Moving towards the launch lines

All regions of Ukraine are under an air raid alert.

It's returning to its base airfield. No threat of missiles.

Situation in Sudzha, Kursk Oblast.

Not much is known about the status of the city, but we can make some assumptions based off what we do know.

Despite reports by some Russian sources, the city has not fallen yet. Small groups of Ukrainian soldiers, all of which will be isolated groups stuck in basements, or remnants of the cover groups deployed to facilitate the withdrawal of the main formations, remain there for now.

Based on what I know, I have made an educated guess at where the Ukrainians are right now. Considering the topography, the location of the escape roads, and the location of the frontline, I can guess that there are two main areas of Ukrainian presence.

In the north, there are probably small groups of Ukrainian soldiers still hiding in the northwestern streets of the city, including the infamous Pyaterochka supermarket. They are in the process of withdrawing down the highway however, hence the grey zone.

Further south, Ukrainian forces are probably present in the industrial zone and the last streets of the village of Goncharovka.

As for Russian advances, they have entered the northwestern neighbourhoods of Sudzha and also captured positions in the village of Zaoloshenka. They are also clearing out the village of Goncharovka.

According to the Israeli army radio, the airstrike targeted a headquarters for the Palestinian Islamic Jihad.

Clashes broke out in the west bank town of Aqaba between Palestinian Authority (PA) forces, and militants from the Tubas battalion, Palestinian Islamic Jihad.

Russian forces have completed the capture of Sudzha, Kursk Oblast.

Ukrainian forces now "control" less than 80km² in Kursk Oblast, down from ~140km² 24 hours ago.

Russia has only 4 settlements left to recapture in Kursk Oblast. These are:
Gogolevka
Oleshnya
Guevo
Gornal

Gogolevka is already partially in the grey-zone.

A Ukrainian UAV struck the Tuapse oil refinery, Krasnodar Krai. A large fire has broken out at the impact site.

Russian officials are yet to comment on the matter.

Now that Kursk is effectively over, what do you guys think the next cope will be?

Will they just return to one of the old ones like meat waves, or Kerch bridge, or F-16s? I mean the North Korean cope can't come back... right?

Oddly small Russian Geran-2 drone attack today, it only lasted a few hours with less than 15 launched.

In the Sumy direction, Russian forces completed the capture of Sudzha and made significant progress in eliminating the remnants of the Ukrainian-controlled territory in Kursk Oblast.

Russian forces advanced into the western neighbourhoods of Sudzha, completing the capture of the city. They also advanced into Goncharovka in two main directions, clearing out the western and southern parts of the village, before moving into the central and western streets. This allowed for an advance west of Sudzha into the village of Rubanshchina, which they then captured. Other assault detachments captured the village of Zaoleshenka, and advanced from there to the forest plantations near the international border, taking up positions in them.

Further south, Russian forces completed the capture of Kurilovka, and advanced further north along the western bank of the Sudzha River, capturing positions in the forests there. They also branched off to the west, capturing the village of Melovoi, and the nearby forest plantations, and forests.

In the north, Russian forces advanced west from Sverdlikovo, capturing part of a treeline. They also seized new positions in the treeline south of Lebedevka.

Meanwhile, in Sumy Oblast, Russian forces advanced into the village of Basivka from the west, capturing the northwestern houses and nearby forest plantations.

+ ~75.90km² in favour of Russia.

Kursk direction → Sumy direction

Correction of the frontline in favour of Russia:

Over a week ago, Russian forces advanced in the Lyman direction and entered the village of Novolyubivka.

After a relatively long time of limited activity on this section of the frontline, Russian forces resumed their assault operations and were able to quickly break through Ukrainian positions north of the village of Ivanivka, expanding their bridgehead on the western bank of the Zherebets River.

Russian forces advanced from positions in and around a small, forested area and moved north along a forest plantation. The majority of assault detachments moved north through the fields to Novolyubivka, where they entered the southern part of the village, taking up positions in the houses there, while some of them moved west down a treeline near the Donetsk-Luhansk Oblast border.

Additionally, the frontline was corrected closer to Ivanivka, with Russian forces in control of more of the treeline that runs from that small forest.

+ ~3.70km² in favour of Russia.

In the Siversk direction, Russian forces restarted assault operations and entered the village of Vasyukivka.

They advanced from the east, taking up positions in the agricultural buildings. Other assault detachments moved from the southeast, capturing positions in the first houses. Russian forces then moved deeper, crossing the tributary of the Vasyukivka River, and entering the centre of the village, where they captured some houses and reached the local school.

+ ~1.09km² in favour of Russia.

Correction of the frontline in favour of Russia:

Russian forces advanced in the Kramatorsk direction at some point, completing the capture of the village of Hryhorivka.

They advanced from positions in the main part of Hryhorivka, crossing a tributary of the Bakhmutovka River, and establishing control over the northern street of the village.

Additionally, Russian forces captured a series of treelines and forest plantations west of the village of Dubovo-Vasylivka.

+ ~4.10km² in favour of Russia.

In Toretsk, both Russian and Ukrainian forces are making progress, with both sides recapturing key positions.

Near the city centre, Ukrainian forces advanced from behind the stadium and captured a series of houses on Dovzhenka, Papanina and Homelska streets, taking up positions there. This threatens the city central park, which acts as a buffer-zone for the city centre.

Meanwhile, Russian forces counterattacked from the eastern parts of the city, moving down Nakhimova street and the adjacent streets, reaching Hrushevkoho street, which is the main road leading into the city centre and connects the Toretska Mines. Russian forces captured the military enlistment office building, and 5 four-story buildings.

The first five-story building on Hrushevkoho street is now in the grey zone, with some reports stating its capture, however the other building remains under Ukrainian control.

The frontline was also corrected in the Toretska mines, with Ukrainian forces recapturing the southern part of it.

+ ~0.14km² in favour of Russia
+ ~0.10km² in favour of Ukraine