In addition to the targets I listed earlier, the Russian Ministry of Defence claims that a factory used by the Firepoint company, to produce and store medium-range drones, long-range drones, and accelerators for FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missiles, was hit.

They also claim that an ammunition depot where thermobaric aerial bombs, anti-tank mines, and ammunition for Baba Yaga drones was stored; and a warehouse complex of the "Ukrspeccystems" company used to produce and store components for medium-to-long-range drones, were hit.

Furthermore, they claim to have struck warehouses containing military equipment at the Chornomorsk and Yuzhnyi Ports in Odesa Oblast with Geran-2/4 drones.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strikes on a logistics warehouse in Brovary, Kyiv Oblast.

Prediction: The Ukrainian Air Force will falsely claim that every single Kh-101 and Kalibr was shot down.

They admitted to 5 cruise missile strikes.

Last night, Russia launched another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine. Missiles launches:

~22 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at their launch lines near the city of Cherepovets, Vologda Oblast.

~16 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers at their launch lines near the city of Cherepovets, Vologda Oblast.

~9 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles launched from near Manturovo, Kursk Oblast.

~4 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles launched from near Millerovo, Rostov Oblast.

~8 Kalibr cruise missiles launched from a Buyan-M corvette at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

~3 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles launched from a Su-57 in northern Kursk Oblast.

~2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles launched from a Su-34/35 near Siverskodonetsk, Luhansk Oblast.

~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile launched from a Su-34/35 in western Belgorod Oblast.

~8 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near the city of Klintsy, Bryansk Oblast.

~2 Kn-23 ballistic missiles launched from near Liski, Voronezh Oblast.

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Total missiles launched:

~38 Kh-101 cruise missiles.
~13 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
~8 Kalibr cruise missiles
~8 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles
~6 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles
~2 Kn-23 ballistic missiles

~75 missiles in total.

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Ukrainian air defence work:

As of the time of writing, it appears Ukrainian air defence was able to shoot down a *minimum* of 30 Kh-101s, 6 Kalibrs, and 2 Kh-59/69s.

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The main targets for this strike was Ukrainian military enterprises in Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. The following was targeted:

Antonov Aircraft Plant in northwestern Kyiv (50.4651796 30.3905940) by Iskander-Ms, Zircons, and a Kalibr.

Industrial zone in western Kyiv (50.446792, 30.391383) by Iskander-Ms, Zircons, and a Kalibr.

Industrial enterprise in western Kyiv (50.421438, 30.444244) by Iskander-Ms/Zircons.

Warehouse complex in eastern Kyiv (50.441523, 30.684197) by Iskander-Ms/Zircons/Kn-23s.

Oil depot in Brovary, Kyiv Oblast (50.523408, 30.831310) by Iskander-Ms/Zircons/Kh-101s/Kh-59/69s.

Logistics depot in Brovary, Kyiv Oblast (50.523557, 30.838888) by Iskander-Ms/Zircons/Kh-101s/Kh-59/69s.

Unknown target in Kyiv by Iskander-Ms/Zircons.

Unknown target in/near Dnipro by Kh-101s.

Unknown target near Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, by Kh-59/69s.

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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches. These numbers may be adjusted in the coming hours as more information comes available.

Over the last few weeks, forced mobilisation of men into the Ukrainian military has been significantly stepped up in Kyiv, as Ukraine continues to face disastrous manpower shortages. I would like to shed some light on these changes, and the issues which come with them. All information presented here was provided to me by people currently in Ukraine, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

In Kyiv, an increase in mobilisation has been observed since August 9. Additional mobilisation checkpoints have been set up, and the TCC (territorial recruitment) is monitoring bus stops and subway stations. Military-aged men are trying to avoid public transport to decrease their odds of being mobilised and sent to prison-style military camps. Community-made online maps have surfaced which track where mobilisation checkpoints are erected, or where past mobilisation attempts have occurred. Within these maps, there is a database where other users can confirm or deny the existence of these locations, to help flush out any fake locations submitted.

Desertions are becoming very common. Training only takes place for around 6 weeks (sometimes even less), before being sent to the frontline. Most brigades don't have enough resources to prevent desertion, especially after the 6-week training period is over. This has resulted in a lot of training camps being converted into what one source describes as "real prisons", where it is much more difficult to escape from. This has led to an increase in the number of desertions occurring after the 6-week training period once they are deployed to the frontline.

In various different cities, there are companies which hire deserters for low-paying offline jobs (offline so they don't have to leave the house and risk being caught again). They provide an alternative to larger-private companies - the HRs of which are in contact with private security companies, whose bosses and top employees are former policemen. These security companies can provide a service of checking candidates in police databases, as they have friends in the police force. This means that deserters often can't apply for these higher-paying jobs, as they risk being caught and charged.

Nevertheless, sometimes these larger companies do hire deserters on "special conditions", as, due to the declining population, they don't have enough employees, and can deny knowing that the employee was a deserter.

It's estimated that the rate of overall forced mobilisation activity in Kyiv has doubled this year, although this does not necessarily mean the numbers of men actually being mobilised has doubled.

On the border with Poland, changes have also been observed, which one of my sources attributes to the recent naming of a Ukrainian special operations unit after the UPA (a Ukrainian militant group which collaborated with the Nazis in WW2 and committed massacres against Polish civilians), which led to Poland's highest honour award being stripped from Zelensky. The current waiting time at one of the checkpoints, without being rerouted, is 15-20 hours. They have started interviewing everyone on the Ukrainian side of the border.

It's only a "one time infiltration, everything is under control"... until it's not.

Apologies for the lack of posts. I had to recover from 27 straight hours of reporting the other day, and also catch up on some unrelated stuff.

The ballistic missile attack on Kyiv I warned about occurred tonight. I got additional notifications from sources about the threat for tonight earlier, but I didn't see them until now, which is why no post was made beforehand.

I've also been working on a follow-up post to my report on forced mobilisation yesterday, which I plan to publish today.

At least 10 Geran-4 jet-drones are flying to Odesa Oblast. Some may also be hunting ships in the Black Sea.

2 Su-34s are also active in the area - it might launch cruise missiles.

They conducted launch maneuvers in the Black Sea.

Kh-59/69 cruise missiles are flying to Zatoka, Odesa Oblast.

2 missiles in total.

A third Su-34 is approaching its launch lines.

These seem to be KAB glide-bombs.

4 Banderol cruise missiles are also flying, some to Odesa City.

2 KABs are over the coast, at Chornomorsk

A Su-57 conducted a launch maneuver in the Black Sea.

Explosions in Odesa.

Banderol cruise missile strikes