Current zones of mandatory evacuation for civilian families in the remaining parts of Donetsk Oblast under Ukrainian control:
The evacuation zones (yellow) in areas under Ukrainian control cover an area of approximately 2,520 km² out of ~4,130 km² of Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, which equates to about 61% of the territory.
Just 1,610 km² of Donetsk Oblast remain in an area with only recommended evacuation orders, rather than mandatory. That means that approximately 94% of the region is either under Russian control or under mandatory evacuations (effectively meaning they are "dead" areas).
This equates to about 97% of the total area of Donbas being either under Russian control, or "dead" areas, with only around 3% of Donbas being liveable areas under Ukrainian control.
Additionally, approximately 30% of Slovyansk city and 10% of Kramatorsk city are part of these evacuation zones, which include the most dangerous streets and neighbourhoods.
A total of 92,932 civilians remain in Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, and 0 in Ukrainian-controlled Luhansk Oblast. This number has more than halved since January 2026, when it was reported at 192,600. It has decreased by nearly 40,000 in just the last 2 months.
In the coming months, the final areas of Donetsk Oblast will be declared areas of mandatory evacuation, and the region will become the second in Ukraine (other than Crimea) after Luhansk to officially be either fully occupied, or "dead".
The end of 2026 may finally mark the end of Donbas as an area of Ukrainian society, after nearly 13 years of war.
The evacuation zones (yellow) in areas under Ukrainian control cover an area of approximately 2,520 km² out of ~4,130 km² of Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, which equates to about 61% of the territory.
Just 1,610 km² of Donetsk Oblast remain in an area with only recommended evacuation orders, rather than mandatory. That means that approximately 94% of the region is either under Russian control or under mandatory evacuations (effectively meaning they are "dead" areas).
This equates to about 97% of the total area of Donbas being either under Russian control, or "dead" areas, with only around 3% of Donbas being liveable areas under Ukrainian control.
Additionally, approximately 30% of Slovyansk city and 10% of Kramatorsk city are part of these evacuation zones, which include the most dangerous streets and neighbourhoods.
A total of 92,932 civilians remain in Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, and 0 in Ukrainian-controlled Luhansk Oblast. This number has more than halved since January 2026, when it was reported at 192,600. It has decreased by nearly 40,000 in just the last 2 months.
In the coming months, the final areas of Donetsk Oblast will be declared areas of mandatory evacuation, and the region will become the second in Ukraine (other than Crimea) after Luhansk to officially be either fully occupied, or "dead".
The end of 2026 may finally mark the end of Donbas as an area of Ukrainian society, after nearly 13 years of war.
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AMK Mapping
Current zones of mandatory evacuation for civilian families in the remaining parts of Donetsk Oblast under Ukrainian control: The evacuation zones (yellow) in areas under Ukrainian control cover an area of approximately 2,520 km² out of ~4,130 km² of Ukrainian…
Here's a clearer map showing how small the remaining 3% of the "liveable" parts of Donbas, with continued day-to-day civilian life, is.
This area includes the majority of the cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, the towns of Novodonetske, Cherkaske, and Oleksandrivka, and various smaller villages.
This area includes the majority of the cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, the towns of Novodonetske, Cherkaske, and Oleksandrivka, and various smaller villages.
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Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
A Russian KAB strike has killed Yaroslav Ovsyuk, a Mavick operator from the 38th Marine Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Owner and operator of the Ukrainian Telegram channel "Ovsyuk 3.0" which I had used multiple times. He warned of the situation befalling Dobropillya, it is now his final place of rest.
Thanks for the Info, RIP.
Owner and operator of the Ukrainian Telegram channel "Ovsyuk 3.0" which I had used multiple times. He warned of the situation befalling Dobropillya, it is now his final place of rest.
Thanks for the Info, RIP.
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Russia’s 3-day-halt to strikes on Kyiv has now begun.
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Two S8000 Banderol cruise missiles are flying west from Sribne, Chernihiv Oblast, towards Kyiv Oblast.
Another 2 fly southwest past Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast.
Another 2 fly southwest past Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast.
