Regarding the upcoming Russian combined missile attack, we might see something tonight, but it’s too early to say anything for certain right now.

4-5 Tu-95MS and 2 Tu-160s remain ready, along with ballistic missiles, Kalibr cruise missiles, Kinzhals, and other types of missiles. All information I provided last week remains relevant.

The situation will become clearer in the next 4 hours.

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 Yedioth Ahronoth, quoting an IDF source: ‘Our decision to start attacking Beirut was taken in full coordination with Washington’

@Middle_East_Spectator

Russia is expected to launch their combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine tonight:

Communications between Olenya Airbase and command and control in Moscow are recorded on a combat-related frequency

Over 200 Geran-2/Gerbera drones have been launched.

2 Tu-160M strategic bombers are likely airborne from Ukrainka Airbase in the far east, flying west to their launch lines. Unconfirmed as of now.

Other weapons are expected to be used tonight. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, western Ukraine, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

More to come.

Ukraine just tried to shoot down a Russian Su-34 which was launching glide-bombs from near Molochansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, probably using a Patriot interceptor. The success of the interception attempt is currently unknown.

Update: the Su-34 dodged the Patriot missile and escaped back to Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

The Su-34, covered by a Su-35, are now flying east over the Sea of Azov, back towards Rostov Oblast and then their home airbase.

Mass launches of Russian Geran-2/Gerbera drones continue from launch sites Smolensk Oblast, Oryol Oblast, Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Rostov Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, and Crimea.

The departure of 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers that I reported on earlier has been confirmed.

They took off over 2 hours ago, and are still flying west to their launch lines.

Departures of up to 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase is expected in the next 30 minutes.

Following Netanyahu's statement saying that he spoke to Trump, warning that Israel will strike Beirut if Hezbollah does not stop attacking Israel with rockets, Hezbollah launched a salvo of rockets towards Metula, northern Israel.

A series of explosions were heard, and the Iron Dome is operating.

This was a ballistic missile targeting IDF positions in southern Lebanon. A failed interception attempt was carried out. The IDF claims it impacted next to Israeli positions, resulting in no casualties.

Up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles were launched from 2 Buyan-M corvettes at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

They will likely enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 40 minutes.

From now onwards, there is a high threat of Iskander-M ballistic missile launches, specifically from Bryansk, Voronezh, Rostov, and Kursk Oblasts.

Sorry, these launches were from the Caspian Sea, not the Black Sea. They will enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 60-80 minutes.

Currently, only around 50 Geran-2 and Gerbera drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace. Around 60% of these are Gerbera decoy drones.

22+ fly in a chain from Chernihiv Oblast, past Chornobyl, to Zhytomyr Oblast, along the border with Belarus.

7+ fly from Okhtyrka, Sumy Oblast, to Poltava.

12+ are scattered in southern Kharkiv Oblast, flying in various different directions.

5+ are flying northwest past the Kherson-Dnipropetrovsk border to Kryvyi Rih.

1-2 are flying west along the Kirovohrad-Mykolaiv border.

More launches are expected in the near future. Ukraine is not currently using aviation to shoot down these drones, as they plan to use them on the cruise missiles later.

Iran's parliament speaker issued a statement saying that Iran intends to attack Israel if their strikes on Lebanon do not halt.

Explosions in Shostka, Sumy Oblast. Russian Geran-2 drones are attacking the city.

Earlier, Russian Geran-2 drones also attacked Snovsk (Chernihiv Oblast) and Mykolaiv City

3+ Geran-3 jet drones are now entering Chernihiv Oblast after being launched from Tsumbulova, Oryol Oblast.

4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are airborne from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. They took off around 30 minutes ago, and are flying south to their launch lines in Vologda/Saratov/Volgograd Oblast.

3 (not 2) Tu-160M strategic bombers continue their flight westwards from Ukrainka Airbase to their launch lines.

Ukrainian F-16s, MiG-29s, and Mirage-2000s are now airborne to help shoot down Russian Kalibr cruise missiles.

The Kalibrs are expected to enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 25 minutes.