Around 5 days ago, Ukraine launched a new series of counterattacks in the Pokrovsk'e direction, aimed at further reversing advances made by Russian forces during their offensive in late-2025.
So far, due to heavy OPSEC surrounding the events, it is difficult to get an idea of the scale of Ukrainian advances. However, I have been able to identify the main assault routes.
Right now, the main focus appears to be on a partially-isolated Russian strongpoint in the treelines south of Kalynivske, a series of treeline positions south and southeast of Berezove, the Novoheorhiivka area, and the Maliivka-Vorone sector.
The attacks are being headed by elements of the 425th assault regiment "Skala", which has already made a bold statement about the recapturing of all remaining settlements in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Some other Ukrainian sources have reported similar things.
However, I do not believe that Ukraine has managed to achieve this yet. To me, this seems like a statement to be presented to western media, hyping up the "complete liberation of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast", and the "failure of Russia's attempt at forming a buffer zone beyond Donbas". Afterall, propaganda like this is not meant to convince analysts who follow the war closely, but rather ordinary observers who just read the headlines.
Additionally, amid series of recent scandals that Skala has found itself in (especially with regards to suicide assault and abuse of personnel), media victories like this can help to rebuild their image, especially considering they aren't particularly popular in Ukrainian society.
Furthermore, in my opinion, the number of assault groups concentrated in this sector is not sufficient for counterattacks of this size against heavily entrenched Russian positions. A large portion of the assault forces used for the initial counterattacks in this direction from February to April of this year were sent to other sectors, such as the Komar direction, where active counterattacks continue.
For now, the situation remains shrouded in the fog of war. Hopefully in the next couple of days I will be able to piece together some more information to begin drawing a more accurate map of these counterattacks.
So far, due to heavy OPSEC surrounding the events, it is difficult to get an idea of the scale of Ukrainian advances. However, I have been able to identify the main assault routes.
Right now, the main focus appears to be on a partially-isolated Russian strongpoint in the treelines south of Kalynivske, a series of treeline positions south and southeast of Berezove, the Novoheorhiivka area, and the Maliivka-Vorone sector.
The attacks are being headed by elements of the 425th assault regiment "Skala", which has already made a bold statement about the recapturing of all remaining settlements in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Some other Ukrainian sources have reported similar things.
However, I do not believe that Ukraine has managed to achieve this yet. To me, this seems like a statement to be presented to western media, hyping up the "complete liberation of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast", and the "failure of Russia's attempt at forming a buffer zone beyond Donbas". Afterall, propaganda like this is not meant to convince analysts who follow the war closely, but rather ordinary observers who just read the headlines.
Additionally, amid series of recent scandals that Skala has found itself in (especially with regards to suicide assault and abuse of personnel), media victories like this can help to rebuild their image, especially considering they aren't particularly popular in Ukrainian society.
Furthermore, in my opinion, the number of assault groups concentrated in this sector is not sufficient for counterattacks of this size against heavily entrenched Russian positions. A large portion of the assault forces used for the initial counterattacks in this direction from February to April of this year were sent to other sectors, such as the Komar direction, where active counterattacks continue.
For now, the situation remains shrouded in the fog of war. Hopefully in the next couple of days I will be able to piece together some more information to begin drawing a more accurate map of these counterattacks.
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Russian Geran-3/4 jet-drones impacted the Yuzhnyi Port in Odesa Oblast, resulting in a large fire breaking out.
The target make have been one of the oil depots.
The target make have been one of the oil depots.
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Sirens sounded in Bahrain around 10 minutes ago due to the threat of another Iranian missile/drone attack.
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Restrictions on electricity have been implemented in Sevastopol, Crimea, due to another overnight Ukrainian drone attack on nearby energy infrastructure.
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The Jordanian military claims that 4 Iranian ballistic missiles were shot down earlier today, during Iran's most recent retaliatory attacks.
Iran launched a total of 4 missiles towards Jordan today. This means that if the Jordanian military claim is true (which obviously isn't necessarily the case), it would mean that none of the missiles impacted.
Iran launched a total of 4 missiles towards Jordan today. This means that if the Jordanian military claim is true (which obviously isn't necessarily the case), it would mean that none of the missiles impacted.
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The IRGC issued their third statement regarding their most recent retaliatory attacks against U.S. infrastructure in the Middle East.
They announced targeting U.S. military infrastructure at an unspecified airbase (likely Muwaffaq Salti Airbase) in Jordan with ballistic missiles.
They announced targeting U.S. military infrastructure at an unspecified airbase (likely Muwaffaq Salti Airbase) in Jordan with ballistic missiles.
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Kyiv is shrouded in smoke following last night's Russian ballistic missile attack.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Mister Iowan)
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Kh-59/69 cruise missiles to Chornomorsk Port, Odesa Oblast.
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Flying at 886 km/h. This might be an Iskander-K cruise missile.
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AMK Mapping
Flying at 886 km/h. This might be an Iskander-K cruise missile.
Disappeared from radars, likely flying low over the sea to the coast.
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All clear given for Odesa Oblast. Not sure what happened.
Edit: all clear given for Mykolaiv Oblast too
Edit: all clear given for Mykolaiv Oblast too
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Russian FAB-3000 glide-bomb strikes on a residential area of Kherson City. The strike reportedly targeted a concentration of Ukrainian soldiers.
To my knowledge, this is the first ever FAB-3000 strike on Kherson.
To my knowledge, this is the first ever FAB-3000 strike on Kherson.
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Forwarded from Panos
Has AMK addressed/ commented on a claim that Ukraine's air defense command was supposedly obliterated? The claim says that since it allegedly happened maybe 10 days ago, updates about fired missiles stopped, and Ukrainian air defense reports became more brief. I thought given AMK frequently shares live info about missile activity, he could be in position to tell us if he noticed anything?
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AMK Mapping
Has AMK addressed/ commented on a claim that Ukraine's air defense command was supposedly obliterated? The claim says that since it allegedly happened maybe 10 days ago, updates about fired missiles stopped, and Ukrainian air defense reports became more brief.โฆ
I keep seeing this claim floating around. To my knowledge, it originated from a Russian channel who copied my reports on issues with sirens sounding, and mixed in some propaganda to it.
The claims are completely false. The only issue was with sirens being sounded late. Radars still detected the missiles.
I wrote more about this Russian channel here
The claims are completely false. The only issue was with sirens being sounded late. Radars still detected the missiles.
I wrote more about this Russian channel here
Telegram
AMK Mapping
Another large Russian channel which claims to have sources on the ground is blatantly paraphrasing my reports and claiming it as information from "conversations with the guys on the ground".
"Beard_tim" has over 121,000 subscribers, however unlike the previousโฆ
"Beard_tim" has over 121,000 subscribers, however unlike the previousโฆ
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