21 Shaheds are heading for Kyiv from the South and the East.
๐7๐3โค2
2 Tu-95s are almost at the Caspian launch lines. There is no info on the other 4.
๐5๐2
Ukrainian channels reported that 4 out of the 6 Tu-95s probably landed. Maybe there won't be a strike today...
๐ข5๐2๐1๐คฎ1
Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
They very well could be testing the fences to see if F-16 scramble. Ukrainians have been very successful with rebasing during strike days.
๐ค15๐3๐คฎ1
It's become clear to me that the Tu-95s will not launch Kh-101 cruise missiles today. I will finish my reporting on the drone strikes for now, as I only cover them live during missile strikes. Thanks to all the new subscribers for joining!
๐20๐ค3โค2๐1๐คฎ1
The Russian offensive near Zhelanne appears to have stalled for the past couple of days.
This could be for two reasons:
1. The Ukrainians are putting up heavy resistance and holding the line
2. The Russians are being very careful and consolidating their new positions near the outskirts while attacking elsewhere.
I'm personally more inclined to believe the latter as Ukraine's manpower issues in this area significantly hampers their ability to put up significant resistance.
It appears that the Russians will continue with their attritional strategy for the foreseeable future rather than launching big arrow attacks that would result in heavy losses.
This could be for two reasons:
1. The Ukrainians are putting up heavy resistance and holding the line
2. The Russians are being very careful and consolidating their new positions near the outskirts while attacking elsewhere.
I'm personally more inclined to believe the latter as Ukraine's manpower issues in this area significantly hampers their ability to put up significant resistance.
It appears that the Russians will continue with their attritional strategy for the foreseeable future rather than launching big arrow attacks that would result in heavy losses.
๐11๐คฌ1๐คฎ1
AMK Mapping
The Russian offensive near Zhelanne appears to have stalled for the past couple of days. This could be for two reasons: 1. The Ukrainians are putting up heavy resistance and holding the line 2. The Russians are being very careful and consolidating theirโฆ
Big arrow attacks wont come until Ukraine's manpower issues become too critical for them to handle.
โค7๐5๐คฎ1

