AMK Mapping
2 Zircons to northeastern Kyiv
Approaching CHP-6 power plant
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1 Zircon is flying to the Kyiv substation again
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AMK Mapping
1 Zircon is flying to the Kyiv substation again
2 impacts.
Also more impacts at the Trypillya TPP in Ukrainka, Kyiv Oblast
All clear on missiles now
Also more impacts at the Trypillya TPP in Ukrainka, Kyiv Oblast
All clear on missiles now
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AMK Mapping
Also more impacts at the Trypillya TPP in Ukrainka, Kyiv Oblast
Correction: These struck near southwestern Kyiv, not at Trypillya
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Large-scale combined Russian missile attack on energy infrastructure in Kyiv.
The following has been launched so far:
~16 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
~14 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
~30 missiles in total.
At least 2 missiles (unclear which type) were shot down by Ukrainian air defence.
Targets hit include:
- Trypillya Thermal Power Plant
- "Kyivska" 750 kV electrical substation
- "Novokyivska" 330 kV electrical substation
- "Brovarska" 330 kV electrical substation
- Unknown target in the Solom'yans'kyi District of Kyiv
- Eastern industrial zone of Kyiv
Despite the heavy attacks on energy infrastructure, no power outages have occurred in Kyiv so far.
The approximate missile flight routes are shown on the attached map.
The following has been launched so far:
~16 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
~14 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
~30 missiles in total.
At least 2 missiles (unclear which type) were shot down by Ukrainian air defence.
Targets hit include:
- Trypillya Thermal Power Plant
- "Kyivska" 750 kV electrical substation
- "Novokyivska" 330 kV electrical substation
- "Brovarska" 330 kV electrical substation
- Unknown target in the Solom'yans'kyi District of Kyiv
- Eastern industrial zone of Kyiv
Despite the heavy attacks on energy infrastructure, no power outages have occurred in Kyiv so far.
The approximate missile flight routes are shown on the attached map.
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Footage showing the impact of a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile equipped with a cluster warhead in Kyiv.
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Zircon threat from Millerovo, Rostov Oblast
Edit: this is just Russian S-300 operating against Ukrainian drones
Edit: this is just Russian S-300 operating against Ukrainian drones
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Iskander-M threat from Bryansk
Edit: no launches yet
Edit: no launches yet
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AMK Mapping
All clear. It struck the eastern suburbs.
2 impacts to the eastern suburbs.
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According to Dimko, this image of a Ukrainian commander who was killed in the Russian strike on Komyshuvkha is ai slop, and that Iโm a Russian disinfo project for posting it.
Thereโs only one issue - it was posted by the official government website for the Volodarska settlement territorial community of Kyiv Oblast, which is this commanderโs hometown.
Thereโs only one issue - it was posted by the official government website for the Volodarska settlement territorial community of Kyiv Oblast, which is this commanderโs hometown.
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Regarding the Russian casualty "leaks".
As with any leak from either side, there is simply no way to verify if this is true or not. These are just numbers, with no evidence. If you are going to blindly trust a "leak" of Russian casualties, then I would expect you to apply that same (lack of) logic to "leaks" of Ukrainian casualties.
The only thing that makes this seem slightly more plausible to be real compared to previous leaks is that it largely lines up with Mediazona's figures when extrapolated based on its delays in reporting for 2025 and 2026. I previously estimated that both Ukraine and Russia have likely suffered around 500,000-600,000 KIA. This "leaked" data estimates that there are around 504,000 KIA based on the delay of death records to be sent in.
However, even though it lines up well, this does not confirm or even indicate these leaks are real. This can easily be faked just to legitimise the extrapolation that many have done of Mediazona's data, where the statistics become a bit more murky compared to their "absolute minimum" of 286,000 KIA death records.
This doesn't change the fact that these numbers, in my opinion, are likely somewhat accurate for the real death toll. But I think it's important to not just blindly assume that any release of casualty data are automatically 100% legitimate and official numbers.
As with any leak from either side, there is simply no way to verify if this is true or not. These are just numbers, with no evidence. If you are going to blindly trust a "leak" of Russian casualties, then I would expect you to apply that same (lack of) logic to "leaks" of Ukrainian casualties.
The only thing that makes this seem slightly more plausible to be real compared to previous leaks is that it largely lines up with Mediazona's figures when extrapolated based on its delays in reporting for 2025 and 2026. I previously estimated that both Ukraine and Russia have likely suffered around 500,000-600,000 KIA. This "leaked" data estimates that there are around 504,000 KIA based on the delay of death records to be sent in.
However, even though it lines up well, this does not confirm or even indicate these leaks are real. This can easily be faked just to legitimise the extrapolation that many have done of Mediazona's data, where the statistics become a bit more murky compared to their "absolute minimum" of 286,000 KIA death records.
This doesn't change the fact that these numbers, in my opinion, are likely somewhat accurate for the real death toll. But I think it's important to not just blindly assume that any release of casualty data are automatically 100% legitimate and official numbers.
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