AMK Mapping
If the attack does take place tonight, 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers will take off from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East in approximately 7 hours; reach their launch lines in around 12 hours, 30 minutes; and missiles will enter Ukrainian airspace in aroundโฆ
There is also information that Russia intends to launch up to 15 Kn-23 ballistic missiles from near Liski, Voronezh Oblast, during the upcoming combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
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Good morning. Attack tonight.
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โ๏ธRussia intends to launch a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine tonight, involving strategic bombers, ballistic missiles, and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles.
2-4 Tu-160M strategic bombers departed from Ukrainka Airbase in the far east nearly 2 hours ago, flying northwest to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast.
Communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow on combat frequencies have been recorded in the last 10 minutes. 6-8 Tu-95MS strategic bombers will take off from Olenya Airbase in the next 2.5 hours.
Additionally, up to 34 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Kn-23 ballistic missiles, and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles may be launched from Bryansk, Kursk, Voronezh, and Rostov Oblasts. Kh-59/69 and Kalibr cruise missiles may also be used. S8000 Banderol cruise missiles, Geran-4 jet-drones, and Geran-2 drones are also expected to be used.
The highest threat is to Kyiv city and Kyiv Oblast, although there is also a threat to the western regions of Ukraine (especially Lviv Oblast), and the central regions of Ukraine (Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, & Cherkasy Oblasts).
Live updates will now follow below for the next several hours. Stay tuned!
2-4 Tu-160M strategic bombers departed from Ukrainka Airbase in the far east nearly 2 hours ago, flying northwest to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast.
Communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow on combat frequencies have been recorded in the last 10 minutes. 6-8 Tu-95MS strategic bombers will take off from Olenya Airbase in the next 2.5 hours.
Additionally, up to 34 Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Kn-23 ballistic missiles, and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles may be launched from Bryansk, Kursk, Voronezh, and Rostov Oblasts. Kh-59/69 and Kalibr cruise missiles may also be used. S8000 Banderol cruise missiles, Geran-4 jet-drones, and Geran-2 drones are also expected to be used.
The highest threat is to Kyiv city and Kyiv Oblast, although there is also a threat to the western regions of Ukraine (especially Lviv Oblast), and the central regions of Ukraine (Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, & Cherkasy Oblasts).
Live updates will now follow below for the next several hours. Stay tuned!
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Based on available information, this attack will be larger than usual. We could see up to 60 Kh-101 cruise missiles used if all 8 Tu-95MS + 4 Tu-160M strategic bombers launch.
According to western intelligence provided to Ukraine, up to 34 ballistic missiles (Kn-23 + Iskander-M) and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles could be used. This number does not include RM-48U modified S-400s.
Geran-4 jet-drones will continue to harass Ukrainian airspace for the next few hours to try drain Ukrainian air defence ahead of the cruise missiles, although no attacks on Kyiv will occur for at least another two hours, as the โKyiv air ceasefireโ has not yet ended.
According to western intelligence provided to Ukraine, up to 34 ballistic missiles (Kn-23 + Iskander-M) and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles could be used. This number does not include RM-48U modified S-400s.
Geran-4 jet-drones will continue to harass Ukrainian airspace for the next few hours to try drain Ukrainian air defence ahead of the cruise missiles, although no attacks on Kyiv will occur for at least another two hours, as the โKyiv air ceasefireโ has not yet ended.
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The โKyiv air ceasefireโ is set to end in around 50 minutes.
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Forwarded from Clรฉment Molin
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During the last 6 months, Russia ๐ท๐บ dropped more than 10 000 FAB bombs in the Ukrainian ๐บ๐ฆ controled Donbas
Russian offensive continues in the region on 3 main axes, east of Kramatorsk, south of Drujkivka and north-west of Pokrovsk.
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Russian offensive continues in the region on 3 main axes, east of Kramatorsk, south of Drujkivka and north-west of Pokrovsk.
๐งตTHREAD๐งต1/10 โฌ๏ธ
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The 72-hour โKyiv air ceasefireโ is set to end in around 25 minutes.
AMK Mapping
Communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow on combat frequencies have been recorded in the last 10 minutes
For those curious, the communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow are occurring on 4330 CW kHz. This is the most common combat frequency to be used for this time of year.
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The 72-hour โKyiv air ceasefireโ has officially ended.
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In the last few hours, Russian Geran-2 drones and Geran-4 jet-drones targeted the following locations:
Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
Hlevakha, Kyiv Oblast
Boryspil, Kyiv Oblast
Zhmerynka, Vinnytsia Oblast
Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
Hlevakha, Kyiv Oblast
Boryspil, Kyiv Oblast
Zhmerynka, Vinnytsia Oblast
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A missile is detected in Sumy Oblast near Yunakivka. Might be Russian air defence.
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AMK Mapping
A missile is detected in Sumy Oblast near Yunakivka. Might be Russian air defence.
Explosions are heard in Kursk City.
Russian S-300 air defence is trying to shoot down Ukrainian drones both over Kursk and over Sumy Oblast as they enter Russian airspace.
Russian S-300 air defence is trying to shoot down Ukrainian drones both over Kursk and over Sumy Oblast as they enter Russian airspace.
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The first several Russian Geran-4 jet-drones are approaching Kyiv
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Kyiv Iskander threat from Bryansk
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4 Iskander-Ms may have been launched
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AMK Mapping
4 Iskander-Ms may have been launched
This is also likely Russian S-300 air defence launches against Ukrainian drones, which are flying to Moscow right now.
Forwarded from falcon
๐ท๐บ๐ต Russian Geran type drone doing extensive reconnaissance of Trypilska thermal power plant tonight
๐ Possible target for missiles tonight
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Up to 8 Tu-95MS have departed Olenya Airbase, flying south to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast.
2-3 Tu-160Ms are continuing to fly west to Vologda Oblast as well.
2-3 Tu-160Ms are continuing to fly west to Vologda Oblast as well.
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