Iskander-M on Poltava Oblast

Flying to Dykanka, as expected.

Impacted near Poltava City. An explosion was heard.

Smoke is seen rising over Poltava City following the Iskander-M ballistic missile strike.

The city of Zolochiv, Kharkiv Oblast, is under attack from Tornado-S rockets being launched from Belgorod Oblast. KAB glide-bombs also targeted the town.

At least 2 Tornado-S rockets have impacted so far.

As of now, 7-8 Russian Tu-95MS and 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases. The highest threat is in place for the next 36 hours.

Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles have been delivered to launch sites in Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, Rostov Oblast, and Crimea.

Additionally, Russia has spent the last two weeks accumulating a large number of Geran-2 and Gerbera drones. It is not known if they intend to use them all in this attack, or spread them out across 2-3 attacks. 400-800 are expected to be used in this upcoming attack.

The highest threat is to Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. Other regions will also be hit, including possibly the western regions as they have not been targeted in some time.

Good morning. The attack is going to happen tonight. Gimme a sec to get up and ready and I will start my live coverage

Russia is going to carry out a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine tonight. Communications between Olenya Airbase and Strategic command and control on a combat frequency have been recorded.

2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers are likely already airborne from Ukrainka Airbase, flying west to their launch lines in Vologda Oblast.

6-8 Tu-95MS will likely take off from Olenya Airbase in the next two hours. There may also be departures from Engels-2 Airbase.

Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles are also expected to be launched.

400-800 Geran-2 and Gerbera drones are also expected to be used. Mass launches of drones have already begun from multiple locations, and are expected to continue throughout the night.

Currently, the northern regions of Ukraine are under attack from around a dozen Geran-3 jet drones.

KAB glide-bomb over Zaporizhzhia City

Explosions in Zaporizhzhia

One of these Geran-3 jet drones is currently over eastern Kyiv

Repeated explosions in Zaporizhzhia.

4 impacts so far.

At least one of these glide-bombs targeted the Motor Sich Plant.

2 Tu-95MS strategic bombers have departed from Engels-2 Airbase.

Tu-95MS strategic bombers are getting ready to take off from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.

The first Tu-95MS are now taking off from Olenya Airbase.

In my opinion, this is the Russian plan:

2 Tu-95MS from Engels-2 will fly north to western Vologda Oblast.

4-8 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase will fly south to western Vologda Oblast.

2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase will fly west to western Vologda Oblast.

They will then launch their Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukraine, which will subsequently enter Sumy Oblast from the north.

If this is the case, we should see missiles be launched in around 1 hour, 20 minutes, with missiles entering Ukrainian airspace within 3 hours.

This is just a prediction based on currently available information. It could be incorrect.

3 Tu-95MS are now confirmed to be airborne from Engels-2 Airbase.