AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

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Several hours ago, two posts were made by the Ukrainian SBU-affiliated channel Nikolaevsky Vanek stating that a 72-hour ceasefire had been ordered, starting from midnight on September 5.

He claimed that it had been suddenly ordered in connection with the visit of (de facto) U.S. envoy to Putin Steve Witcoff and U.S. Special Envoy for Peace Jared Kushner to Kyiv on Sunday, who were set to arrive via plane to Boryspil Airport (which would mark the first flight into Ukraine by a foreign official since the beginning of the war).

However, in the hours after these posts, Russia continued launches of Geran-2 drone and Geran-4 jet-drones into Ukrainian airspace, and then carried out a large-scale attack on the city of Kamianske in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast using 8 ballistic missiles. Additionally, reports from other channels indicated that individual Ukrainian units had not received any such orders.

It's not known if an actual order was given or not. It's possible Vanek (who is one of the largest and most influential Telegram channels in Ukraine, probably only second to Trukha), was told to lie and say this to try paint the Russians as unwilling to negotiate, after the GUR received information from western intelligence that Russia intended to launch a ballistic missile attack on Kamianske today. This would make sense considering no other media outlets had reported on this ceasefire before Vanek, and Ukrainian military channels did not report receiving any orders to cease fire.

However, it's also possible that there was indeed a ceasefire order given due to the presence of U.S. envoys in Ukraine, but that Russia chose not to abide by it and continue with their pre-planned attacks as a message that they would accept U.S. officials entering Ukraine by air. This would also make sense, considering Russia carried out drone attacks on a stationary aircraft at Zhulanyi Airport in Kyiv and the office of Oleksandr Poklad, the acting head of the SBU, presumably for signalling purposes.

As of now, this remains an extremely strange situation, with no clear answer.
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The Ukrainian Air Force released their claimed figures for how many glide-bomb strikes they carried out on Russian positions during August.

According to them, approximately 300 sorties were carried out by the Ukrainian Air Force - an average of 9.7 per day (unchanged from their July claims). Because this is an official report, this is the maximum number possible. The true number will likely actually be lower as they have an incentive to lie.

In comparison, Russia launched over 8,673 glide-bombs in August (up from 8,300 in July), with an average of ~280 per day (up from 268 in July) (as per the Ukrainian General Staff). The true number is likely slightly higher as this is also an official claim with an incentive to lie.

If we were to make a rough estimate of 2 glide-bombs per Ukrainian sortie, then it would give us an airstrike ratio of around 14.4:1 in favour of Russia (up from 14:1 in July). This has a large margin of error due to Ukraine's incentive to lie, and because Ukraine's numbers include sorties while Russia's include individual munitions.
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The Russian Ministry of Defence issued a statement regarding their overnight missile and drone attacks on Ukraine.

In Dnipropetrovsk oblast, they announced striking the Kametstal Metallurgical Plant in the city of Kamianske, which they allege is used to supply metal products for Ukraine's military-industrial complex.

In Mykolaiv Oblast, the Russian MoD claims to have struck a logistics centre used for store military equipment, as well as the "Mykolaivska" 330 kV electrical substation.

In Odesa Oblast, they claim to have struck a logistics centre in the town of Dachne used to store military equipment, as well as a dry cargo ship at Chornomorsk Port allegedly transporting weapons and other military equipment.

In Kyiv Oblast, the MoD claims that strikes targeted the "Svyatopetrivsky" logistics centre, which they allege stored military equipment; two fuel storage and distribution sites in Blystavytsya and at Hostomel Airport; as well as a radio and electronic intelligence centre in the city of Brovary.
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Aftermath of the overnight Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strikes on the "Svyatopetrivsky" Logistics complex southwest of Kyiv.
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Drone figures for the last 12 hours (5/9/2026):

The Ukrainian Air Force claims that Russia launched 167 Geran-2/3/4/5 and Gerbera drones, while the Russian Ministry of Defence claims that Ukraine launched at least 53 mid-to-long-range drones of various types.
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Overnight, Russian Geran-4 jet-drones attacked another "Epicentr" Shopping Centre, this time in Mykolaiv City.

A large fire broke out after the strikes.
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Iranian Air Force fighter jets are airborne over western Tehran, flying east.
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This morning, Zaporizhzhia City came under attack from Russian Geran-4 jet-drones.

Some sort of enterprise was struck in the northern suburbs of the city, resulting in a fire breaking out.
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Close-up footage showing the impact of Russian Kn-23 and Iskander-M ballistic missiles at the Kamentstal Metallurgical Plant in Kamianske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

At least four civilians were killed in the strikes, and another 5 were injured. Around 8 missiles in total were used during the attacks.
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Russian channels report unusually low Ukrainian drone activity right now, with no long-range drones detected.

The Russian Ministry of Defence claimed that just 53 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight, over Belgorod, Bryansk, Kaluga, Kursk, Ryazan, Tula, and Moscow Oblasts, as well as Krasnodar Krai, Crimea, and the Black Sea.
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Explosions in Dnipro.

The city is under attack from S8000 Banderol cruise missiles.
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Explosions in Samar, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Banderols.
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Poltava City was also attacked by Banderol cruise missiles.
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A Russian S8000 Banderol cruise missile is seen flying over Poltava City before later impacting.
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AMK Mapping
Explosions in Samar, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Banderols.
Repeated explosions in Dnipro. At least 5 Banderol cruise missiles have attacked the city so far.
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One of the Banderol cruise missiles was shot down over Dnipro.
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