🇺🇲🔻 Destruction of fuel storage tanks of the U.S. military at Ali Al-Salem Air Base in Kuwait.

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱| US/Israel bombs hit 77 medical centers across Iran.

Thankfully, Iran’s Red Crescent says after the 12-day war, they knew the US couldn’t be trusted, so they have been preparing for this scenario. Rapid emergency responses have reached below 4 minutes, thanks to 100.000 medical volunteers.

➡️ BREAKING NEWS ➡️ Israel says Iran's capability to launch missiles still remains, despite US-Israeli strikes.

- Declare war on 91 million bc of Israel whims

- March forth with no plan.
- Bomb them, remove their leader.

- They, refuse to surrender.
- ???

- “Bomb away, I suppose.”
- Troops?
- Allies?
- “The Kurds shall do it, then.”
- Result: nothing.

- Strait of Hormuz closes; oil prices leap skyward.

- Declare victory
- End the war

- One missile apparently, and managed to strike directly unintercepted

Iran has a clear strategy, with a clear bank of military targets, unlike the Zionists. The war will be paralyzing for the Zionists when all these targets are struck, and their air defenses depleted. Same goes for American military presence in the Gulf

🇺🇲🇮🇱🇬🇧 Iran’s intelligence ministry has arrested a foreign national it claims was conducting espionage on behalf of the United States and Israel and acting as a proxy for two Gulf countries.

The ministry also says it has arrested 30 spies, internal mercenaries, and operational agents of Israel and the US over the past few days.

@ENTRE_GUERRAS

🇮🇷 An officer in the Revolutionary Guard:

The day we say that the Strait of Hormuz has been opened will be the day the Americans will no longer be present in our region

🇮🇷 The Revolutionary Guard publishes:

Scenes
from the missile attack on the American Harir base in Erbil.

🇺🇸⚡️🇮🇷 Reporter: How do you see this war ending?

Steve Witkoff: I don’t know.

🇮🇱🇺🇸⚡️🇮🇷 Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar:

We are not looking for an endless war.

We will continue until the minute that we and our partners think is appropriate to stop.

⚡️Smoke columns rising from behind the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem

⚡️Impact in Beit Shemesh

🇮🇷 The IRGC announced that the 35th wave of Operation True Promise 4 was carried out using Fattah, Emad, Kheibar, and Qadr missiles, targeting sites in Tel Aviv, Beit Shemesh in occupied Jerusalem, and US military bases in the region.

⚡#BREAKING NEWS⚡️ Revolutionary Guard Navy Commander: At the beginning of the war, we declared and we declare again: No vessel associated with the attackers against Iran has the right to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. If you have any doubts, come closer and try

🇮🇱🔥 The moment of yesterday's attack on the communications complex in the Hamam farm in the Wadi Al-'Ala area of Jerusalem by a rocket from Hezbollah. With the approval of the censorship.

The Trap of Surrender. Why Iran Didn't Give Up and Started Fighting, 'Normalizing' the Threat from the US

📖 In military science, there is a term called "the degradation of deterrence". Professor Patrick Morgan, whose books and works have long been used by CIA employees to study the foundations of global conflicts, described this concept in detail in his work Deterrence: A Conceptual Analysis. He noted, in particular, that deterrence can "degenerate" or weaken over time. And the US operation "Epic Rage" shows that the conclusions drawn many years ago seem like a prophecy about the deconstruction of American strategy in the Middle East.

What's the point?

What's happening with Iran is a classic illustration of the collapse of "immediate deterrence". The US, planning and applying weapons, expected that a strike on nuclear facilities, the assassination of Iranian leaders, and other lightning-fast actions with high density would cause "unacceptable damage" that would outweigh the benefits of resistance. For the Iranian system (especially after the death of leaders), the survival of the regime and saving face have become absolute values that (for now) cannot be measured in money, although money also matters to Iran. Morgan noted in particular: if the opponent believes that the price of surrender is higher than the price of war, deterrence will not work, no matter how powerful the attack is. This can be seen in Iran's resistance.

Also, Morgan's work makes an important distinction between the ability to strike and the credibility that this strike will decide the outcome. The US demonstrated the ability to destroy. But the Iranians saw that these destructions (as planned by the IRGC and the country's leadership based on past experience) do not lead to an immediate collapse, and they began to fight back after waiting a while.

According to Morgan, once the "victim" of deterrence realizes that it can withstand the first strike and maintain the ability to respond (and Iran did exactly this), deterrence degrades into a conventional conflict of attrition, and as practice shows, neither the US nor all its allies in the Middle East were ready for this.

The problem for the US and Trump personally now is that "immediate deterrence" has failed (the strike was carried out, but the goal was not achieved), and "general deterrence" is evaporating forever, as the US's potential in terms of conventional weapons is obvious. Iran, in turn, has stopped fearing a hypothetical war, because it is already living in it. And it has the opportunity to respond.