I agree with this. Media sensationalism makes it seem as if this has all happened at once.

The battles for urban areas of Kostyantynivka have lasted over 7 months, since mid-October 2025. The Russians have utilised a massive amount of manpower, progressively deepening their infiltrations, resulting in the defence for Ukraine slowly cracking and deteriorating. These new developments were expected.

In my opinion, the city will fall some time in July, but it's impossible to accurately predict this at this stage. Ukraine absolutely still has more manpower in the city than Russia due to a lack of stable control for Russia within the city limits, but this will likely switch in the near future.

Hezbollah rocket launches from Lebanon to Kiryat Shmona, northern Israel.

Sirens north of Kiryat Shmona

Around 15 minutes ago, a Russian Su-35 fighter jet tried to shoot down a Ukrainian F-16 over northern Sumy Oblast with 2 R-37/77 air-to-air missiles.

The Ukrainian F-16 was launching glide-bombs at the Krupets/Rylsk area of Kursk Oblast. Russian interception attempts of the Ukrainian jets were made southwest and northwest of Hlukhiv, Sumy Oblast. Both were likely unsuccessful.

The IDF announced that a Staff Sergeant of the Maglan Reconnaissance Unit of the elite 89th Commando Brigade was killed in recent fighting with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.

In the same incident, another soldier was "severely injured" while two others were "lightly injured".

This incident was likely related to the recent IDF ground operation north of the Litani River near Beaufort Castle, where they were presumably ambushed by Hezbollah fighters.

This brings the confirmed IDF death toll since the beginning of their invasion of Lebanon to 26.

A comparison of mappers in the Kostyantinivka direction.

1. Hudson WM
2. AMK Mapping
3. Hague Fugitive
4. SuriyakMaps
5. Anatoliy Radov

Damage seen at the Shostka Railway Station in Sumy Oblast following yesterday's Russian Geran-2 drone strikes.

Russian Geran-2 drones struck a claimed Ukrainian FPV drone workshop in the village of Katerynivka, Kharkiv Oblast.

Russian forces have captured the village of Riznykivka, Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast (Bakhmut District).

Pre-war population: ~593.
Total land area: ~5.05 km².

The fighting for Riznykivka lasted approximately 5 months, 10 days.

The fact that Prigozhin can launch an attempted coup, and then still remain popular among Russian channels, is incredible.

Sirens in Kiryat Shmona, northern Israel, following Hezbollah rocket launches.

Hezbollah released footage showing yet another FPV drone strike on an Israeli Iron Dome launcher, this time near the town of Shlomi, northern Israel.

This brings the total number of visually confirmed Hezbollah strikes on Israeli Iron Dome launchers to 8.