Ukrainian long-range drones attacked the Ryazan Oil Refinery this morning, resulting in multiple large fires breaking out.
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Forwarded from WillyOAM
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Ukrainian NABU (National anti-corruption bureau) & SAPO (specialised anti-corruption prosecutors office) have stormed the headquarters of the prosecutor general of Ukraine.
Kyiv independent reports that Prosecutor General Ruslan Kravchenko could be implicated and NABU has detained the deputy head of the international cooperation department of the prosecutor generals office.
This comes after the shootout between GUR & SBU in Kyiv, and a suspect drone strike on the SBU headquarters.
There's limited, but in-depth reporting that there's increased factional fighting among elites over the division of the profits from the scam call centres.
With some figures suggesting this network of scam calls employs 60,000 people and makes $1 billion a month
Kyiv independent reports that Prosecutor General Ruslan Kravchenko could be implicated and NABU has detained the deputy head of the international cooperation department of the prosecutor generals office.
This comes after the shootout between GUR & SBU in Kyiv, and a suspect drone strike on the SBU headquarters.
There's limited, but in-depth reporting that there's increased factional fighting among elites over the division of the profits from the scam call centres.
With some figures suggesting this network of scam calls employs 60,000 people and makes $1 billion a month
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I removed an earlier post I made about an AI generated video of a Ukrainian flag being raised over the Kinburn Spit after it came to my attention that it was misleading.
I was under the impression that it was posted by a Ukrainian military channel, and reposted by @union_klen, but apparently it was sent to them via DMs by a scammer.
This video was not an attempt by the Ukrainian military to deceive people into thinking a landing operation on Kinburn Spit had taken place, but instead a random person trying to trick a small channel. The post made it sound like this was them criticising the Ukrainian military for using AI (which has happened before with other units such as Skala), but instead they were making fun of the scammer who sent it to them.
Apologies for the confusion.
I was under the impression that it was posted by a Ukrainian military channel, and reposted by @union_klen, but apparently it was sent to them via DMs by a scammer.
This video was not an attempt by the Ukrainian military to deceive people into thinking a landing operation on Kinburn Spit had taken place, but instead a random person trying to trick a small channel. The post made it sound like this was them criticising the Ukrainian military for using AI (which has happened before with other units such as Skala), but instead they were making fun of the scammer who sent it to them.
Apologies for the confusion.
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There will be some major Lyman developments soon 👀
Can't say much right now, but I will write more when I can.
Can't say much right now, but I will write more when I can.
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Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes heavily damaged the main highway bridge in the centre of Kramatorsk.
This is the first main bridge in Kramatorsk to be targeted so far.
This is the first main bridge in Kramatorsk to be targeted so far.
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This is a very misleading, and even outright false statement.
1. That is according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources (Deepstate) and the Ukrainian general staff. Actual independent open sources do not report anything near what you are saying.
2. Ukraine carried out 70 long-range strikes, now try guess how many Russia carried out? Spoiler alert, it’s about 10 times more, according to Ukrainian media themselves. If you want to claim Russia is losing, then you can’t just look at figures from one side that are the most comfortable to you.
3. Again, only according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources. Most truly independent mappers have actually reported an increase in the rate of Russian advances in recent months.
4. “At the current pace of advance, blah blah blah” we’re almost 5 years into this war and we’re still parroting this fucking ridiculous linear warfare claim?? How many times does it have to be said that advances in a war of attrition are NOT linear. They also aren’t even the main indicator of who is winning an attritional war. Remember how it went from “at the current rate of advance Russia will need 1,000 years to take Kyiv”, to “500 years” to now “90 years”. That’s decreasing precisely because advances aren’t linear. This claim is fucking absurd and it’s a blatant misrepresentation of reality.
Ignoring the uncomfortable realities and underestimating your enemy only makes the situation even worse.
1. That is according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources (Deepstate) and the Ukrainian general staff. Actual independent open sources do not report anything near what you are saying.
2. Ukraine carried out 70 long-range strikes, now try guess how many Russia carried out? Spoiler alert, it’s about 10 times more, according to Ukrainian media themselves. If you want to claim Russia is losing, then you can’t just look at figures from one side that are the most comfortable to you.
3. Again, only according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources. Most truly independent mappers have actually reported an increase in the rate of Russian advances in recent months.
4. “At the current pace of advance, blah blah blah” we’re almost 5 years into this war and we’re still parroting this fucking ridiculous linear warfare claim?? How many times does it have to be said that advances in a war of attrition are NOT linear. They also aren’t even the main indicator of who is winning an attritional war. Remember how it went from “at the current rate of advance Russia will need 1,000 years to take Kyiv”, to “500 years” to now “90 years”. That’s decreasing precisely because advances aren’t linear. This claim is fucking absurd and it’s a blatant misrepresentation of reality.
