3 KABs. Falling now

Explosions in Sumy

A large fire seen burning at the "AB TECHNOLOGIES" industrial equipment factory in Kyiv this morning, following 3 strikes by Russian modified S-400 ground-to-ground missiles.

Russian Geran-3 jet-drone strike on Chernihiv City this morning.

From now on, anyone who links me that one Ted Postol video on Patriots in my comments is getting automatically muted.

Like, yes, I get it, you need some confirmation bias from one person. Continue to consume that if that's what you need to keep yourself comfy and happy, but I don't need to see it hundreds of times under every single post I make about air defence. It's been nearly 6 months of this and its getting ridiculous.

I could probably find a dozen other people who disagree with him who have the same qualifications and you wouldn't believe. I know he's wrong because I have seen the interception rates on ballistics with my own eyes.

Russian operator controlled Geran-2/4 drones struck two Ukrainian fuel depots in the town of Hubynykha, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and in Zaporizhzhia City.

A Russian Geran-2/4 drone struck a cargo ship at the Yuzhnyi Port in Odesa Oblast.

The Russian Ministry of Defence issued a statement claiming that this ship was carrying military equipment for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

They also stated that additional strikes were carried out on ports in Odesa Oblast.

Let me make this clear, because this has always been a point of debate:

From my observations, the interception rate of Iskander-M ballistic missiles when they are targeting Kyiv is around 30%. If you include regions where there are no Patriot systems, then the number will be much lower.

Additionally, I have been able to confirm a total of 5 Zircon interceptions and 2 Kinzhal interceptions so far during the war. I'm fairly confident about the figures on Zircons, but I expect the number for Kinzhals is a bit higher. Either way, for these two missiles, interceptions are incredible low, and are usually based on luck with where the Patriot systems are stationed (the closer to the missile terminal trajectory, the higher chance of interception).

2 Su-34s covered by a Su-35 are flying from Kerch, Crimea, to the western Black Sea.

They may launch cruise missiles at Odesa Oblast.

They're now flying northwest to Armyansk, Crimea. They will likely fly further to Russian-controlled Kherson Oblast to launch KAB glide-bombs at Ukrainian-controlled Kherson Oblast.

Update: flying northwest past Armyansk to the Skadovsk area of Kherson Oblast.

Launch maneuvers of KAB glide-bombs from Brylivka, Kherson Oblast, towards Antonivka/Darivka.

Israeli airstrikes targeted the town of Al-Mansouri, southern Lebanon, in violation of the ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah.

3-4 Russian KAB glide-bombs targeted the vicinity of Dariivka and the Kherson-Mykolaiv regional border, Kherson Oblast.