At least three Russian Geran-3/4 jet-drones are approaching the city of Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast.

A Su-30 departed from Yeysk Airbase, Krasnodar Krai.

It may launch a Kh-31P anti-radar missile at Odesa Oblast.

Explosions in Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast.

Russian Banderol jet-drones struck the Chornomorsk Port.

Russian forces have re-established control over the village of Novomykolaivka, Pokrovs'ke direction, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykove District).

Pre-war population: ~155
Total land area: ~0.99 km²

The third battle for Novomykolaivka lasted approximately 3 months, 10 days.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strike on a cargo ship in the western Black Sea.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drones struck warehouses in the towns/cities of Savyntsi, Zidky, Barvinkove, and Volokhiv Yar, Kharkiv Oblast.

These warehouses were reportedly used by Ukraine to store drones, drone components, and radio-electronic equipment.

Aftermath of a Russian Geran-2/4 drone strike on a locomotive in Sumy Oblast, which was travelling from Kyiv to Sumy.

Ukrainian FPV drones struck a car used for launching drones and a Gerbera drone at Donetsk International Airport, around 45 km from the frontline.

Possible Iskander-M ballistic missile from Kursk, flying to Mohrytsya, Sumy Oblast

Edit: Likely MLRS

Tu-22m3 strategic bombers are airborne over the Black Sea.

They may launch Kh-22/32 cruise missiles towards Odesa Oblast.

A Russian reconnaissance drone is operating off the coast of Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast. There is a high threat to this city.

If the older Kh-22 cruise missile is launched, it may miss its target due to its lower accuracy. Therefore, there is a much higher threat to residential areas.

Odesa Oblast residents reading this: It's better to take extra precaution today. Respond to all alerts.

A Su-35 is escorting the Tu-22m3s over the Black Sea towards their launch lines.

The Tu-22m3s carried out launch maneuvers and are now returning east.

We will know if these launches were simulated or not soon.

No missiles are detected. The Tu-22m3 may be carrying out a training mission over Crimea.

Vehicle losses have been released for the month of July. Credit to HeyHeyHayden for compiling and geolocation credit to Lostarmour for geolocations.

Russia lost 36 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 184, a ratio of 1:5.1

Excluding Armoured cars and MRAPs, Russia lost 33 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 89, a ratio of 1:2.7.

In terms of Self propelled artillery, which is a good indicator of attritional capacity, Russia lost 6 pieces whilst Ukraine lost 38. A ratio of 1:6.3.

Keep in mind, this only includes armoured vehicles (not cars), and only counts visually confirmed losses.

Last night, Russia carried out a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Odesa Oblast:

The following was launched:

~4 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations northeast of Simferopol, Crimea.

~3 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations in western Crimea.

~4 Kh-31A supersonic cruise missiles launched from 2 Su-30 fighters near Sevastopol.

~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles launched from K-300P Bastion-P launcher(s) near Belbek Airbase, Crimea.

~4 Banderol jet-drones launched from Crimea.

~4 Geran-3/4 jet-drones launched from Crimea.

~50+ geran-2 drones launched from Crimea.

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Total missiles launched:

~7 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
~4 Kh-31A supersonic cruise missiles
~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles.

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Ukrainian air defence work:

None of the missiles were shot down. Some/most of the Banderol jet-drones and a portion of the Geran-2 drones were shot down.

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Exact targets for this attack are still being clarified, but its known that the following locations were hit:

- The town of Mayaky (possibly the Mayaky Bridge) by ~3 Iskander-Ms.

- The vicinity of Velykodolynske by ~2 Kh-31As.

- Two different locations in Odesa by ~1 Iskander-M each.

- The town of Kryzhanivka by ~2 Iskander-Ms and ~2 Kh-31As.

- The vicinity of Nova Dofinivka by ~2 P-800 Oniks.

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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches. These numbers may be adjusted in the coming hours as more information comes available.

This was one of the largest single attacks on Odesa Oblast since the beginning of the war.

The threat of a repeated Russian large-scale ballistic missile attack on Kyiv is especially relevant for tonight, between 12am and 3am local time.

There is a high threat for Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles will both likely be used.

This is not to say that the attack will 100% occur tonight, but a lot of signs point towards that. I will update if more information becomes available.