Interestingly, Ukrainian F-16s and Mirage-2000s have not been used to shoot down drones from this attack. This has resulted in a higher than usual impact rate for the Gerans.

Dozens of new drones continue to enter Chernihiv Oblast, flying to western Ukraine.

I have to get some sleep now, but I will be back in the morning (my time) to cover the upcoming Russian missile attack.

As expected, Russia’s combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine will take place tonight.

4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers have taken off from Olenya Airbase, and are flying south to their launch lines. 4 Tu-160M strategic bombers are airborne from Ukrainka Airbase, flying west to their launch lines. Launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles are expected in the next 4 hours.

There's a lot of mixed information circulating regarding strategic bombers thanks to Russia's 4330 CW kHz combat frequency being active for the last 2 hours.

As for the Black Sea Fleet, still no info. It is known that 2 surface-carriers are equipped with up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles, but they have not left Novorossiysk Naval Base yet, and no signs of clearing the port for departures have been recorded.

The next wave of large groups of Geran-2, Geran-3, and Gerbera drones have entered Ukrainian airspace. There are at least 50 of them detected right now, with more expected to arrive.

For the next 4 hours, there is a high threat of Iskander-M ballistic missile launches, especially from Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, and Voronezh Oblast, whose launch sites recently received new batches of missiles.

Possible Iskander-M launch from Kursk Oblast.

An explosion was heard in Velykyi Bobryk, Sumy Oblast. Likely not related to any Iskanders in my opinion.

Iskander-M from Kursk Oblast, flying to Poltava Oblast

Flying to Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast

2 missiles, one after another

MiG-31K departure from Savasleika Airbase. High threat of Kinzhal launches.

Explosions in Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast. Iskander-M impacts

High threat of repeated Iskander-M launches to Kremenchuk.

The MiG-31K carried out a launch maneuver from southwestern Ryazan Oblast. We will know if its real or not in the next 3 minutes.

2 more Iskanders on Kremenchuk.

Repeated explosions in Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast. Iskander-M ballistic missile impacts.

The first launch maneuvers from the MiG-31Ks were simulated with electronic warfare.