The levels of incompetence needed to advertise a fucking drone exhibition on social media with the time and date, within range of ballistic missiles, is absolutely mind-boggling.

The people responsible for this should be imprisoned for life.

Odesa Oblast is under attack from cruise missiles right now.

At least 4 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles are flying to Chornomorsk and Zatoka.

Another Kh-59/69 cruise missile to Odesa

Over the coast, flying to Avanhard

Explosions in Odesa

Tomorrow night and the night after between 11pm and 5am, there is a high threat of Russia carrying out a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.

Currently, strategic bombers don't appear to be ready, as they have not yet flown back from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East after being equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles earlier this week. It is not ruled out that they carry out the attack directly from Ukrainka Airbase, however.

Up to 35 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles have been delivered to launch positions near Klintsy (Bryansk Oblast), northern Kursk Oblast, Manturovo (Kursk Oblast), Taganrog (Rostov Oblast), Crimea (either western Crimea or Dzhankoi), and potentially Millerovo (Rostov Oblast). There may also be launches of Oniks supersonic cruise missiles from Crimea towards Odesa Oblast.

Additionally, up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles could be launched from either the Black Sea Fleet at Novorossiysk Naval Base, or the Caspian Sea Flotilla at Kaspiysk Naval Base.

The highest threat is, again, to Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. Russian Gerbera drones have been scouting out the northern approaches to Kyiv and the Bucha area for air defence positions, in order to find the optimal route for the Iskander-M ballistic missiles to fly along. A couple of months ago, Patriot systems deployed to the Vyshhorod area north of Kyiv shot down multiple Iskanders, so Russia has been keeping an eye on this area for movements, in order to ensure a higher impact rate. Gerbera drones have also scouted out the eastern approaches to Kyiv, including near Brovary, which is a frequent route for Zircons and Kh-101 cruise missiles.

For Kyiv itself, the highest threat is to the western, southeastern and southern districts of the city. Other areas may be hit as well.

There is also a threat to Odesa Oblast, specifically Odesa City, Chornomorsk, and Yuzhnyi Port.

It is currently unclear if the attack will occur tomorrow or the day after, but western intelligence has informed Ukraine about this high threat for the next 48 hours. They have also been actively informing Ukraine about the accumulation of Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon cruise missiles for the last several days.

In my opinion, it's strange that the Tu-95MS strategic bombers have not redeployed back to Olenya/Engels-2 yet, which could indicate the attack will happen on the night of Sunday-Monday instead of Saturday-Sunday. But we will see.

Some Ukrainian channels have begun coming out to deny reports of Russian forces being encircled north of Lyman, like I reported yesterday. I've attached a screenshot of one of these channels for those who may still be skeptical.

The original Ukrainian channel which made these claims threw a tantrum, and made an entire chain of posts "calling me out" and basically just employed the age-old tactic of accusing me of being Pro-Russian for not mapping a massive encirclement of Russian forces. They're probably reading this, so I ask them: would you call any Ukrainian channel denying your reports Pro-Russian too?

I'm having flashbacks to the "three Russian encirclements" in the Dobropillya direction lol.

NASA FIRMS data confirms that a large fire is burning at the ARAMCO oil refinery in Jazan, Saudi Arabia, following Ansarallah (Houthi) ballistic missile strikes.