There was heavy fighter jet activity over western Iran and eastern Iraq earlier tonight.

Sources in western Iran told me they heard 20-30 fighter jets flying at low altitude near the border with Iraq, however they were unsure if the aircraft were Iranian or Israeli. It was likely a mix of both.

Mud season has begun in the Vovchansk direction.

Russian channel Romanov claims that the intensity of Ukrainian mid-range drone strikes on Russian logistics along the land bridge from Rostov to Crimea has significantly decreased over the last 48 hours, with reportedly only one vehicle being hit today.

He attributes this alleged decrease to the recent restrictions imposed on the Starshield system.

The IRGC claims that it's air defences shot down a U.S. MQ-9 "Reaper" drone over the Strait of Hormuz this morning - reportedly the 54th so far.

The Saudi-led Coalition’s Joint Forces have released footage showing Royal Saudi Air Force (RSAF) airstrikes targeting boats and vehicles allegedly involved in smuggling weapons and equipment to Ansar Allah (Houthis) through organized criminal networks.

The IDF claims that two Palestinians planning an attack and operating to establish militant infrastructure were arrested during a raid in the Kafr 'Aqab area of East Jerusalem.

Mykolaiv City came under attack from Russian Geran-2 drones and Geran-4 jet-drones tonight, resulting in fires breaking out in the city.

Around a dozen drones were used in two different waves.

The Michurinsk Plant "Progress" in Tambov Oblast is reportedly under attack from Ukrainian long-range drones, resulting in a large fires breaking out.

The plant produces various types of high-tech equipment for control systems for aviation and missile technology, as well as a wide range of electrical equipment.

Russia continues to actively equip their strategic bombers with Kh-101 cruise missiles ahead of their next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.

Two Tu-160M strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. At least one of these aircraft is equipped with 10 missiles. A third Tu-160M is currently in the air from Ukrainka Airbase, redeploying to Engels-2 Airbase in Saratov Oblast to be equipped with Kh-101s, before subsequently returning to Ukrainka. This will presumably be the third and final Tu-160M to be prepared for the upcoming attack.

It's also expected that around 6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are in the process of being equipped with missiles at Ukrainka Airbase, although some may also make a similar flight to Engels-2 Airbase later on.

In my opinion, there will be at least one more medium-sized ballistic missile attack (potentially targeting Kyiv) before this attack involving strategic aviation. Russia has continued delivering new batches of Iskander-M ballistic missiles to Bryansk Oblast, and has probably also delivered more Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles and Oniks-M supersonic cruise missiles to Kursk and Rostov Oblast. As I reported a week ago, the attack involving strategic aviation will likely take place towards the end of October.

I've compiled a comprehensive map of Israel's air defence, radar, and military intelligence infrastructure.

All entries are based on imagery and publicly available information as of October 19, 2026.

For instructions on how to access the file, see the post below.

• @GEOIMINT •

I've compiled a comprehensive map of Saudi Arabia's air defence and radar infrastructure.

All entries are based on imagery and publicly available information as of October 18, 2026.

For instructions on how to access the file, see the post below.

• @GEOIMINT •

Aftermath of a Russian UMPK-5 jet-powered glide-bomb strike on the Pivdennyi Bridge in Dnipro.

This attack, which took place yesterday, involved five glide-bombs. The other four missed the bridge and fell in the surrounding areas.

At least two fires seen burning on NASA FIRMS in the city of Izyum, Kharkiv Oblast, following an overnight Russian Geran-2/4 drone attack.

Because the Ukrainian counteroffensive near Lyman has pushed the Russians significantly back from Izyum, Russia has turned to using longer-range drones, MLRS, and KAB glide-bombs to attack the city, rather than shorter-range MLRS, artillery, and FPV drones.

The eastern outskirts of Izyum used to be around 20 km from the frontline. Now it is around 47 km away.