Forwarded from NATOmonitor
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Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
The Ukrainian authorities, in the communication they had both directly with the Foreign Minister and in the messages they conveyed to us, emphasized that this action was unintentional.
The evidence and very clear cluesโincluding the explicit statement made by the President of Ukraineโindicate that this attack was deliberate.
We are waiting to see in practice whether they take any action that supports their claim of the crime being unintentional.
We will certainly take any necessary action, both to hold Ukraine accountable and to ensure that such an error and crime is not repeated by the Ukrainian side again.
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Forwarded from Playfra - Maps & Analyses
Kostyantynivka direction, interesting tactical information.
Around a week ago, two Russian groups of 4+4 total entered eastern Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka seemingly from an eastern direction and were eliminated.
Using this information, I drew the most likely route that was taken by those Russians.
It is unknown if one of those Russians was the one that waved to a Russian drone at the entrance of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka.
This infiltration currently remains a one-time event, but the Russians are now infiltrating frequently, almost up to Izhevka itself, and more infiltrations replicating this event can't be ruled out.
Ukrainian units in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka should remain attentive, especially in the center and southern part of the settlement.
Around a week ago, two Russian groups of 4+4 total entered eastern Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka seemingly from an eastern direction and were eliminated.
Using this information, I drew the most likely route that was taken by those Russians.
It is unknown if one of those Russians was the one that waved to a Russian drone at the entrance of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka.
This infiltration currently remains a one-time event, but the Russians are now infiltrating frequently, almost up to Izhevka itself, and more infiltrations replicating this event can't be ruled out.
Ukrainian units in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka should remain attentive, especially in the center and southern part of the settlement.
Forwarded from Hudson War Mapping - Reporting on the Ukraine War (Hudson War Mapping)
Advisor to the president of Ukraine Mykhailo Podolyak -
โZelenskyy proposes a ceasefire in the air, an energy truce, a freeze of the war along the front line, and the start of difficult negotiations. He is also ready to meet with Putinโ
โZelenskyy proposes a ceasefire in the air, an energy truce, a freeze of the war along the front line, and the start of difficult negotiations. He is also ready to meet with Putinโ
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Aftermath of overnight Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes on Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast.
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AMK Mapping
2 of the missiles impacted somewhere here. The target was likely the Chornomorsk Port.
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Aftermath of today's two Russian Oniks supersonic cruise missile strikes on the city of Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast. The missiles targeted a car assembly factory.
Notably, the accuracy of these missiles appears to be much higher compared to previous Oniks strikes on Odesa Oblast, which often saw the missiles impacting open areas or falling in rivers.
Coordinates: 46.31427, 30.63824
Notably, the accuracy of these missiles appears to be much higher compared to previous Oniks strikes on Odesa Oblast, which often saw the missiles impacting open areas or falling in rivers.
Coordinates: 46.31427, 30.63824
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Ukrainian drones struck another Russian "Wildberries" warehouse, this time in Vladimir Oblast, resulting in a large fire breaking out.
The regional governor reported that the fire has reached a size of 100,000 mยฒ, and that fire crews from Ivanovo and Moscow Oblast have been deployed to fight the blaze.
The regional governor reported that the fire has reached a size of 100,000 mยฒ, and that fire crews from Ivanovo and Moscow Oblast have been deployed to fight the blaze.
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AMK Mapping
A Ukrainian drone shot down by Russian air defence crashed into a crowded beach near the city of Gelendzhik, Krasnodar Krai, killing at least 3 civilians and injuring 13 others. The governor of Krasnodar Krai confirmed that this was caused by falling debrisโฆ
The death toll from the Ukrainian drone crash on a crowded beach near the city of Gelendzhik, Krasnodar Krai, has risen to 6, including 3 children.
At least 40 others were injured.
At least 40 others were injured.
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A few hours ago, an extremely unusual event occurred in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, where a Russian Su-34 aircraft flew within 7 km of the frontline to carry out simulated launch maneuvers of KAB glide-bombs.
The aircraft then looped back around and carried out a second simulated launch maneuver around 2 minutes after the first. No munitions were actually launched.
