AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

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Reuters reports that Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to a ceasefire in Lebanon that will begin at 4pm local time (2 mins from now).

The deal was reportedly reached with the help of Iran, as well as American and Qatari negotiators.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Y C)
The fifth ceasefire this month?

This ceasefire will be the GREATEST CEASEFIRE EVER!

Thank you for your attention to this matter! WFW
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Assuming Reuters' claim is correct, the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah should begin now.
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Israel is not going to adhere to a ceasefire after 4 of its soldiers, including a battalion commander, were killed.

Also, you can just look at the recent rhetoric from Israeli officials about how Trump has "betrayed" them. It is not in Israel's strategic interests to stop fighting now, especially as they are yet to capture the rest of the main Hezbollah strongholds near the forward operating line of their troops.

My prediction is that Israel will carry out some artillery shelling and limited drone strikes, Hezbollah will respond with FPV drone strikes on IDF vehicles, and the IDF will launch another airstrike campaign like we saw today.
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Meanwhile, Trump:
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AMK Mapping
Assuming Reuters' claim is correct, the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah should begin now.
A couple of minutes before the beginning of the ceasefire, Israeli airstrikes targeted the towns of Zebdine, Nmairiyeh, Kfar Tebnit, Kfar Reman, and Kfar Sir, southern Lebanon.
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An Israeli airstrike targeted the town of Nabatieh al-Fawqa, 5 minutes after the beginning of the ceasefire.
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It's now quiet in southern Lebanon.

Reports of new airstrikes in the last 10 minutes are false.
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New Israeli airstrikes on the Nabatieh area of southern Lebanon.
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The IDF claims it carried out over 150 airstrikes against southern and eastern Lebanon over the last 16 hours.
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Israeli artillery shelling is targeting the town of Jabal er Rafiaa. Drones and fighter jets continue to fly over southern Lebanon.
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Repeated Israeli airstrikes on the city of Nabatieh, southern Lebanon.
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Continued Israeli airstrikes on the city of Nabatieh, southern Lebanon.
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— 🇮🇱/🇱🇧 Israeli Channel 12: ‘A ceasefire does not mean ceasing fire. It means not escalating the attacks.’

@Middle_East_Spectator
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A Russian Su-35 flying near Tokmak, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, made two attempts at shooting down a Ukrainian tactical aircraft east of Zaporizhzhia City with R-37/77 air-to-air missiles.
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Hezbollah drone alerts in Zarit, northern Israel.
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AMK Mapping
Hezbollah drone alerts in Zarit, northern Israel.
Apparently a false alarm.
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The fuel shortages for Russia in Crimea seem to be slowly improving.

A significant amount of fuel has been brought in via the Kerch Bridge, some of which is accompanied by mobile fire teams (this has also been recorded in other parts of occupied Ukraine).

Additionally, over the last few days, we have seen a decrease in the number of Ukrainian mid-range drone strikes on Crimea, which can likely be at least partially attributed to this increase in mobile fire team activity.
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Amir Tsarfati
Has the United States Become a New Iranian Proxy?
How they attack the only ally they still have is truly remarkable.
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AMK Mapping
Apparently a false alarm.
Update: after a long wait, the IDF issued a statement regarding the sirens, claiming that 2 Hezbollah drones were detected. They did not specify if the drones impacted or were shot down, but claimed there were no casualties.
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