The Economist reports that Russia has significantly ramped up its production rate of ballistic missiles, and is now producing approximately 100 units per month, including Iskander-Ms and RM-48U modified S-400s.
Last month, Ukrainian intelligence estimated that Russia produced 65 Iskander-M ballistic missiles in July. If the Ukrainian intelligence and Economist figures are both correct, it would indicate Russia is producing around 35 RM-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles per month.
When taking into account the new Kn-23 ballistic missiles delivered to Russia by North Korea, Russia now has the capacity to launch weekly medium-sized attacks on Kyiv (~15 missiles per attack) without ever decreasing their total missiles in reserve, while still retaining 40 additional newly-produced missiles, as well as all of their Kn-23 ballistic missiles for attacks on different targets.
For reference, in 2022, it was estimated by Ukrainian intelligence that Russia produced just 3 Iskander-Ms per month. They also did not have any RM-48U modified S-400 or Kn-23 ballistic missiles at this time.
Last month, Ukrainian intelligence estimated that Russia produced 65 Iskander-M ballistic missiles in July. If the Ukrainian intelligence and Economist figures are both correct, it would indicate Russia is producing around 35 RM-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles per month.
When taking into account the new Kn-23 ballistic missiles delivered to Russia by North Korea, Russia now has the capacity to launch weekly medium-sized attacks on Kyiv (~15 missiles per attack) without ever decreasing their total missiles in reserve, while still retaining 40 additional newly-produced missiles, as well as all of their Kn-23 ballistic missiles for attacks on different targets.
For reference, in 2022, it was estimated by Ukrainian intelligence that Russia produced just 3 Iskander-Ms per month. They also did not have any RM-48U modified S-400 or Kn-23 ballistic missiles at this time.
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Explosion in Ternopil, western Ukraine.
Russian Geran-4 jet-drone attack.
Russian Geran-4 jet-drone attack.
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AMK Mapping
Some additional information and clarifications regarding the fighting which took place last night between members of the SBU and GUR. Earlier this week, two soldiers from the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) were kidnapped in the courtyard of their home inโฆ
Expansion of the infiltration zone
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Forwarded from falcon
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falcon
I think this is the first footage of Ukrainian drone boats launching MLRS in combat?
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
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I agree with this assessment. Unfortunately, a lot of these "analysts" (advocates) probably do see this, but are just trying to paint the narrative that Ukraine's strike campaign didn't backfire, considering how widely publicised and promoted it was.
I think another issue contributing to this unfounded belief is that these massive Russian retaliatory attacks are hardly even reported on by independent analysts, let alone western media. They have been reported on several times less than the Ukrainian strike campaign, even though they are much larger and more destructive.
I think another issue contributing to this unfounded belief is that these massive Russian retaliatory attacks are hardly even reported on by independent analysts, let alone western media. They have been reported on several times less than the Ukrainian strike campaign, even though they are much larger and more destructive.
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Iran attacked 7 different American military bases in 4 different countries with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones yesterday, and it appears that the U.S. is not going to respond.
Iranian deterrence has been re-established, as America faces continued critical interceptor missile stockpiles. Meanwhile, Iran retains the majority of its ballistic missile launchers, thousands of ballistic missiles in their underground cities, and is actively expanding its ballistic missile production sites once again.
Despite claiming to have carried out a large wave of strikes on Iranian military targets yesterday, the CENTCOM footage only showed a couple of valuable targets being hit in southern Iran, and nothing else. Iran still maintains their ability to strike any ship in the Strait of Hormuz, and can also strike any American military base due to the lack of interceptor missile stockpiles.
The American humiliation ritual continues...
Iranian deterrence has been re-established, as America faces continued critical interceptor missile stockpiles. Meanwhile, Iran retains the majority of its ballistic missile launchers, thousands of ballistic missiles in their underground cities, and is actively expanding its ballistic missile production sites once again.
Despite claiming to have carried out a large wave of strikes on Iranian military targets yesterday, the CENTCOM footage only showed a couple of valuable targets being hit in southern Iran, and nothing else. Iran still maintains their ability to strike any ship in the Strait of Hormuz, and can also strike any American military base due to the lack of interceptor missile stockpiles.
The American humiliation ritual continues...
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Russian Geran-4 jet-drones struck three logistics warehouses and one distribution centre in Odesa Oblast.
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At least 12 craters from Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes are visible on today's release of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery (between August 30 and September 2), confirming continued Ukrainian control over the eastern part of Lyman, despite various claims by Russian sources of Russian control.
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I'll be posting the frontline changes for August a little later.
Post your predictions for the net gain (or loss) for Russia in the comments.
Post your predictions for the net gain (or loss) for Russia in the comments.
Changes on the frontline in Ukraine for August 2026:
Yellow = Russian advances
Light blue = Ukrainian advances
Russian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~198.3 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~106.9 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~98.1 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~17.0 kmยฒ
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~12.7 kmยฒ
Total: ~433 kmยฒ (up by 11.83% compared to July)
Ukrainian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~203.1 kmยฒ
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~42.5 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~27.5 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~11.3 kmยฒ
Luhansk Oblast: ~9.3 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~1.7 kmยฒ
Total: ~295.4 kmยฒ (up by 151.83% compared to July)
Note: The main figures (not including the section below) covers net gains for each side. Ukrainian advances that took place on territory Russia occupied within this month will simply be subtracted from the Russian total, and vice versa.
Net changes overall (Russian advances minus Ukrainian advances):
+137.6 kmยฒ in favour of Russia (down by 49.02% compared to July).
Yellow = Russian advances
Light blue = Ukrainian advances
Russian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~198.3 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~106.9 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~98.1 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~17.0 kmยฒ
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~12.7 kmยฒ
Total: ~433 kmยฒ (up by 11.83% compared to July)
Ukrainian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~203.1 kmยฒ
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~42.5 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~27.5 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~11.3 kmยฒ
Luhansk Oblast: ~9.3 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~1.7 kmยฒ
Total: ~295.4 kmยฒ (up by 151.83% compared to July)
Note: The main figures (not including the section below) covers net gains for each side. Ukrainian advances that took place on territory Russia occupied within this month will simply be subtracted from the Russian total, and vice versa.
Net changes overall (Russian advances minus Ukrainian advances):
+137.6 kmยฒ in favour of Russia (down by 49.02% compared to July).
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Large fires are burning at warehouses belonging to a pharmaceutical company near the city of Boryspil, Kyiv Oblast, following a Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strike.
The Russian Ministry of Defence claims it was used to store and transport military supplies.
The Russian Ministry of Defence claims it was used to store and transport military supplies.
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