Explosions in Dnipro. 3 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles were used.
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Regarding the situation in Kostyantynivka:
Yesterday I wrote that the claims by the Russian Ministry of Defence about the supposed capture of Kostyantynivka were false and premature, and that remains the case today. However, the battle for the city has entered its final stages.
Russian forces were able to consolidate their positions in the northeastern part of the city around 10 days ago, which allowed them to rapidly gain control over most of the so-called "Historical Centre", which had seen prolonged battles due to the continued presence of Ukrainian positions on the edges of the city, which had forced the Russians to employ small infiltration tactics. With these positions now finally under Russian control, they have achieved a high level of freedom of movement in this part of the city, allowing them to establish control over additional parts of the private sector and physically cut the highway by capturing the nearby former industrial zone.
As a result, several groups of Ukrainian soldiers have been encircled in the eastern part of Kostyantynivka, likely numbering no more than 50 in total. While they are under an encirclement, some of them may retain the ability to escape by slipping through Russian lines, similar to what we saw in Myrnohrad earlier this year. Russian forces were shelling Ukrainian positions in the eastern part of the city as recent as a week ago. Since then, this part of the city has probably shifted to a zone of overlapping positions, with a dominant Russian advantage as they complete their clearing operations. It is expected that the eastern part of the city will be under solid Russian control within a week. In addition to this, Russian forces were able to clear the remaining Ukrainian positions in the southwestern part of Kostyantynivka and captured the remaining inner industrial zones.
In the northern and northwestern parts of Kostyantynivka, the Russians continued to steadily advance, while infiltrators pushed deeper, well beyond the zone of control, even as far as Osyokove, the outskirts of Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka, and the fields northwest of Kostyantynivka. This puts the newly-established Ukrainian drone operator positions in Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka at increased risk of being pushed back even further towards Druzhkivka, which would significantly disrupt their strike operations.
Ukrainian reconnaissance drone operators are currently focusing on establishing full and constant surveillance over the northern and central parts of Kostyantynivka, identifying the Russian infiltration routes towards the remaining Ukrainian positions in the northern and northwestern parts of the city, in order to alleviate the pressure and allow the controlled and phased withdrawal beyond the city limits to continue. A Ukrainian counterattack using armoured vehicles was repelled by Russian FPV drones between Osykove and Kostyantynivka, as Russian drone operators maintain strong fire control over the roads in this area. Russian drone operators are also increasing their attacks on Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk and the Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk Highway, further complicating Ukrainian logistical operations.
As a result of these recent pushes into the northern and northwestern parts of Kostyantynivka, Russian assault groups managed to clear a series of Ukrainian strongholds in the Novoselivka District and the northernmost part of the city, and are fighting for the remaining residential blocks of these districts. Heavy shelling of the entrance to Kostyantynivka was recorded in the past week ahead of the recent flag planting operations on the outskirts of the city.
(Part 2 below)
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
Yesterday I wrote that the claims by the Russian Ministry of Defence about the supposed capture of Kostyantynivka were false and premature, and that remains the case today. However, the battle for the city has entered its final stages.
Russian forces were able to consolidate their positions in the northeastern part of the city around 10 days ago, which allowed them to rapidly gain control over most of the so-called "Historical Centre", which had seen prolonged battles due to the continued presence of Ukrainian positions on the edges of the city, which had forced the Russians to employ small infiltration tactics. With these positions now finally under Russian control, they have achieved a high level of freedom of movement in this part of the city, allowing them to establish control over additional parts of the private sector and physically cut the highway by capturing the nearby former industrial zone.
As a result, several groups of Ukrainian soldiers have been encircled in the eastern part of Kostyantynivka, likely numbering no more than 50 in total. While they are under an encirclement, some of them may retain the ability to escape by slipping through Russian lines, similar to what we saw in Myrnohrad earlier this year. Russian forces were shelling Ukrainian positions in the eastern part of the city as recent as a week ago. Since then, this part of the city has probably shifted to a zone of overlapping positions, with a dominant Russian advantage as they complete their clearing operations. It is expected that the eastern part of the city will be under solid Russian control within a week. In addition to this, Russian forces were able to clear the remaining Ukrainian positions in the southwestern part of Kostyantynivka and captured the remaining inner industrial zones.
In the northern and northwestern parts of Kostyantynivka, the Russians continued to steadily advance, while infiltrators pushed deeper, well beyond the zone of control, even as far as Osyokove, the outskirts of Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka, and the fields northwest of Kostyantynivka. This puts the newly-established Ukrainian drone operator positions in Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka at increased risk of being pushed back even further towards Druzhkivka, which would significantly disrupt their strike operations.
