2 MiG-31K fighter jets are also airborne. They took off from Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast, presumably also for the "Centre-2026" exercises.

There's also a Tu-22m3 strategic bomber airborne from Olenya Airbase, flying to Akhtubinsk for the same purpose.

❗️Russia may carry out a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine tonight.

According to available information, Russia has accumulated at least 30 ground-based missiles of various types, including Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles, RM-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles, Kn-23 ballistic missiles, and Oniks-M supersonic cruise missiles. About a third of these missiles are Kn-23 ballistics.

In Bryansk Oblast (Klintsy, Bryansk City, & Pochep), Iskander-Ms and RM-48Us are present.

In Kursk Oblast (Fatezh, Manturovo, & Zheleznogorsk), Oniks and Zircons are present.

In Voronezh Oblast (Liski & Novovornezh), Kn-23s are present.

In Rostov Oblast (Millerovo & Taganrog), Zircons and Iskander-Ms are present.

The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Dnipro, and Kremenchuk (Poltava Oblast). Potential targets include thermal power plants and hydroelectric power plants in Kyiv and Dnipro (CHP-4/5/6 TPPs, Trypillya TPP, Prydniprovska TPP, Kyiv HPP, Dniprodzerzhynsk HPP), as well as the Kremenchuk Oil Refinery and the Kremenchuk TPP.

If the attack does take place, Geran-4 and Geran-5 jet-drones will also be used.

There is also a possibility of Kalibr cruise missiles being launched from Buyan-M corvettes in the Caspian Sea, although this information may be related to the ongoing "Centre-2026" exercises, rather than a potential attack.

Strategic bombers will not partake in this attack.

The highest threat is from 11pm to 3:30am (Kyiv Time).

The information provided is preliminary and unconfirmed. There is no guarantee that an attack will indeed take place, just an increased threat.

Yesterday, a Ukrainian MiG-29 of the 40th Tactical Aviation Brigade was shot down by a Russian R-37/77 air-to-air missile launched by a Su-35 fighter jet.

The pilot, 25-year-old Captain Mambetov Marat Redvanovich, ejected after the aircraft was hit, but did not survive.

The MiG-29 was likely shot down near the village of Dolynske in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast at 1:16pm, after it was returning from a combat mission to launch glide-bombs at Russian positions in the Orikhiv direction. A Russian Su-35 which was circling in the area of Mykhailivka, Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia Oblast, at the time, and launched two R-37M air-to-air missiles. An explosion was heard in Dolynske, likely from the aircraft being shot down.

If events played out how I think they did, this should be how the situation occurred.

1:10pm: The Ukrainian MiG-29 launches glide-bombs at Russian positions in the Orikhiv direction, and then flies west.

11:12: The MiG-29 is heard flying west over Zaporizhzhia City.

11:13: The Russian Su-35 launches two R-37M air-to-air missiles from near Mykhailivka, Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

11:14: An explosion is heard near Dolynka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, as the MiG-29 is shot down.

Ansarallah reports that Saudi fighter jets carried out 47 airstrikes on Yemen in the last 24 hours, bringing the total to 1,256.