Ignoring the uncomfortable realities and underestimating your enemy only makes the situation even worse.
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Russian FPV drones continue to race through the streets of Slovyansk, hitting Ukrainian military vehicles used for logistics.
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AMK Mapping
There will be some major Lyman developments soon 👀 Can't say much right now, but I will write more when I can.
❗️The Russian salient north of Lyman has officially been cleared by Ukrainian forces.
Over the last week, the remaining Russian formations withdrew from their bridgehead west of the Nitrius River, and then further east towards the Zherebets River. Ukrainian forces have recaptured the villages of Shandryholove, Serednje, Zelena Dolnya, Derylove, and Novomykhailivka, and most of the forests between them.
Right now, Ukrainian forces are attempting to reach the Zherebets River from several different directions. The main thrust is taking place down the gullies from the direction of Nove, where they are approaching the villages of Ivanivka and Terny. Other assault groups are actively fighting for Kolodyazi and are close to establishing full control over it, while attacks are taking place along the gullies on the flanks of the settlement.
Meanwhile, on the far left flank of this counteroffensive, Ukrainian forces recaptured the village of Novomykhailivka and are expanding their zone of infiltration along the gulley towards Novolyubivka. Some small groups of soldiers have managed to cross over into Luhansk Oblast and are attempting to capture some positions in the forests there. On the far right flank of this push, Ukrainian forces are intensifying their infiltrations into Zarichne, expanding the grey-zone in the northern streets, and are now trying to cross the Zherebets River and recapture the strongpoints at the Torske Fish Farm.
With this Russian salient now gone, the threat of encirclement for Lyman has been eliminated, and significant pressure on Slovyansk and Borova has been alleviated. Over a year of Russian progress and offensive operations has now been completely reversed. I will make a more in-depth analysis post on the tactical-level and strategic implications of this counteroffensive later.
+ ~151.88 km² in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
NOTE: the sources I used for this include my own information from the ground, multiple Russian channels, and an analysis of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. The information from the ground included was not used to identify the current frontline configuration. The only part of that information I took into account for this update was the fact that the salient had been cleared, which is confirmed by open sources. The majority of this information was gathered from open sources, and it does not break Ukraine's OPSEC regime.
Over the last week, the remaining Russian formations withdrew from their bridgehead west of the Nitrius River, and then further east towards the Zherebets River. Ukrainian forces have recaptured the villages of Shandryholove, Serednje, Zelena Dolnya, Derylove, and Novomykhailivka, and most of the forests between them.
Right now, Ukrainian forces are attempting to reach the Zherebets River from several different directions. The main thrust is taking place down the gullies from the direction of Nove, where they are approaching the villages of Ivanivka and Terny. Other assault groups are actively fighting for Kolodyazi and are close to establishing full control over it, while attacks are taking place along the gullies on the flanks of the settlement.
Meanwhile, on the far left flank of this counteroffensive, Ukrainian forces recaptured the village of Novomykhailivka and are expanding their zone of infiltration along the gulley towards Novolyubivka. Some small groups of soldiers have managed to cross over into Luhansk Oblast and are attempting to capture some positions in the forests there. On the far right flank of this push, Ukrainian forces are intensifying their infiltrations into Zarichne, expanding the grey-zone in the northern streets, and are now trying to cross the Zherebets River and recapture the strongpoints at the Torske Fish Farm.
With this Russian salient now gone, the threat of encirclement for Lyman has been eliminated, and significant pressure on Slovyansk and Borova has been alleviated. Over a year of Russian progress and offensive operations has now been completely reversed. I will make a more in-depth analysis post on the tactical-level and strategic implications of this counteroffensive later.
+ ~151.88 km² in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
NOTE: the sources I used for this include my own information from the ground, multiple Russian channels, and an analysis of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. The information from the ground included was not used to identify the current frontline configuration. The only part of that information I took into account for this update was the fact that the salient had been cleared, which is confirmed by open sources. The majority of this information was gathered from open sources, and it does not break Ukraine's OPSEC regime.
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AMK Mapping
❗️The Russian salient north of Lyman has officially been cleared by Ukrainian forces. Over the last week, the remaining Russian formations withdrew from their bridgehead west of the Nitrius River, and then further east towards the Zherebets River. Ukrainian…
I'd like to note that pretty much all of the Russian formations were able to withdraw before being encircled. This was already occurring a few weeks ago from west of the Nitrius River, but an order to withdraw from the areas between the Nitrius and Zherebets River was given some time after September 1.
This order was given once it became clear to the Russian command that their forces defending the Kolodyazi and Zelena Dolnya areas would be unable to prevent the salient from being cut off. They withdrew to prevent the ~200-300 remaining Russian soldiers defending this salient from being encircled and captured.