Ukrainian reconnaissance drone operators are currently focusing on establishing full and constant surveillance over the northern and central parts of Kostyantynivka, identifying the Russian infiltration routes towards the remaining Ukrainian positions in the northern and northwestern parts of the city, in order to alleviate the pressure and allow the controlled and phased withdrawal beyond the city limits to continue. A Ukrainian counterattack using armoured vehicles was repelled by Russian FPV drones between Osykove and Kostyantynivka, as Russian drone operators maintain strong fire control over the roads in this area. Russian drone operators are also increasing their attacks on Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk and the Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk Highway, further complicating Ukrainian logistical operations.
As a result of these recent pushes into the northern and northwestern parts of Kostyantynivka, Russian assault groups managed to clear a series of Ukrainian strongholds in the Novoselivka District and the northernmost part of the city, and are fighting for the remaining residential blocks of these districts. Heavy shelling of the entrance to Kostyantynivka was recorded in the past week ahead of the recent flag planting operations on the outskirts of the city.
(Part 2 below)
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
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AMK Mapping
Regarding the situation in Kostyantynivka: Yesterday I wrote that the claims by the Russian Ministry of Defence about the supposed capture of Kostyantynivka were false and premature, and that remains the case today. However, the battle for the city has entered…
Elsewhere, following weeks of unsuccessful assault operations, Russian forces finally managed to break through Ukrainian positions along the railway line west of Chasiv Yar, infiltrating west for at least 3.2 km. It is currently unclear if there has any consolidation has been achieved there. It is likely that similar assault operations are taking place closer to Chasiv Yar and Mykolaivka. Attacks are also taking place northeast of Novodmytrivka towards the southern outskirts of Stinky. As such, the Ukrainian garrison in western Chasiv Yar, Mykolaivka, Chervone, and Podilske, and Stinky, is coming under increased threat of being encircled. The fall of the remaining parts of Kostyantynivka, the establishment of Russian drone operator positions in the city, and the beginning of attacks towards Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka will undoubtably make this threat even more significant.
+ ~12.20 km² in favour of Russia.
(Part 1 above)
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
+ ~12.20 km² in favour of Russia.
(Part 1 above)
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
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A Russian Geran-2 drone struck a gas distribution station in Chernihiv Oblast.
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A Russian Geran-2 drone struck a locomotive in the village of Oleshnya, Chernihiv Oblast, reportedly being used by the Ukrainian military to transport military-related cargo.
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Ukrainian drones struck the "Bakhchisaray" 220 kV electrical substation (44.75571, 33.86337) and the "Zimino" 110 kV electrical substation (45.51513, 33.51527) in Crimea.
Large fires broke out at both locations, which were recorded on NASA FIRMS.
Large fires broke out at both locations, which were recorded on NASA FIRMS.
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NASA FIRMS data shows that a large fire is burning at Hvardiiske Airbase in Crimea following overnight Ukrainian drone strikes.
Coordinates: 45.128093, 33.997308
Coordinates: 45.128093, 33.997308
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Situational update on the Dobropillya direction:
As the frontline continues to be pushed away from Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, Russia is now increasingly able to exploit the full potential of both cities as logistical hubs. As a result of this, they have begun advancing at a faster rate towards Dobropillya from the south, operating in tandem with renewed large-scale assault operations towards the city from the east.
East of Dobropillya, the situation for Ukraine has deteriorated as Russian forces sharply increased the intensity of their assault operations. As a result, they were able to capture the rest of Nove Shakhove and begin advancing further west towards Novyi Donbas. For now, they appear to be focusing on capturing the flanks of Novyi Donbas, advancing west along the railway line south of the village, northwest through the gullies north of the village, and west along the treelines north of the village. Some of these positions have been captured, allowing for DRGs to penetrate all the way to the eastern edge of Dobropillya and the neighbouring village of Hannivka, engaging in clashes with Ukrainian forces near the two terykons (industrial waste dumps).
Additionally, Russian forces have intensified their assault operations towards Kucheriv Yar, Vilne, and in the fortifications on the tactical heights north of Toretske, infiltrating through the fields and clay quarries. Some isolated DRGs are managing to penetrate as far as the outskirts of Zolotyi Kolodyaz.
Southeast of Dobropillya, the Russians intensified their assault operations near Bilytske, despite Ukrainian forces managing to clear the southern part of the city from earlier infiltrations. Russian forces were able to penetrate Ukrainian lines into the treelines west of Bilytske, where they are attempting to storm Ukrainian positions on the eastern approaches of Svitle. This undermines the very strong Ukrainian defence in and around Bilytske, and in coordination with advances near Novyi Donbas, threatens the city with encirclement. Additionally, the Russians continued assault operations west of Dorozhnje, continued infiltrations into the eastern private sector of Bilytske, and recaptured previously lost positions in the railway windbreaks northwest of Rodynske. Fighting also continues for the western blocks of Rodynske.
