This morning, Russia continued to attack Zaporizhzhia City with Geran-4 jet-drones. Multiple impacts were recorded.
Among the targets hit was a parking lot containing a number of trucks, where a large fire subsequently broke out.
Among the targets hit was a parking lot containing a number of trucks, where a large fire subsequently broke out.
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The town of Novodonetske, Donetsk Oblast, has come under intensified Russian KAB glide-bomb and drone attacks in recent days, as the frontline approaches from the direction of Dobropillya.
Novodonetske is one of the two last remaining significant "liveable" towns in western Donetsk Oblast (the other is Oleksandrivka), and is not currently under any mandatory evacuation orders. After Bilozerske, it will presumably be the next town to be destroyed.
As of now, the frontline is still around 17 km from the southern outskirts of the town, while the forward-most DRGs have been detected around 13 km away on the southern approaches to Bilozerske.
Novodonetske is one of the two last remaining significant "liveable" towns in western Donetsk Oblast (the other is Oleksandrivka), and is not currently under any mandatory evacuation orders. After Bilozerske, it will presumably be the next town to be destroyed.
As of now, the frontline is still around 17 km from the southern outskirts of the town, while the forward-most DRGs have been detected around 13 km away on the southern approaches to Bilozerske.
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Kremlin Spokesperson Peskov stated that Putin has ordered a 3-day halt to all strikes on Kyiv, starting midnight tonight, to allow for the visit of (de facto) U.S. envoy to Putin Steve Witkoff and U.S. Special Envoy for Peace Jared Kushner to the city.
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AMK Mapping
Additional information about the upcoming combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine involving strategic bombers: 3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East will be used in this attack, rather than 2. A 3rd one is redeploying to Engels…
With Putin having ordered a 3-day halt to all strikes on Kyiv starting tonight, the upcoming large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine which was expected to take place either tonight or tomorrow night has likely been postponed, presumably to Wednesday or Thursday.
Yesterday, a 6th Russian Tu-95MS strategic bomber flew to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, before flying back to Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. Thus, there are now 3 Tu-160M and 6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers equipped with missiles at Ukrainka Airbase - the expected number for this next large-scale attack.
Yesterday, a 6th Russian Tu-95MS strategic bomber flew to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, before flying back to Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. Thus, there are now 3 Tu-160M and 6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers equipped with missiles at Ukrainka Airbase - the expected number for this next large-scale attack.
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Current zones of mandatory evacuation for civilian families in the remaining parts of Donetsk Oblast under Ukrainian control:
The evacuation zones (yellow) in areas under Ukrainian control cover an area of approximately 2,520 km² out of ~4,130 km² of Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, which equates to about 61% of the territory.
Just 1,610 km² of Donetsk Oblast remain in an area with only recommended evacuation orders, rather than mandatory. That means that approximately 94% of the region is either under Russian control or under mandatory evacuations (effectively meaning they are "dead" areas).
This equates to about 97% of the total area of Donbas being either under Russian control, or "dead" areas, with only around 3% of Donbas being liveable areas under Ukrainian control.
Additionally, approximately 30% of Slovyansk city and 10% of Kramatorsk city are part of these evacuation zones, which include the most dangerous streets and neighbourhoods.
A total of 92,932 civilians remain in Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, and 0 in Ukrainian-controlled Luhansk Oblast. This number has more than halved since January 2026, when it was reported at 192,600. It has decreased by nearly 40,000 in just the last 2 months.
In the coming months, the final areas of Donetsk Oblast will be declared areas of mandatory evacuation, and the region will become the second in Ukraine (other than Crimea) after Luhansk to officially be either fully occupied, or "dead".
The end of 2026 may finally mark the end of Donbas as an area of Ukrainian society, after nearly 13 years of war.
The evacuation zones (yellow) in areas under Ukrainian control cover an area of approximately 2,520 km² out of ~4,130 km² of Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, which equates to about 61% of the territory.
Just 1,610 km² of Donetsk Oblast remain in an area with only recommended evacuation orders, rather than mandatory. That means that approximately 94% of the region is either under Russian control or under mandatory evacuations (effectively meaning they are "dead" areas).
This equates to about 97% of the total area of Donbas being either under Russian control, or "dead" areas, with only around 3% of Donbas being liveable areas under Ukrainian control.
Additionally, approximately 30% of Slovyansk city and 10% of Kramatorsk city are part of these evacuation zones, which include the most dangerous streets and neighbourhoods.
A total of 92,932 civilians remain in Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk Oblast, and 0 in Ukrainian-controlled Luhansk Oblast. This number has more than halved since January 2026, when it was reported at 192,600. It has decreased by nearly 40,000 in just the last 2 months.
In the coming months, the final areas of Donetsk Oblast will be declared areas of mandatory evacuation, and the region will become the second in Ukraine (other than Crimea) after Luhansk to officially be either fully occupied, or "dead".
The end of 2026 may finally mark the end of Donbas as an area of Ukrainian society, after nearly 13 years of war.
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AMK Mapping
Current zones of mandatory evacuation for civilian families in the remaining parts of Donetsk Oblast under Ukrainian control: The evacuation zones (yellow) in areas under Ukrainian control cover an area of approximately 2,520 km² out of ~4,130 km² of Ukrainian…
Here's a clearer map showing how small the remaining 3% of the "liveable" parts of Donbas, with continued day-to-day civilian life, is.
This area includes the majority of the cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, the towns of Novodonetske, Cherkaske, and Oleksandrivka, and various smaller villages.
This area includes the majority of the cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, the towns of Novodonetske, Cherkaske, and Oleksandrivka, and various smaller villages.
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Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
A Russian KAB strike has killed Yaroslav Ovsyuk, a Mavick operator from the 38th Marine Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Owner and operator of the Ukrainian Telegram channel "Ovsyuk 3.0" which I had used multiple times. He warned of the situation befalling Dobropillya, it is now his final place of rest.
Thanks for the Info, RIP.
Owner and operator of the Ukrainian Telegram channel "Ovsyuk 3.0" which I had used multiple times. He warned of the situation befalling Dobropillya, it is now his final place of rest.
Thanks for the Info, RIP.
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Russia’s 3-day-halt to strikes on Kyiv has now begun.
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Two S8000 Banderol cruise missiles are flying west from Sribne, Chernihiv Oblast, towards Kyiv Oblast.
Another 2 fly southwest past Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast.
Another 2 fly southwest past Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast.
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NOTE: the ceasefire is only in place for Kyiv *city*.
Russia may still attack Kyiv Oblast, although I doubt areas of the Kyiv metropolitan area within Kyiv Oblast will be hit. If any attacks do occur, it will probably be on neighbouring towns/cities.
Russia may still attack Kyiv Oblast, although I doubt areas of the Kyiv metropolitan area within Kyiv Oblast will be hit. If any attacks do occur, it will probably be on neighbouring towns/cities.
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The IRGC released footage showing the targeting of 4 container ships and oil tankers with Rezvan kamikaze drones in the Strait of Hormuz, which they say were travelling without Iranian authorisation.
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Footage showing the impact of a Russian Geran-2 drone in the city of Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
A civilian walks by on the phone, and doesn't even look up when the drone impacts.
A civilian walks by on the phone, and doesn't even look up when the drone impacts.
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AMK Mapping
Footage showing the impact of a Russian Geran-2 drone in the city of Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. A civilian walks by on the phone, and doesn't even look up when the drone impacts.
A large fire broke out in Synelnykove following the Russian Geran-2 drone strikes. NASA FIRMS data indicates that the target was a warehouse in the vicinity of the railway line.
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