed.

Meanwhile, Iran is not only striking on 7 fronts but is also enforcing the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

What cards do the US and Israel still have left when it comes to forcing Iranโ€™s surrender?
Only the nuclear option. But I donโ€™t believe thereโ€™s even the political atmosphere to seriously consider that.

If the strait is actually mined, Iran will have taken one more decisive step toward checkmate against the Israel-US coalition.

Can Iranโ€™s arsenal sustain a prolonged conflict?
My estimate is that they have already fired 2,000โ€“2,500 missiles and still have at least 10 times that number left in the 300-2,000 km range. ( considering the years of production and the industrial size)

I do not see Iran being defeated due to a lack of missiles, at least at this moment.

Credit: Patricia Marins
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿšจ The Iranian military has warned people to stay at least 1 km away from US-linked banks in the Middle East, stating they will be targeted
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Tomahawk missiles DID kill schoolgirls in Minab โ€” ex-Pentagon analyst Michael Maloof

He says it was a 'double tap' attack โ€” one missile hit the school, and another struck the survivors

โ€œChildren shouldn't have been implicated in this. Civilians should be off limitsโ€
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