Iran is conducting Surface-to-air missile test launches from near Mashhad, northeastern Iran.

The gap between the Netanyahu bloc and opposition bloc is narrowing, with 56.7% of votes counted.

5 hours ago, Netanyahu's bloc had around 50%. That has since dropped to 43.7%.

Neither will be able to form a coalition alone, as they don't have a majority of 61 seats.

Russia attacked Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast, with two KAB-250 glide-bombs last night, destroying a section of a residential building.

No civilians were killed in the attack.

The IDF claims to have killed three fighters from two different elite Hamas "Nukhba" units in recent targeted assassination strikes, including one fighter in the southern Gaza Strip who allegedly took part in the October 7 attacks on Israel; a Nukhba platoon commander in the northern Gaza Strip; and one additional Nukhba militant in Northern Gaza.

In the coming weeks, Russia may carry out an attack on Ukraine using Kh-22/32 supersonic cruise missiles, likely targeting either Kyiv Oblast or Odesa Oblast.

In the last two days, two Russian Tu-22m3 strategic bombers underwent equipment of up to 6 Kh-22/32 cruise missiles at Dyagilevo and Engels-2 Airbases. Both are currently stationed at Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast. Additional Tu-22m3 bombers may be equipped with Kh-22/32 cruise missiles in the coming days.

❗️Regarding Russia's preparations for the next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine involving strategic bombers:

4 Tu-160M strategic bombers are now equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. Two of the bombers are equipped with 10 missiles each. The other two are also likely equipped with 10 each as well.

4-6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers continue to undergo equipment of Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase. They will subsequently redeploy to Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast the day before the attack. They will likely not launch more than 4 missiles each.

What missiles could be used?

- 50-64 Kh-101 cruise missiles
- Up to 20 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles
- Up to 10 Kn-23 ballistic missiles
- Up to 10 Oniks-M supersonic cruise missiles
- Several Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
- 8-16 Kalibr cruise missiles
- Several S8000 Banderol cruise missiles
- Hundreds of Geran-2/4/5 and Gerbera drones.

Not all of these missiles listed above are expected to be used. These are just the maximums, in my opinion. It's possible that the attack will involve minimal ground-based missiles, and that they will be used in a separate attack days afterwards.

In my opinion, the Kh-101 cruise missiles and drones will target energy infrastructure in the western regions of Ukraine, while any other missiles would target the eastern half of Ukraine as usual. Drones will likely be used to target energy and railway infrastructure.

The highest threat is in place for October 31, November 1, and November 2.

Due to changing light levels as we approach Winter, the attacks with strategic bombers will probably take place after 6am local time, as the Kh-101 cruise missiles require light for more effective guidance. This means that the attack may be split into two halves, with ground-launched missiles being used after midnight, and the air-launched missiles being used during the early morning hours as the sun rises.

In preparation for covering the resumption of the Iran war, I'm looking for additional sources from the Middle East to help with my reporting.

If you're currently in Iran, Israel, Kuwait, Lebanon, the UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, or any other country where there are relevant developments occurring, please reach out to me via DMs at @AMK_Mapping1. I also have Signal if needed.

You will remain entirely anonymous, and would be in complete control of what information I am allowed to post. Unlike some channels, I do not intend to publish any information that could put you or your country at risk.

I already have a solid base of sources from the first stage of the war as well, so if you were one of the many people who sent me information earlier this year, please DM me again so we can remain in contact for the coming months.

A Russian Geran-4 jet-drone struck the city of Pavlohrad, eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, this morning.

Smoke was seen rising following the impact.