Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strike on an industrial building in the city of Okhtyrka, Sumy Oblast, reportedly being used by Ukraine to assembly engines for drones.

Ukrainian GUR FPV drones struck a Russian Pantsir-S1 surface-to-air missile launcher and a military crane in Crimea.

The drones were launched by MAGURA V5 sea-drones from the waters of the Black Sea.

Russia may carry out an attack on Odesa Oblast using Oniks supersonic cruise missiles launched from Crimea in the coming hours.

Another ballistic missile attack on Kyiv occurred tonight.

Approximately 8 Iskander-M ballistic missiles were launched simultaneously from OTRK installations northwest of Klintsy, Bryansk Oblast.

All 8 missiles impacted the same target, with, once again, no signs of any Patriot air defence activity. The target hit was the "Asphalt concrete plant" in southern Kyiv, where a large fire subsequently broke out.

This location was struck by several Russian Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles on August 1.

NASA FIRMS data indicates that large fires broke out at the "Asphalt concrete plant" in southern Kyiv following ~8 Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile strikes.

This facility was previously targeted by everal Russian Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles on August 1.

As I warned, yesterday afternoon, Russia launched 3 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles at the Yuzhnyi Port in Odesa Oblast.

Strikes were also carried out on Odesa City with at least 3 Banderol jet-drones, as well as more cargo ships in the western Black Sea with Geran-4 jet-drones.

Tonight, Ukraine made another attempt at attacking Russia with FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missiles, however, once again, they were all shot down by Russian air defence.

Ukraine launched at least 5 Flamingo cruise missiles from Sumy/Chernihiv Oblast, which were subsequently shot down over Tambov and Penza Oblasts, ~430 km and ~630 km from the border with Ukraine respectively.

Due to the previous attempts at having the missiles fly along the Don River from Luhansk Oblast failing, Ukraine launched them from a different location, reaching the Don River via Lipetsk Oblast. Because these missiles are so large and slow, they need to fly at low altitude near rivers to complicate Russian radar detection.

Because they were flying for around 280 km through Kursk and Voronezh Oblasts prior to reaching the Don River, it provided Russia with ample opportunity to detect them, which resulted in much earlier alerts being issued for all border regions as soon as the missiles approached/entered Russian airspace. Despite the missiles then following the path of the Voronezh River, they were all subsequently shot down by Russian air defence over Tambov and Penza Oblast, likely because Russia has deployed a significant number of air defence assets to this area due to Ukraine repeatedly using this same flight route.

Out of the last 10 Flamingo attacks, 8 resulted in all the missiles being shot down, while two resulted in one impact each to the same target in Kirov. Russia is clearly adapting rapidly to this new weapon, and unless Ukraine can counter-adapt, Flamingo missiles quickly become useless.

Another example of a "wonder weapon" becoming less and less important as countermeasures are developed.

Bloomberg reports that Ukraine has agreed to stop targeting certain oil tankers and Black Sea port infrastructure used for exporting Kazakhstan's crude oil.

The agreement reportedly only involves vessels not under Ukrainian sanctions, that don't carry Russian cargo, and that aren't owned by any Russian individuals/entities.

"Ukraine has set up points of contact to allow commercial shippers to communicate information and ensure safe passage", Bloomberg reported.

Ukrainian channel @Dronebomber analysed data of interceptions of Ukrainian drones by the 3 rings of air defence around Moscow during July, and found that over 1,500 drones were shot down by this massive air defence network.

According to their analysis, during July, in the first and second rings, approximately 1,400 drones (~93%) were shot down. In the 3rd ring, around 100 drones (~6%) were shot down. And in Moscow itself, just one single drone (~0.07%) managed to make it through these three rings, and was intercepted over the city.

However, in June, there were some other locations hit, such as the "Dubna" Space Communications Center, "Wildberries" warehouses, oil depots, and the Moscow Oil Refinery. But considering the fact that Ukraine has launched thousands of drones towards Moscow during this time period, this is an exceptionally high interception rate. Ukrainian drones attempted to breach these defensive rings from all directions, but there are no gaps. And there are no signs of Russia running out of interceptor missiles due to very high production rates.

Ukrainian journalist Yuliya Kyriyenko reports that personnel from the 425th Assault Regiment "Skala" have begun being transferred to other units, as a part of reforms carried out by the new Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Mykhailo Drapatyi.

"Skala" was previously part of the former so-called Syrskyi's personal army, which reported directly to him, was rapidly deployed to plug gaps in critical areas, and had a total priority for manpower allocation. This led to significant understaffing in other units, further exacerbating Ukraine's already-critical manpower shortages. T

he unit has also found itself in countless controversies surrounding abuse of personnel, suicide assaults, and fake/misleading reports to the higher command. Despite being regiment-sized unit on paper, "Skala" was estimated to have up to 13,000 soldiers, including battalions from other brigades transferred and subordinated to it.

Yuliya Kyriyenko states that over 2,000 soldiers have been transferred to other brigades and regiments to help alleviate this manpower crisis. Additionally, amid heavy inspections and investigations at various Skala battalions, Skala is reportedly no longer listed under the Rapid Response Forces, although it is not currently clear if this indicates the unit will be disbanded.

One year ago today, Russia made their rapid 15 km breakthrough in the Dobropillya direction, in what was an unprecedented maneuver.

While Ukraine eventually managed to mostly recapture this area, significant resources were expended in the counterattacks, which allowed Russia to advance on other parts of the frontline. At the same time, the overal integrity of Ukrainian defences near Dobropillya was never fully restored.

During the last 10 FP-5 Flamingo cruise missile attacks (since July 1), Ukraine launched approximately 60 missiles towards Russia. Of these, only 2 impacted, while the rest were shot down by Russian air defence and aviation.

That would give us an estimated interception rate of 96.7%.

For comparison, I estimated the interception rate by Ukrainian air defence of Russia's current worst-performing cruise missile (the Kalibr) since May 24 at ~57% (~26 out of 46 total).

The approximate Kh-101 cruise missile interception rate since May 24 by Ukrainian air defence is ~36% (~60 out of ~165 total).

There is a threat of a repeated Russian ballistic missile attack on Kyiv for the next several days.

During last night's attack, only 8 out of ~30 accumulated Iskander-M ballistic missiles were used. Additionally, they did not use any Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles. This means that Russia still has enough missiles concentrated in Bryansk, Kursk, and Rostov Oblasts to carry out another large-scale attack.

More information will become available in the coming days. It's possible that Russia intends to use these missiles in conjunction with the next attack involving Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers, which are actively being equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Engels-2 and Ukrainka Airbases.

The Russian Ministry of Defence claims that this facility struck by ~8 Iskander-M ballistic missiles in Kyiv was used for manufacturing components and warheads for the FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missile.

It also reportedly stored components for the production of solid-rocket boosters.

The Russian Ministry of Defence claims to have struck two more cargo ships with Geran-4 jet-drones in the western Black Sea, which they allege were transporting equipment for the Ukrainian military.

Another ship was just struck by a Russian Geran-4 jet-drone off the coast of Odesa a few minutes ago.

An explosion could be heard from the coast.