Northwest of Pokrovsk, Russian forces cleared a series of Ukrainian treeline positions east of Hryshyne, further expanding their buffer zone around Pokrovsk, and allowing for infiltrations to begin into the eastern and northern parts of Shevchenko, as well as through the fields west of the village. Other assault groups established full control over the village of Vasylivka, which they are using to launch assault on neighbouring Myrne and the treelines to the north in the direction of Novohryshyne and Matyasheve.
West of Pokrovsk, Russian forces began an advance west along the railway line, advancing by around 4.4 km and infiltrating the eastern streets of Serhiivka. They also improved their positions in the treelines between the railway line and Kotlyne.
A lack of Ukrainian units concentrated in this sector, as well as the Russian logistical advantage with their control over Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, is allowing them to make these new advances. Once Russia is able to establish a stable foothold in the dense cluster of village south of Dobropillya, it will be extremely difficult for Ukraine to turn the situation back in their favour.
+ ~18.88 km² in favour of Russia.
+ ~0.41 km² in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
As the frontline continues to be pushed away from Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, Russia is now increasingly able to exploit the full potential of both cities as logistical hubs. As a result of this, they have begun advancing at a faster rate towards Dobropillya from the south, operating in tandem with renewed large-scale assault operations towards the city from the east.
East of Dobropillya, the situation for Ukraine has deteriorated as Russian forces sharply increased the intensity of their assault operations. As a result, they were able to capture the rest of Nove Shakhove and begin advancing further west towards Novyi Donbas. For now, they appear to be focusing on capturing the flanks of Novyi Donbas, advancing west along the railway line south of the village, northwest through the gullies north of the village, and west along the treelines north of the village. Some of these positions have been captured, allowing for DRGs to penetrate all the way to the eastern edge of Dobropillya and the neighbouring village of Hannivka, engaging in clashes with Ukrainian forces near the two terykons (industrial waste dumps).
Additionally, Russian forces have intensified their assault operations towards Kucheriv Yar, Vilne, and in the fortifications on the tactical heights north of Toretske, infiltrating through the fields and clay quarries. Some isolated DRGs are managing to penetrate as far as the outskirts of Zolotyi Kolodyaz.
Southeast of Dobropillya, the Russians intensified their assault operations near Bilytske, despite Ukrainian forces managing to clear the southern part of the city from earlier infiltrations. Russian forces were able to penetrate Ukrainian lines into the treelines west of Bilytske, where they are attempting to storm Ukrainian positions on the eastern approaches of Svitle. This undermines the very strong Ukrainian defence in and around Bilytske, and in coordination with advances near Novyi Donbas, threatens the city with encirclement. Additionally, the Russians continued assault operations west of Dorozhnje, continued infiltrations into the eastern private sector of Bilytske, and recaptured previously lost positions in the railway windbreaks northwest of Rodynske. Fighting also continues for the western blocks of Rodynske.
Northwest of Pokrovsk, Russian forces cleared a series of Ukrainian treeline positions east of Hryshyne, further expanding their buffer zone around Pokrovsk, and allowing for infiltrations to begin into the eastern and northern parts of Shevchenko, as well as through the fields west of the village. Other assault groups established full control over the village of Vasylivka, which they are using to launch assault on neighbouring Myrne and the treelines to the north in the direction of Novohryshyne and Matyasheve.
West of Pokrovsk, Russian forces began an advance west along the railway line, advancing by around 4.4 km and infiltrating the eastern streets of Serhiivka. They also improved their positions in the treelines between the railway line and Kotlyne.
A lack of Ukrainian units concentrated in this sector, as well as the Russian logistical advantage with their control over Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, is allowing them to make these new advances. Once Russia is able to establish a stable foothold in the dense cluster of village south of Dobropillya, it will be extremely difficult for Ukraine to turn the situation back in their favour.
+ ~18.88 km² in favour of Russia.
+ ~0.41 km² in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
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The civilian death toll from Russia's combined missile and drone attack on Kyiv on July 2 has risen to 31, with another 102 others injured.
Most of the casualties were from a Kh-101 cruise missile directly impacting a high-rise residential building, causing it to partially collapse.
Most of the casualties were from a Kh-101 cruise missile directly impacting a high-rise residential building, causing it to partially collapse.
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