2 Su-34s covered by a Su-35 are flying from Kerch, Crimea, to the western Black Sea.

They may launch cruise missiles at Odesa Oblast.

They're now flying northwest to Armyansk, Crimea. They will likely fly further to Russian-controlled Kherson Oblast to launch KAB glide-bombs at Ukrainian-controlled Kherson Oblast.

Update: flying northwest past Armyansk to the Skadovsk area of Kherson Oblast.

Launch maneuvers of KAB glide-bombs from Brylivka, Kherson Oblast, towards Antonivka/Darivka.

Israeli airstrikes targeted the town of Al-Mansouri, southern Lebanon, in violation of the ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah.

3-4 Russian KAB glide-bombs targeted the vicinity of Dariivka and the Kherson-Mykolaiv regional border, Kherson Oblast.

Overnight, Ukrainian mid-range drones carried out yet another large-scale attack on energy infrastructure in Crimea, Russian-controlled Luhansk Oblast, and Russian-controlled Donetsk Oblast.

Targets hit include:

- Four 110 kV electrical substations in Crimea.
- One 35 kV electrical substation in Crimea.
- The Saky Thermal Power Plant in Crimea.
- One 110 kV electrical substation in Donetsk Oblast.
- One 35 KV electrical substation in Donetsk Oblast.
- Two 35 kV electrical substations in Luhansk Oblast.

Additionally, drones targeted the "Starobeshevske" training ground in the city of Dokuchajevs'k (Donetsk Oblast), a (claimed) awards ceremony location in the city of Horlivka (Donetsk Oblast), and a (claimed) special communications hub in the town of Chulakivka (Kherson Oblast).

Commander of the Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Forces Robert Magyar claims that over 51 energy infrastructure targets have been struck by Ukrainian drones in Crimea since July 1, and another 9 in Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts, resulting in widespread power outages.

Situation on the Hulyaipole/Omelnyk direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

A few weeks ago, I wrote that Russia appears to have postponed their offensive on Orikhiv from the east following Ukrainian counterattacks near Hirke, Vozdyvzhivka, and Verkhnya Tersa.

That continues to remain the case today, as the intensity of fighting has significantly reduced. Russian artillery, MLRS, and KAB shelling has also massively dropped off in recent weeks. The situation now resembles that of other more or less inactive sectors of the frontline, with both sides carrying out sporadic counterattacks and infiltrations using small groups of infantry, while holding overlapping and intermingled positions.

Russia has continued to carry out deep infiltrations into the Ukrainian rear, specifically near the villages of Rivne and Novoselivka, however, these constitute one-time infiltrations, where the infiltrators are typically either killed, captured, or withdraw back to friendly positions.

However, no withdrawal of any Russian units from this direction has been recorded, despite offensive operations clearly being prioritised in the Dobropillya and Slovyansk directions. This means that the offensive on Orikhiv could be restarted at any moment, as a large assault force remains concentrated here. It's possible that some form of an operational pause or tactical regrouping is taking place.

Interactive map: amkmapping.com

It’s interesting seeing all the same people who assured me for so long that Ukraine couldn’t shoot down ballistic missiles with Patriot systems all of a sudden start celebrating that Ukraine is out of interceptors, saying that now they “can’t shoot down Iskanders anymore”.

Wouldn’t that imply that they were able to shoot down Iskanders while they did have interceptors? The inability of some people to self reflect is astounding.

This lines up with the claim by the IRGC that 10 missiles were launched, and the Jordanian military that 8 were shot down. However, the Jordanian military falsely claimed that 8/8 missiles were intercepted.