The high density of forested areas and foliage, along with artillery crews and Su-34s dropping KAB glide-bombs provided cover for this phased withdrawal to take place, so it's unlikely that any significant casualties were suffered by them in the process.
This order was given once it became clear to the Russian command that their forces defending the Kolodyazi and Zelena Dolnya areas would be unable to prevent the salient from being cut off. They withdrew to prevent the ~200-300 remaining Russian soldiers defending this salient from being encircled and captured.
The high density of forested areas and foliage, along with artillery crews and Su-34s dropping KAB glide-bombs provided cover for this phased withdrawal to take place, so it's unlikely that any significant casualties were suffered by them in the process.
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Forwarded from Machinery Info
🇷🇺Россия потеряла сразу 3 борта ТА
4 сентября, во время атаки на Сочи, украинские БПЛА поразили стоянку вертолётов возле аэродрома. Были уничтожены:
• разведывательно-ударный вертолёт Ка-52;
• ударный вертолёт Ми-28;
Так же был поврежден вертолёт Ми-8. Это достаточно серьезная потеря для российской тактической авиации.
P.S: помимо авиации, были поражены 2 ПУ С-300 и 1 ЗРПК «Панцирь».
===========================
🇷🇺Russia lost three tactical aircraft at once
On September 4, during the attack on Sochi, Ukrainian UAVs hit a helicopter parking lot near the airfield. The following were destroyed:
• a Ka-52 reconnaissance and attack helicopter;
• an Mi-28 attack helicopter;
An Mi-8 helicopter was also damaged. This is a significant loss for Russian tactical aviation.
P.S: In addition to the aircraft, two S-300 launchers and one Pantsir air defense missile and gun system were hit.
Machinery Info
4 сентября, во время атаки на Сочи, украинские БПЛА поразили стоянку вертолётов возле аэродрома. Были уничтожены:
• разведывательно-ударный вертолёт Ка-52;
• ударный вертолёт Ми-28;
Так же был поврежден вертолёт Ми-8. Это достаточно серьезная потеря для российской тактической авиации.
P.S: помимо авиации, были поражены 2 ПУ С-300 и 1 ЗРПК «Панцирь».
===========================
🇷🇺Russia lost three tactical aircraft at once
On September 4, during the attack on Sochi, Ukrainian UAVs hit a helicopter parking lot near the airfield. The following were destroyed:
• a Ka-52 reconnaissance and attack helicopter;
• an Mi-28 attack helicopter;
An Mi-8 helicopter was also damaged. This is a significant loss for Russian tactical aviation.
P.S: In addition to the aircraft, two S-300 launchers and one Pantsir air defense missile and gun system were hit.
Machinery Info
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The situation on the Dobropillya & Druzhkivka directions continues to deteriorate for Ukraine:
Over the last week, Russian forces have significantly expanded their zone of infiltration, with several groups of their DRGs reaching the outskirts of Druzhkivka, and even into Bilozerske. Small assault groups have also began operating north of the "New Donbas" Line - the multi-layered defensive line aimed at forming a massive FPV drone kill-zone for Russian infantry.
In the east, Russian forces improved their positions in the area of Petrivka, while DRGs infiltrated up to the northern edge of Raiske on the outskirts of Druzhkivka. Some small assault groups crossed the Hruzka River and continued infiltrating Novomykolaivka, while DRGs expanded their zone of infiltration up to Novoandriivka and the nearby chalk quarries and entered the village of Novohryhorivka.
To the west, the Russians captured a number of positions on the tactical heights north of Stepy, continued entering Rubizhne, and began infiltrating DRGs across the New Donbas Line into Zolotyi Kolodyaz. Additionally, as a result of recent advances in the Kucheriv Yar area, some Russian DRGs managed to infiltrate up to 10 km, moving along a forested gulley north of Hruzke and are operating along the Dobropillya-Kramatorsk Highway, in the same area where the maximum extent of infiltration was achieved during the August 2025 breakthrough.
In the area of Dobropillya, Russian DRGs were detected operating in the southeastern high-rise buildings of Bilozerske City on September 2nd, while additional DRG infiltrations occurred in the direction of Vesele Pole. Meanwhile, Russian forces continued infiltrating Dobropillya City from the east, southeast, and south, while Ukrainian forces managed to clear the territory of the Dobropillya mine. Out of the 4 previously usable sealed roads into Dobropillya, one is physically cut, while the other 3 have Russian DRGs operating along them.
Over the last week, Russian forces have significantly expanded their zone of infiltration, with several groups of their DRGs reaching the outskirts of Druzhkivka, and even into Bilozerske. Small assault groups have also began operating north of the "New Donbas" Line - the multi-layered defensive line aimed at forming a massive FPV drone kill-zone for Russian infantry.
