Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
Russian strikes on targets in Idlib
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Launches of Geran-2 drones were recorded from Khalino airbase in Kursk oblast. The first of these drones are now in Sumy Oblast.
Launches of Geran-2 drones from Oryol airbase in Oryol Oblast was also reported.
Approximate flight time to Ukraine: 45 minutes.
Launches of Geran-2 drones from Oryol airbase in Oryol Oblast was also reported.
Approximate flight time to Ukraine: 45 minutes.
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A reliable Ukrainian monitoring channel reported that actions were noted that indicate preparations for a possible missile attack with the use of Tu-95ms bombers equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles this night/morning.
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Israeli airstrikes targeted the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone in Southern Gaza. Yesterday, artillery shelling was recorded there.
Additionally, the IDF announced that they had recovered the body of a hostage in an unspecified part of the Gaza Strip. This means that 37 out of the 100 remaining hostages are reported or confirmed dead.
Additionally, the IDF announced that they had recovered the body of a hostage in an unspecified part of the Gaza Strip. This means that 37 out of the 100 remaining hostages are reported or confirmed dead.
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There are currently 4 Russian Kalibr missile carriers in waters of the Black Sea with a total possible salvo of 24 Kalibr cruise missiles.
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Palestinian channels reported that 25 people were killed after an Israeli airstrike targeted a residential building in the centre of Gaza city.
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HTS is currently making an encirclement maneuver around Hama. They are attempting to envelop the city from the west and east. There are 2-3 roads left leading into the city. Interestingly, Qomhane to the north still holds.
Maps later.
Maps later.
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AMK Mapping
A reliable Ukrainian monitoring channel reported that actions were noted that indicate preparations for a possible missile attack with the use of Tu-95ms bombers equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles this night/morning.
Apparently the radio activity was short lived and quite unusual.
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Clashes have broken out on the outskirts of Hama. The HTS assault on the city has begun.
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AMK Mapping
Clashes have broken out on the outskirts of Hama. The HTS assault on the city has begun.
Approximate situation in and around Hama:
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Ukrainian forces have reportedly pushed Russia out of the village of Novyi Komar, north of Velyka Novosilka. Footage of a Ukrainian flag being raised was published, but it hasn't been geolocated yet.
This comes as there were reports of reinforcements arriving to the Velyka Novosilka area a couple of weeks ago.
This comes as there were reports of reinforcements arriving to the Velyka Novosilka area a couple of weeks ago.
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AMK Mapping
My prediction for the southern flank of Pokrovsk: I believe that the Russians will utilise the railway line (again), and the nearby chain of settlements to seize the key town of Shevchenko. This will be useful for them as it will strengthen the southern flankβ¦
The battle of Shevchenko has reportedly begun.
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