The State Administrative Council (SAC) has announced the implementation of a 20-day ceasefire with rebel forces. They stated that they will not attack rebel or ethnic armed groups unless they attack SAC military bases, harass military headquarters, gather forces, prepare for war, or expand their territory. This comes despite military leader Min Aung Hlaing saying yesterday that his forces would continue to attack rebel forces.

Additionally, the Kachin Independance organisation (KIO) and the Kachin Independance Army (KIA), announced that they will suspend all offensive operations, except for defensive operations during the 20-day period.

Despite the newly announced temporary ceasefires, the SAC continued to launch airstrikes. Airstrikes were once again carried out on Kanpetlet and Mindat towns in the Chin State, with 2 airstrikes on each town. Additionally, a drone strike was carried out on a house in the village of Samase in the northern Shan State, reportedly killing one local resident.

⚡️🇺🇸🇾🇪 U.S. airstrikes targeted the Saada province, Northern Yemen.

Russian forces captured the village of Basivka, Yunakivka direction, Sumy Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~647

2-3 Iskander-M ballistic missiles hit the Myropillya/Krasnopillya area of Sumy Oblast near the international border.

I'm pretty sure I found the location of one of the Geran-2 drone strikes on Kharkiv last night.

I geolocated the image on the right to an underground crossing which happens to be right next to the Kharkiv
State Aircraft Manufacturing Company.

50.0263356, 36.2585693

Initial reports of a U.S. drone strike on Idlib, northwestern Syria.

Reports state that 1 person was killed.

Update: 3 reported killed

Palestinian and Israeli sources confirm that target of the strike was Hamas official Abu Yasser. He was killed, along with his son and daughter.

One year ago today, the battle of Chasiv Yar began.

It started with a Russian armoured personnel carrier dropping off soldiers in the first houses on Zelena Street, where they clung to their positions for days, before beginning the assault on the first high-rise buildings of the infamous Kanal Micro-district. From there, brutal urban combat raged for literally every street, every building, every room, before the district fell.

Russia then launched the attack on the main part of the city which was even more heavily defended by the AFU who had brought in further reinforcements and reserves.

365 days later, and with thousands of lives lost on both sides, the battle for this strategic hilltop city is still ongoing, with Russian forces now controlling approximately 70% of the city. Ukraine continues to hold out in the ruins of the city centre, the northwestern suburbs and the southern and southwestern suburbs.

Chasiv Yar is the gateway to the rest of Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, and both sides know it.

This battle will go down in history as one of the most brutal, as well as one of the most crucial points in a war, of the 21st century.

For those interested, I came up with a formula to calculate the rough time it will take for an Iskander-M ballistic missile to hit its target.

Obviously, first you need to know the specific place in which the launches occur from. For launches from Crimea, they usually come from the vicinity of Simferopol, while launches from Kursk come from near the Khalino Air Base.

So, to figure out how long it will take for the missile to hit the target that you think it will be headed for (e.g. most Iskanders from Crimea target Kryvyi Rih, most Iskanders from Kursk target Sumy, and most Iskanders from Belgorod target Kharkiv), you can use this formula below.

Time = Distance / 2.4 - 30 seconds

To safely assume that the missile hit an open area, was a false identification, or targeted a different city to the one you initially thought it would, add on 20 seconds for the general time it takes for monitoring channels to pick up on explosion reports.

So: Time = Distance / 2.4 - 10 seconds.

Hope this helps!

Obviously it has its issues, as you need to know which monitoring channels to trust on launch reports, but it should work well if you have the correct information.