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NOTE: the ceasefire is only in place for Kyiv *city*.
Russia may still attack Kyiv Oblast, although I doubt areas of the Kyiv metropolitan area within Kyiv Oblast will be hit. If any attacks do occur, it will probably be on neighbouring towns/cities.
Russia may still attack Kyiv Oblast, although I doubt areas of the Kyiv metropolitan area within Kyiv Oblast will be hit. If any attacks do occur, it will probably be on neighbouring towns/cities.
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The IRGC released footage showing the targeting of 4 container ships and oil tankers with Rezvan kamikaze drones in the Strait of Hormuz, which they say were travelling without Iranian authorisation.
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Footage showing the impact of a Russian Geran-2 drone in the city of Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
A civilian walks by on the phone, and doesn't even look up when the drone impacts.
A civilian walks by on the phone, and doesn't even look up when the drone impacts.
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AMK Mapping
Footage showing the impact of a Russian Geran-2 drone in the city of Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. A civilian walks by on the phone, and doesn't even look up when the drone impacts.
A large fire broke out in Synelnykove following the Russian Geran-2 drone strikes. NASA FIRMS data indicates that the target was a warehouse in the vicinity of the railway line.
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This afternoon, Russian Geran-4 jet-drones attacked targets in western Ukraine.
In Zhytomyr city, strikes were carried out on a food processing plant, resulting in a large fire breaking out which was quickly contained.
In Khmelnytskyi City, drones targeted a Nova Poshta terminal, sparking a fire.
In Zhytomyr city, strikes were carried out on a food processing plant, resulting in a large fire breaking out which was quickly contained.
In Khmelnytskyi City, drones targeted a Nova Poshta terminal, sparking a fire.
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The IRGC announced targeting a U.S. Aircraft Carrier along with another warship with anti-ship ballistic missiles, and claimed to have damaged them, forcing the vessels to flee the conflict zone.
Earlier, CENTCOM confirmed the IRGC launched ballistic missiles at U.S. Navy vessels, but denied any damage occurred, claiming a U.S. aircraft carrier and guided-missile destroyer successfully evaded the attacks.
Earlier, CENTCOM confirmed the IRGC launched ballistic missiles at U.S. Navy vessels, but denied any damage occurred, claiming a U.S. aircraft carrier and guided-missile destroyer successfully evaded the attacks.
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AMK Mapping
Today, Putin made a claim that might be the most ridiculous thing to come out of the Russian government so far during this war... He claimed that Russia captured the city of Svyatorhirsk, west of Lyman. For reference, Svyatohirsk is currently nearly 10 km…
The Svyatohirsk clown-show continues...
Following Putin's false claims on September 2 where he alleged that Russian forces captured Svyatohirsk (a rear city with a continued presence of even Ukrainian municipal authorities), the Zapad Group of Forces published two videos trying to back this statement up.
The first was a video reportedly showing a Russian soldier walking through the city streets. In reality, this video was recorded by a Ukrainian over a year ago. Zapad just muted the original video and added their own audio track over it of a Russian soldier speaking, which is why their video sounds so weird. I have attached the original year-old video above.
The second video showed a Russian soldier in front of a Svyatohirsk sign, although this time its in a completely different part of the city. However, when taking a closer look, the bushes in the background start shapeshifting, and it has the same unrealistic audio seen in the first video. This one is AI-generated.
Following Putin's false claims on September 2 where he alleged that Russian forces captured Svyatohirsk (a rear city with a continued presence of even Ukrainian municipal authorities), the Zapad Group of Forces published two videos trying to back this statement up.
The first was a video reportedly showing a Russian soldier walking through the city streets. In reality, this video was recorded by a Ukrainian over a year ago. Zapad just muted the original video and added their own audio track over it of a Russian soldier speaking, which is why their video sounds so weird. I have attached the original year-old video above.
The second video showed a Russian soldier in front of a Svyatohirsk sign, although this time its in a completely different part of the city. However, when taking a closer look, the bushes in the background start shapeshifting, and it has the same unrealistic audio seen in the first video. This one is AI-generated.
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