Tu-95MS strategic bombers are getting ready to take off from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.

The first Tu-95MS are now taking off from Olenya Airbase.

In my opinion, this is the Russian plan:

2 Tu-95MS from Engels-2 will fly north to western Vologda Oblast.

4-8 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase will fly south to western Vologda Oblast.

2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase will fly west to western Vologda Oblast.

They will then launch their Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukraine, which will subsequently enter Sumy Oblast from the north.

If this is the case, we should see missiles be launched in around 1 hour, 20 minutes, with missiles entering Ukrainian airspace within 3 hours.

This is just a prediction based on currently available information. It could be incorrect.

3 Tu-95MS are now confirmed to be airborne from Engels-2 Airbase.

Redbull acquired.

It’s gonna be a long day 😁

According to intelligence data, Russia plans to launch a large number of Iskander-M ballistic missiles towards Kyiv in the next 3 hours.

This is unconfirmed information.

There is also a threat to Dnipro later on. Iskander-M ballistic missiles could be launched from Taganrog and Crimea.

Если вы сейчас находитесь в Украине или России и вам удобно связаться со мной, пожалуйста, напишите мне в личные сообщения. Я стремлюсь расширить охват и повысить достоверность предоставляемой информации, особенно о российских и украинских воздушных атаках.

Вы останетесь анонимным и будете полностью контролировать предоставляемую информацию и способ её публикации. Я буду публиковать только ту информацию, которую вы мне разрешите, и которая не подвергнет риску никого из сторон конфликта. Это будет чрезвычайно полезно для моих репортажей, особенно в части освещения российских/украинских воздушных атак.

Мой аккаунт в Telegram: @AMK_Mapping1. Также есть Signal, если вам удобнее.

———————————————

If you are currently in Ukraine or Russia and feel comfortable with getting in contact with me, please DM me. I’m looking to increase the scope of my sourcing and reliability of the information I provide, especially on Russian and Ukrainian aerial attacks.

You will remain anonymous, and in complete control of the information you choose to provide, and how you provide it. I will only publish information that you allow me to, and that doesn’t put anyone from any side at risk. This will be extremely beneficial to my reporting, especially when it comes to covering Russian/Ukrainian aerial attacks.

My telegram account: @AMK_Mapping1. I also have Signal if you prefer that.

As of now, the following is confirmed to be airborne:

4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase
3 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Engels-2 Airbase
3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase

Apparently they are flying to the launch lines in Engels, Volgograd, or the Caspian Sea, rather than in Vologda Oblast.

Explosions in Zaporizhzhia City. Geran-2 drone strikes.

Additionally, over the last few hours, numerous areas have been attacked by drones.

Geran-3 drones have attacked targets in Kyiv, Vyshhorod, and Irpin, Kyiv Oblast

Geran-2 drones have attacked targets in:

- Mykhailo-Lukashivka and Zaporizhzhia City, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- Dnipro, Pavlohrad, Solone, Mykolaivka, Shakhtarske, Kryvyi Rih, and Apostolove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Konotop, Sumy Oblast.
- Smila, Cherkasy Oblast.
- Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast.
- Mykolaiv City
- Kherson City
- Other frontline areas

Iskander-M threat from Bryansk

High threat to Kyiv

Launch from Bryansk

This seems to be the work of Russian electronic warfare, rather than Iskanders. It could also be S-400 decoys.

The explosions were from Geran-2 drones and air defence activity

Some channels are writing that Ukrainian drones attacked the Iskander-M launchers as they were about to launch missiles.

Drone alerts were issued for approximately the area where the Iskanders are launched from.

Russian Geran-2 drones are attacking targets in Kharkiv City, Bohodukhiv (Kharkiv Oblast), and Putvyl (Sumy Oblast).

Explosions in Buryn, Sumy Oblast. Russian Geran-2 drone attack.

Explosions in Zaporizhzhia City. Another Geran-2 drone attack.