Regarding the Russian ballistic missile threat.
The threat has been extended for tonight because no major attack happened yesterday. The highest threat remains to Kyiv, Boryspil, and Kremenchuk. Poltava and Cherkasy cities may also be hit.
If an attack does take place, launches are expected between 30 mins and 3 hours from now. Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles and Kn-23 ballistic missiles may also be used.
It’s possible that any attack would be smaller and mainly serve to deplete the new Patriot interceptor missiles delivered to Ukraine, before a larger attack on the designated targets a few days later.
The threat has been extended for tonight because no major attack happened yesterday. The highest threat remains to Kyiv, Boryspil, and Kremenchuk. Poltava and Cherkasy cities may also be hit.
If an attack does take place, launches are expected between 30 mins and 3 hours from now. Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles and Kn-23 ballistic missiles may also be used.
It’s possible that any attack would be smaller and mainly serve to deplete the new Patriot interceptor missiles delivered to Ukraine, before a larger attack on the designated targets a few days later.
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Ukraine carried out a large-scale, combined missile attack on Donetsk City today. A mix of FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missiles and Storm Shadow cruise missiles were launched by ground units and tactical aviation, striking two different targets.
At least 6 missiles struck an underground parking area of an unfinished residential complex (48.0285930,37.7896355), while another 7 struck an industrial building (48.001976, 37.847244). Ukrainian channels claim both locations were used to store large quantities of military equipment, including missile/rocket launchers, armoured vehicles, as well as personnel.
At least 8 civilians were injured in the attacks. No deaths among the civilian population were reported.
At least 6 missiles struck an underground parking area of an unfinished residential complex (48.0285930,37.7896355), while another 7 struck an industrial building (48.001976, 37.847244). Ukrainian channels claim both locations were used to store large quantities of military equipment, including missile/rocket launchers, armoured vehicles, as well as personnel.
At least 8 civilians were injured in the attacks. No deaths among the civilian population were reported.
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AMK Mapping
Dobropillya direction. Russian DRGs are reported on the outskirts of the city of Bilozerske, as well as along the railway line south of Novovodyane and in Zolotyi Kolodyaz. Another consequence of critical Ukrainian manpower shortages, and an overreliance…
Ukrainian channel warns about Russian DRGs in or near the city of Bilozerske, north of Dobropillya.
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The IDF has blocked the return of over 33,000 Palestinians to their homes in the Nour Shams, Tulkarm, and Jenin Refugee Camps in the West Bank cities of Jenin and Tulkarm, as they intend to continue their military occupation.
The occupation, which is taking place as a part of an ongoing counter-insurgency operation which began in early 2025, dubbed operation "Iron Wall", has seen widespread destruction of Palestinian militant infrastructure and demolitions of civilian infrastructure, converting these once densely populated areas into closed military zones.
The IDF justified this repeated decision by claiming that intelligence reports indicate that a withdrawal would allow local armed groups affiliated with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hamas to regroup and rebuild their military infrastructure, which prior to 2025, had the strongest Palestinian force located in these refugee camps, other than the Palestinian Authority.
The occupation, which is taking place as a part of an ongoing counter-insurgency operation which began in early 2025, dubbed operation "Iron Wall", has seen widespread destruction of Palestinian militant infrastructure and demolitions of civilian infrastructure, converting these once densely populated areas into closed military zones.
The IDF justified this repeated decision by claiming that intelligence reports indicate that a withdrawal would allow local armed groups affiliated with the Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hamas to regroup and rebuild their military infrastructure, which prior to 2025, had the strongest Palestinian force located in these refugee camps, other than the Palestinian Authority.
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Unconfirmed reports of Iranian Shahed-131/136 drone strikes on Kurdish military infrastructure in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan.
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A few hours ago, two Russian Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from near Fatezh, Kursk Oblast, impacted an energy facility near the city of Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast. At least 7,000 residents of Pryluky were left without power following the strikes.
The likely target was the "Lelyaki" 110 kV electrical substation at 50.58408, 32.65280, although I can't 100% confirm this at the time of writing.
As I have previously reported, Russia is likely to increase their strikes on energy infrastructure towards the end of Summer as the heat can create additional strain on the power grid, while also putting pressure on it before a larger Winter campaign.
The likely target was the "Lelyaki" 110 kV electrical substation at 50.58408, 32.65280, although I can't 100% confirm this at the time of writing.
As I have previously reported, Russia is likely to increase their strikes on energy infrastructure towards the end of Summer as the heat can create additional strain on the power grid, while also putting pressure on it before a larger Winter campaign.
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A few minutes ago, a single Russian Geran-4 jet-drone launched from Crimea impacted an unknown target southeast of Khmelnytskyi City in western Ukraine.
The drone flew for over 700 km without being shot down.
The drone flew for over 700 km without being shot down.
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Forwarded from Suriyakmaps (Suriyak)
The likelihood of a new Russian operation in Chernihiv Oblast has increased significantly following the Russian army’s deployment of significant resources near the border over the last two months. The situation for the Ukrainian army is becoming markedly more serious. From what I have been able to gather, Ukrainian forces barely have the capacity to maintain their advance in the Donbas, having deployed their troops to Zaporizhia, Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv to secure political victories, but without altering the overall trend.
The opening of a new front in Chernihiv would leave Ukrainian forces facing the difficult decision of either abandoning one front or continuing to hold the entire line with fewer troops, thereby accelerating a simultaneous retreat without halting the gradual Russian advance.
The CIA meeting in Moscow may be linked to an offer from Washington to halt the war along the current front lines, in the knowledge that, following the strain caused by the regional conflict with Iran, they will be unable to maintain the current level of support for Kyiv next year. This offer is likely to be rejected by the Kremlin as it fails to meet the objectives of the so-called ‘Special Military Operation’.
If the Chernihiv front opens up, the battle for the Donbas will draw to a close more quickly than expected, and with it, possibly the end of this conflict (at this stage). 🇷🇺🇺🇦
The opening of a new front in Chernihiv would leave Ukrainian forces facing the difficult decision of either abandoning one front or continuing to hold the entire line with fewer troops, thereby accelerating a simultaneous retreat without halting the gradual Russian advance.
The CIA meeting in Moscow may be linked to an offer from Washington to halt the war along the current front lines, in the knowledge that, following the strain caused by the regional conflict with Iran, they will be unable to maintain the current level of support for Kyiv next year. This offer is likely to be rejected by the Kremlin as it fails to meet the objectives of the so-called ‘Special Military Operation’.
If the Chernihiv front opens up, the battle for the Donbas will draw to a close more quickly than expected, and with it, possibly the end of this conflict (at this stage). 🇷🇺🇺🇦
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Suriyakmaps
The likelihood of a new Russian operation in Chernihiv Oblast has increased significantly following the Russian army’s deployment of significant resources near the border over the last two months. The situation for the Ukrainian army is becoming markedly more…
Reminder: https://t.me/AMK_Mapping/36399
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AMK Mapping
According to my information from both Russian and Ukrainian sources, there is a possibility of Russia carrying out a cross-border incursion from Bryansk Oblast into Chernihiv Oblast.
A large Russian build-up in Bryansk Oblast has been observed recently,…
A large Russian build-up in Bryansk Oblast has been observed recently,…
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Deigo)
@GeoPWatch
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