Disappeared

Explosions in Kyiv

One Iskander-M impacted the eastern suburbs of Kyiv.

3 missiles impacted the eastern suburbs of Kyiv, not 1.

Last night, another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack was carried out on Ukraine.

Missiles launched:

~32 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at their launch lines over Vologda Oblast.

~11 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations south of Pochep, Bryansk Oblast.

~7 Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from OTRK installations in eastern Kursk Oblast.

~7 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations in eastern Kursk Oblast.

~4 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations northwest of Klintsy, Bryansk Oblast.

~3 Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles launched from 3 MiG-31K fighter jets at their launch lines over southwestern Ryazan Oblast.

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Total missiles launched:

~32 Kh-101 cruise missiles
~22 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
~7 Iskander-K cruise missiles
~3 Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missile

~64 missiles in total.

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Ukrainian air defence work:

As of the time of writing, it appears that Ukrainian air defence was able to intercept at least 13 Kh-101 cruise missiles, 3 Iskander-K cruise missiles and 3 Iskander-M ballistic missiles.

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The main targets for this strike was Kyiv and central Ukraine. The following was targeted:

- Warehouse facility in Kyiv Oblast (50.41858, 30.2994) by ~4 Kh-101 cruise missiles.

- Starokostyantyniv Airbase, Khmelnytskyi Oblast (49.74643, 27.2701) by ~3 Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles.

- Kremenchuk Oil Refinery, Poltava Oblast (49.16888, 33.46296) by ~2 Iskander-M/s-400 ballistic missiles.

- Gas station in Kyiv (50.400872, 30.684892) by ~1 Kh-101 cruise missile.

- Residential building in eastern Kyiv (50.403209, 30.655081) by ~1 Kh-101 cruise missile.

- Multiple unknown targets in eastern Kyiv by ~6 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles

- Multiple unknown (likely defence-related) targets in southwestern Kyiv by ~5 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and an unknown number of Kh-101 cruise missiles.

- Unknown target in Kozyn, Kyiv Oblast, by ~4 Iskander-K cruise missiles.

- Unknown target in Dvrz District, Kyiv, by ~4 Kh-101 cruise missiles.

- Unknown target in northern Kyiv (50.506950, 30.495200) by an unknown number of Kh-101 cruise missiles.

- Unknown target near Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast, by ~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.

- Unknown target near the the northeastern outskirts of Kyiv by ~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.

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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches.

According to figures posted by the Ukrainian Air Force, Russia launched a total of 1,428 Geran-2, Gebera, and Geran-3 drones at Ukraine in multiple waves over the last 24 hours.

This is the highest number of drones to attack Ukraine in a single day since the beginning of the war.

Zelensky's reporting suggests that the other two Iskander-M ballistic missiles in Kremenchuk targeted energy infrastructure.

Immediately following the appointment of a new commander of the Russian Air Force, the interception rate of Russian missiles drops from over 50% to less than 30%.

The lack of Ukrainian F-16 and Mirage-2000 fighters taking part in intercepting missiles certainly played a role in this higher missile impact rate, but its also possible that the new command chose different routes for the missiles to fly along.

Remember, prior to this attack, Russian cruise missiles took practically the same routes every single attack, allowing for Ukraine to place air defence systems along their expected paths and concentrate aviation there, resulting in much higher interception rates.

The IRGC has boarded a vessel anchored 38 nautical miles northeast of Fujairah, UAE, in the Strait of Hormuz, and is now sailing it towards Iranian territorial waters.