AMK Mapping
47.4K subscribers
10.4K photos
4.07K videos
1 file
600 links
Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

If you want to help support my reporting: https://buymeacoffee.com/amk_mapping.

All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
Download Telegram
The cause of the explosion in Kryvyi Rih is unknown, as both missiles flew to Dnipro. They were Kh-59/69 cruise missiles, launched by a Su-35 east of Polohy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Either one or both of the missiles were shot down over the city.
🔥34🤔153👍2👎1🤣1
Consequences of overnight Russian Geran-2 drone strikes Sumy Oblast.

The first part of the video shows a fire burning in a residential part of the village of Shkyrmanivka.

Coordinates: 51.92758, 33.575341
43👍12👎3😁2
AMK Mapping
The IDF carried out a targeted assassination strike against the commander of Hamas' Al-Qassam Brigades Izz al-Din al Haddad. Israeli sources claim that the strike was successful. At least 8 people were killed and 20 others injured during strikes on Gaza…
The IDF officially claims that yesterday's targeted assassination strike against against the commander of Hamas' Al-Qassam Brigades Izz al-Din al Haddad was successful.
👎44👍20🤬177🫡6👏4🤣2😁1🎉1
AMK Mapping
The cause of the explosion in Kryvyi Rih is unknown, as both missiles flew to Dnipro. They were Kh-59/69 cruise missiles, launched by a Su-35 east of Polohy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Either one or both of the missiles were shot down over the city.
In addition to the attacks on Dnipro, two Russian Kh-59/69 cruise missiles struck a factory in Kryvyi Rih, as evidenced by this geolocation.

Estimated impact coordinates: ~48.156013, 33.544111
58👍137🤔1
Hezbollah drone alerts in Misgav Am, northeastern Israel.
25👍3🔥2
AMK Mapping
Russian source Fighterbomber claims that the Russian interception attempt by a Su-35 against a Ukrainian F-16 using an R-37/77 air-to-air missile that I reported on earlier today was likely successful.
20 hours later, Fighterbomber has edited his post regarding the possible interception of a Ukrainian F-16 over northern Sumy Oblast to add: "There's no confirmation yet".
🤣95💔19👍11😁941🤔1
NASA FIRMS data shows that a large fire is burning in the village of Lyzunivka, Chernihiv Oblast, following overnight Russian Geran-2 drone strikes.

Coordinates: 52.069902, 32.924437
60🤔11👍8🤬4🔥2😁1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🇷🇺/🇸🇾 NEW: Russia has delivered two MiG-29 fighter jets to the new Free Syrian Armed Forces, they arrived in Khmeimim Airbase today

Deliveries were made at the request of Turkey in order to help with counter-terrorism and protection of airspace.

@Middle_East_Spectator
😁593511🤣11🤮10👎8🤬6🤔4👀3👍1
AMK Mapping
In addition to the attacks on Dnipro, two Russian Kh-59/69 cruise missiles struck a factory in Kryvyi Rih, as evidenced by this geolocation. Estimated impact coordinates: ~48.156013, 33.544111
A Russian Zala reconnaissance drone currently inspecting the damage from the two Russian Kh-59/69 cruise missiles strikes on the factory in Kryvyi Rih.
65👍16🤬1
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Hezbollah released footage showing the launch of drones and rockets towards Israeli positions in the towns of Al-Bayada and Aadaysit Marjaayoun, southern Lebanon.
139👍8👎1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli Namer Armoured Personnel Carrier in the city of Bint Jbeil, southern Lebanon.
138🔥10👍6👎1
Hezbollah drone alerts in Metulla, northern Israel.
26👍4🤮3👏1
AMK Mapping
The IDF officially claims that yesterday's targeted assassination strike against against the commander of Hamas' Al-Qassam Brigades Izz al-Din al Haddad was successful.
Hamas has officially announced that the commander of the Al-Qassam Brigades, Izz al-Din al Haddad was killed, alongside his his wife, daughter, and multiple other civilians, in last night's Israeli targeted assassination strike.

Hamas emphasised that this was another violation of the ceasefire agreement.
1🤬160🤣48💔2710🔥7👍4🫡4😁3
Ukrainian obstacles to scale with a soldier. In the second picture is the dirt parapet of one of the ditches, while in the first, a soldier is walking inside a ditch.
206🤣5🔥3
Over the last few months since the start of this year, there has been alot of attrition happening that isn't necessarily having immediate effect because of Ukrainian adaptations with the intent of holding more of the front with the same amount of men/the same amount of front with less men.

Keep in mind the statistics. Russia launches 10x the glide bombs as Ukraine, suffers 10-15x less artillery losses, and outproduces Ukraine in FPV drones (despite Ukrainian drones being arguably of better quality). All 3 pillars of attrition, Russia holds decisive advantage in.

Also keep in mind strategic strikes are only one aspect of the war and do not directly affect the frontline situation. Russia repairs refineries and replaces AD systems and radars, and people seem to have short memories like Russia hasn't launched huge combined missile and drone strikes on Ukraine once a week for the past 3 years.

There are some rumours of a Russian summer offensive. Like all previous years, i think all advances will continue to be a result of attrition, and there won't be any specific offensive with territorial goals.

I suspect that, provided the AFU continues adapting further as they get closer and closer to running out of manpower, advances could actually stay pretty constant or even slow as we approach the point of collapse. If hypothetically, the AFU does nothing, advances will exponentially increase during summer and into autumn and winter before the collapse happens (still at the same point).

(Side note: it is important to point out that Russian forces also suffer attrition, but the trend can be described as merely losing more slowly rather than winning perse.)

The difference is, if the AFU does nothing and lets attrition take its natural course, there will be a clear and obvious buildup toward the collapse of the front. Ukraine's continued drone warfare adaptations will result in continual blunting and suppression of the attrition that is happening. In a way, the situation for Ukraine could look entirely stable until its not. Almost like a state of metastability before a false vacuum collapse, if you use a quantum physics analogy.

Keep in mind, again, that drones still require drone operators, and drones cannot hold the front completely alone.

The collapse will regardless, be sudden, surreal and very hard to comprehend for many. For such a brutal grinding war of attrition to give way to large maneuvers and megacities falling one after another will take some alot of time to wrap their head around. Of course, by this time, NAFO and other horrible people profiting off the war with Crimea is about to be liberated! clickbait will have seen what's coming and be long gone.

As for a timeframe, myself, AMK, WillyOAM and Kalibrated have voiced our predictions many times. I'm just going to let it play out how it plays out.
76🔥85🤣5👎3😁2👍1
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)
⚡️🇱🇧🇱🇧🇮🇱 - Hezbollah announced carrying out at least 19 operations in southern Lebanon today.

The attacks include 6 MLRS barrages and 4 Kamikaze Drone swarms on IDF positions, FPV attacks on 1 "NAMER" APC, 1 "D9" Bulldozer, 1 "HMMWV" vehicle and 1 IDF site, ATGM attacks on 1 "Merkava" tank and 1 IDF Camera Surveillance installation, and 5 IED attacks, detonated upon 4 "D9" Bulldozers and 1 Infantry reinforcement unit.


@GeoPWatch
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
26😁2🤣2👎1🔥1