In the east, Russian forces improved their positions in the area of Petrivka, while DRGs infiltrated up to the northern edge of Raiske on the outskirts of Druzhkivka. Some small assault groups crossed the Hruzka River and continued infiltrating Novomykolaivka, while DRGs expanded their zone of infiltration up to Novoandriivka and the nearby chalk quarries and entered the village of Novohryhorivka.
To the west, the Russians captured a number of positions on the tactical heights north of Stepy, continued entering Rubizhne, and began infiltrating DRGs across the New Donbas Line into Zolotyi Kolodyaz. Additionally, as a result of recent advances in the Kucheriv Yar area, some Russian DRGs managed to infiltrate up to 10 km, moving along a forested gulley north of Hruzke and are operating along the Dobropillya-Kramatorsk Highway, in the same area where the maximum extent of infiltration was achieved during the August 2025 breakthrough.
In the area of Dobropillya, Russian DRGs were detected operating in the southeastern high-rise buildings of Bilozerske City on September 2nd, while additional DRG infiltrations occurred in the direction of Vesele Pole. Meanwhile, Russian forces continued infiltrating Dobropillya City from the east, southeast, and south, while Ukrainian forces managed to clear the territory of the Dobropillya mine. Out of the 4 previously usable sealed roads into Dobropillya, one is physically cut, while the other 3 have Russian DRGs operating along them.
There is precisely zero evidence that Putin has set any deadlines for the capture of Donetsk Oblast. All of these claims have been made by the Ukrainian government.
It's a propaganda tactic. When you invent a fake goal for your enemy that you know they wont achieve, you can then turn and say their offensive "completely failed". Basing your analysis on this complete and utter lie will naturally create results skewed in favour of Ukraine.
In reality, there is no evidence that Russia has set any of these goals, beyond just unfounded PR claims made by the Ukrainian government.
Why does anyone take ISW seriously...
It's a propaganda tactic. When you invent a fake goal for your enemy that you know they wont achieve, you can then turn and say their offensive "completely failed". Basing your analysis on this complete and utter lie will naturally create results skewed in favour of Ukraine.
In reality, there is no evidence that Russia has set any of these goals, beyond just unfounded PR claims made by the Ukrainian government.
Why does anyone take ISW seriously...
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AMK Mapping
The situation on the Dobropillya & Druzhkivka directions continues to deteriorate for Ukraine: Over the last week, Russian forces have significantly expanded their zone of infiltration, with several groups of their DRGs reaching the outskirts of Druzhkivka…
These are the locations where Russian DRGs were detected in the last few days, according to my information. The other locations not mentioned here were gathered from open sources.
Notably, Russian DRGs entered the southeastern high-rise buildings of Bilozerske on September 2nd (48.53075, 37.07131) and it's currently unknown if they were cleared out or retreated. Additionally, DRGs were detected in the northern-most houses of Raiske (48.5885, 37.47347) about 600 metres from the first houses of Druzhkivka.
The other locations where they were detected was along the highway just south of Novotroitske (48.5697, 37.2171) and at multiple locations along the forested gully to the southeast.
Notably, Russian DRGs entered the southeastern high-rise buildings of Bilozerske on September 2nd (48.53075, 37.07131) and it's currently unknown if they were cleared out or retreated. Additionally, DRGs were detected in the northern-most houses of Raiske (48.5885, 37.47347) about 600 metres from the first houses of Druzhkivka.
The other locations where they were detected was along the highway just south of Novotroitske (48.5697, 37.2171) and at multiple locations along the forested gully to the southeast.
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In the Kramatorsk direction, a few days ago a Russian DRG group was detected approximately 1.7 km of Kramatorsk's first houses, along the hill west of Vasylivska Pustosh overlooking the city.
Therefore, there is a risk of Russian DRGs operating within Kramatorsk city in the near future if Russian assault groups operating further east are not pushed back.
Meanwhile, Russian forces continue to advance east of Kramatorsk, expanding the grey-zone in the areas of Zapovidne and Orikhuvatka, and the infiltration zone near Pershomarivka.
The situation continues to deteriorate, and the recent loss of the majority of the dominant heights between Kramatorsk and Bakhmut will allow Russian forces to advance much further in the coming weeks and months.
Therefore, there is a risk of Russian DRGs operating within Kramatorsk city in the near future if Russian assault groups operating further east are not pushed back.
Meanwhile, Russian forces continue to advance east of Kramatorsk, expanding the grey-zone in the areas of Zapovidne and Orikhuvatka, and the infiltration zone near Pershomarivka.
The situation continues to deteriorate, and the recent loss of the majority of the dominant heights between Kramatorsk and Bakhmut will allow Russian forces to advance much further in the coming weeks and months.
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