For reference, Su-34s typically launch glide-bombs from around 40-45 km behind the frontline to avoid being shot down by Patriot PAC-2/3 interceptors. It's possible that this aircraft was probing to see if there would be any air defence response by the Ukrainians.
The aircraft then looped back around and carried out a second simulated launch maneuver around 2 minutes after the first. No munitions were actually launched.
For reference, Su-34s typically launch glide-bombs from around 40-45 km behind the frontline to avoid being shot down by Patriot PAC-2/3 interceptors. It's possible that this aircraft was probing to see if there would be any air defence response by the Ukrainians.
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Forwarded from HeyHeyHayden
The claims of an organised withdrawal seem to primarily be about excusing why Russia has made progress here rather than reporting the truth. A core problem is that the sources that have claimed this (which as far as I'm aware are primarily western pro-Ukrainians rather than primary sources) are basing their understanding of this front off Deepstate which is 6+ months behind.
A sudden Russian 'breakthrough' is the claim based off the distance they seem to have covered from Deepstate's frontline vs new geolocations, but if you use more up to date maps (such as AMK's here or Suriyak's) then the distance they have pushed is not nearly as far. It looks more like months of slow Russian pressure paying off a bit rather than any planned withdrawal or major breakthrough.
A sudden Russian 'breakthrough' is the claim based off the distance they seem to have covered from Deepstate's frontline vs new geolocations, but if you use more up to date maps (such as AMK's here or Suriyak's) then the distance they have pushed is not nearly as far. It looks more like months of slow Russian pressure paying off a bit rather than any planned withdrawal or major breakthrough.
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AMK Mapping
The claims of an organised withdrawal seem to primarily be about excusing why Russia has made progress here rather than reporting the truth. A core problem is that the sources that have claimed this (which as far as I'm aware are primarily western pro-Ukrainiansโฆ
*Regarding the recent Russian advances in the Dobropillya direction.
I agree. I don't think there is any organised withdrawal. This is a result of critical Ukrainian manpower shortages.
I agree. I don't think there is any organised withdrawal. This is a result of critical Ukrainian manpower shortages.
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Changes on the frontline in Ukraine for July 2026:
Yellow = Russian advances
Light blue = Ukrainian advances
Russian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~204.4 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~65.6 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~57.9 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~52.6 kmยฒ
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~6.0 kmยฒ
Luhansk Oblast: ~0.7 kmยฒ
Kherson Oblast: ~0 kmยฒ
Total: ~387.2 kmยฒ (up by 62.23% compared to June)
Ukrainian advances:
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~52 kmยฒ
Donetsk Oblast: ~41 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~10.4 kmยฒ
Luhansk Oblast: ~5.5 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~5.1 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~3.3 kmยฒ
Kherson Oblast: ~0 kmยฒ
Total: ~117.3 kmยฒ (down by 49.67% compared to June).
Note: The main figures (not including the section below) covers net gains for each side. Ukrainian advances that took place on territory Russia occupied within this month will simply be subtracted from the Russian total, and vice versa.
Net changes overall (Russian advances minus Ukrainian advances):
+269.9 kmยฒ in favour of Russia (up by 4807.28% compared to June).
Yellow = Russian advances
Light blue = Ukrainian advances
Russian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~204.4 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~65.6 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~57.9 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~52.6 kmยฒ
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~6.0 kmยฒ
Luhansk Oblast: ~0.7 kmยฒ
Kherson Oblast: ~0 kmยฒ
Total: ~387.2 kmยฒ (up by 62.23% compared to June)
Ukrainian advances:
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~52 kmยฒ
Donetsk Oblast: ~41 kmยฒ
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~10.4 kmยฒ
Luhansk Oblast: ~5.5 kmยฒ
Kharkiv Oblast: ~5.1 kmยฒ
Sumy Oblast: ~3.3 kmยฒ
Kherson Oblast: ~0 kmยฒ
Total: ~117.3 kmยฒ (down by 49.67% compared to June).
Note: The main figures (not including the section below) covers net gains for each side. Ukrainian advances that took place on territory Russia occupied within this month will simply be subtracted from the Russian total, and vice versa.
Net changes overall (Russian advances minus Ukrainian advances):
+269.9 kmยฒ in favour of Russia (up by 4807.28% compared to June).
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