Russia has launched 150-200 Geran-2/Gerbera drones at Ukraine in recent hours. At least 120 are currently detected in Ukrainian airspace, flying in large groups towards the western regions of Ukraine.
In my opinion, most of these drones are Gerbera decoy drones aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the next large-scale missile attack that will likely occur tonight and tomorrow morning.
In my opinion, most of these drones are Gerbera decoy drones aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the next large-scale missile attack that will likely occur tonight and tomorrow morning.
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Overnight, dozens of Ukrainian drones attacked the Taman Port in Krasnodar Krai.
Several impacts were recorded, resulting in at least three oil tanks of the Tamanneftegaz oil depot being engulfed in flames. The numerous Russian surface-to-air missile systems stationed in the area shot down most of the drones.
Coordinates: 45.151947, 36.676141
Video credit
Several impacts were recorded, resulting in at least three oil tanks of the Tamanneftegaz oil depot being engulfed in flames. The numerous Russian surface-to-air missile systems stationed in the area shot down most of the drones.
Coordinates: 45.151947, 36.676141
Video credit
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AMK Mapping
Russia has launched 150-200 Geran-2/Gerbera drones at Ukraine in recent hours. At least 120 are currently detected in Ukrainian airspace, flying in large groups towards the western regions of Ukraine. In my opinion, most of these drones are Gerbera decoy…
The Ukrainian GUR has confirmed my earlier reports that Russia has launched a prolonged combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
The first wave of attacks has consisted of more than 300 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 strike drones, targeting the western regions of Ukraine, aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the missiles. This wave is still ongoing, and appears to mostly consist of decoy drones.
Tonight/tomorrow morning, it is expected that Russia will launch missiles, including Kh-101s, Iskander-Ms, and Kalibrs, as well as additional Geran-2 drones.
The first wave of attacks has consisted of more than 300 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 strike drones, targeting the western regions of Ukraine, aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the missiles. This wave is still ongoing, and appears to mostly consist of decoy drones.
Tonight/tomorrow morning, it is expected that Russia will launch missiles, including Kh-101s, Iskander-Ms, and Kalibrs, as well as additional Geran-2 drones.
So far, during the first wave of attacks, Russian Geran-2 drones have struck targets in the following locations, mainly in Western Ukraine:
- Lutsk, Volyn Oblast
- Dubno, Rivne Oblast
- Rivne City
- Ivano-Frankivsk City
- Kolomyya, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Zdolbuniv, Rivne Oblast
- Yampil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Chernivtsi City
- Smila, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy City
- Kyiv City
- Malyn, Zhytomyr Oblast
- Mykolaiv City
- Snihurivka, Mykolaiv Oblast
- Chernyakhiv, Zhytomyr Oblast
The drones have mainly been targeting SBU buildings, electrical substations, and oil infrastructure.
- Lutsk, Volyn Oblast
- Dubno, Rivne Oblast
- Rivne City
- Ivano-Frankivsk City
- Kolomyya, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Zdolbuniv, Rivne Oblast
- Yampil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Chernivtsi City
- Smila, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy City
- Kyiv City
- Malyn, Zhytomyr Oblast
- Mykolaiv City
- Snihurivka, Mykolaiv Oblast
- Chernyakhiv, Zhytomyr Oblast
The drones have mainly been targeting SBU buildings, electrical substations, and oil infrastructure.
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Scenes from the Geran-2 drone strikes on Khmelnytskyi and Lutsk cities. Among the targets hit in Khmelnytskyi is an oil depot. SBU buildings have also been under attack.
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Interestingly, Ukrainian F-16s and Mirage-2000s have not been used to shoot down drones from this attack. This has resulted in a higher than usual impact rate for the Gerans.
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Dozens of new drones continue to enter Chernihiv Oblast, flying to western Ukraine.
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Meanwhile, Ukrainian interceptor drones are at work in western Ukraine, shooting down Russian Geran-2 drones.
Heavy cloud cover is complicating the work of these units, contributing to the larger overall impact rate.
Heavy cloud cover is complicating the work of these units, contributing to the larger overall impact rate.
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I have to get some sleep now, but I will be back in the morning (my time) to cover the upcoming Russian missile attack.
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As expected, Russia’s combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine will take place tonight.
4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers have taken off from Olenya Airbase, and are flying south to their launch lines. 4 Tu-160M strategic bombers are airborne from Ukrainka Airbase, flying west to their launch lines. Launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles are expected in the next 4 hours.
4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers have taken off from Olenya Airbase, and are flying south to their launch lines. 4 Tu-160M strategic bombers are airborne from Ukrainka Airbase, flying west to their launch lines. Launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles are expected in the next 4 hours.
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