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Hezbollah released footage showing an ATGM strike on a building occupied by Israeli soldiers in the town of Taybeh, southern Lebanon.
Hezbollah fighters monitored the movement of a group of at least 10 Israeli soldiers into the building prior to launching the guided missile. Notably, this video confirms a continued Hezbollah presence in the towns opposite Taybeh, which threatens the rather large IDF presence in the settlement.
Hezbollah fighters monitored the movement of a group of at least 10 Israeli soldiers into the building prior to launching the guided missile. Notably, this video confirms a continued Hezbollah presence in the towns opposite Taybeh, which threatens the rather large IDF presence in the settlement.
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AMK Mapping
Regarding the upcoming combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine: Preparations for this attack were noted 5-6 days ago, which are being finalised now. Currently, all signs are pointing towards an attack tomorrow night or the night after, although…
Additional info about the upcoming Russian combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine:
It will not take place tonight. The highest threat is in place for tomorrow night. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Cherkasy Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, and Lviv Oblast.
What will be used:
- At least 20 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched by 4-7 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase.
- 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase.
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
Recently, Iskander-M ballistic missiles were delivered to OTRK installations in Bryansk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and possibly Rostov Oblast and Kursk Oblast. There is also a threat of Zircon hypersonic cruise missile launches from Bastion-P launchers in Western Crimea.
As for Kalibrs, there is a relatively high likelihood of 2-3 surface carriers launching as many as 24 Kalibr cruise missiles. It is unclear if these launches would take place from the Black Sea or the Caspian Sea.
There is no reliable information about the possible usage of Iskander-K cruise missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, or other types of missiles. Hundreds of Geran-2 drones are expected to be used.
As I mentioned earlier, there is a possibility that this attack is conducted in two parts across one day, with Geran-2 drones and ballistic missiles being used between 12am and 5am, while Kh-101 cruise missiles and Kalibrs are used any time after 8am.
It will not take place tonight. The highest threat is in place for tomorrow night. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Cherkasy Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, and Lviv Oblast.
What will be used:
- At least 20 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched by 4-7 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase.
- 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase.
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
Recently, Iskander-M ballistic missiles were delivered to OTRK installations in Bryansk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and possibly Rostov Oblast and Kursk Oblast. There is also a threat of Zircon hypersonic cruise missile launches from Bastion-P launchers in Western Crimea.
As for Kalibrs, there is a relatively high likelihood of 2-3 surface carriers launching as many as 24 Kalibr cruise missiles. It is unclear if these launches would take place from the Black Sea or the Caspian Sea.
There is no reliable information about the possible usage of Iskander-K cruise missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, or other types of missiles. Hundreds of Geran-2 drones are expected to be used.
As I mentioned earlier, there is a possibility that this attack is conducted in two parts across one day, with Geran-2 drones and ballistic missiles being used between 12am and 5am, while Kh-101 cruise missiles and Kalibrs are used any time after 8am.
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AMK Mapping
Thanks everyone for tuning in! For those who missed it, you can find the livestream replay on my YouTube channel.
I'll probably do another livestream on YouTube this weekend with the same topic of covering frontline changes in Ukraine from the week prior.
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Overnight, at least 28 Russian Geran-2, Geran-3 and Gerbera drones attacked the Yuzhnyi Port in Odesa Oblast.
The drones flew in two waves. The first consisted of about 10 Geran-3 jet-drones, as well as 8 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 drones. The second wave consisted of around 10 Geran-2 drones.
The drones flew in two waves. The first consisted of about 10 Geran-3 jet-drones, as well as 8 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 drones. The second wave consisted of around 10 Geran-2 drones.
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Last night, several Russian Geran-2 drones attacked targets in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
3 drones impacted the city of Kryvyi Rih [Media 3], while another 2 impacted a target near the town of Mykolaivka. In the town of Dmytrivka, drones struck the dachas on the outskirts, resulting in a large fire breaking out [Media 1 & 2] (48.41173, 36.2017).
Prior to this, during a separate attack, a Geran-2 drone impacted near a residential building, killing two civilians and tearing off the leg of a 9-month-old baby who is now in critical condition.
3 drones impacted the city of Kryvyi Rih [Media 3], while another 2 impacted a target near the town of Mykolaivka. In the town of Dmytrivka, drones struck the dachas on the outskirts, resulting in a large fire breaking out [Media 1 & 2] (48.41173, 36.2017).
Prior to this, during a separate attack, a Geran-2 drone impacted near a residential building, killing two civilians and tearing off the leg of a 9-month-old baby who is now in critical condition.
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Overnight, Russia once again attacked Kharkiv Oblast with Geran-2 drones.
At least 13 drones were used in the following areas:
- At least 5 drones struck a target in the town of Derhachi, just northwest of Kharkiv City.
- At least 2 drones impacted the Kholodnohirskyi and Shevchenkivskyi Districts, 1 of which struck a railway depot [Media 3] (50.02406, 36.17970).
- 1 drone struck a target in the town of Tsyrkuny, just northeast of Kharkiv City.
- 4 drones impacted areas close to the frontline in the Kupyansk direction, including 2 in the town of Velykyi Burluk and 2 near the village of Prosyanka.
- 1 drone impacted near the city of Balakliya.
At least 13 drones were used in the following areas:
- At least 5 drones struck a target in the town of Derhachi, just northwest of Kharkiv City.
- At least 2 drones impacted the Kholodnohirskyi and Shevchenkivskyi Districts, 1 of which struck a railway depot [Media 3] (50.02406, 36.17970).
- 1 drone struck a target in the town of Tsyrkuny, just northeast of Kharkiv City.
- 4 drones impacted areas close to the frontline in the Kupyansk direction, including 2 in the town of Velykyi Burluk and 2 near the village of Prosyanka.
- 1 drone impacted near the city of Balakliya.
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This morning, two Russian Geran-2 drones impacted a target northwest of Poltava City, in the area of the Poltava Airbase.
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Russia has launched 150-200 Geran-2/Gerbera drones at Ukraine in recent hours. At least 120 are currently detected in Ukrainian airspace, flying in large groups towards the western regions of Ukraine.
In my opinion, most of these drones are Gerbera decoy drones aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the next large-scale missile attack that will likely occur tonight and tomorrow morning.
In my opinion, most of these drones are Gerbera decoy drones aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the next large-scale missile attack that will likely occur tonight and tomorrow morning.
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Overnight, dozens of Ukrainian drones attacked the Taman Port in Krasnodar Krai.
Several impacts were recorded, resulting in at least three oil tanks of the Tamanneftegaz oil depot being engulfed in flames. The numerous Russian surface-to-air missile systems stationed in the area shot down most of the drones.
Coordinates: 45.151947, 36.676141
Video credit
Several impacts were recorded, resulting in at least three oil tanks of the Tamanneftegaz oil depot being engulfed in flames. The numerous Russian surface-to-air missile systems stationed in the area shot down most of the drones.
Coordinates: 45.151947, 36.676141
Video credit
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AMK Mapping
Russia has launched 150-200 Geran-2/Gerbera drones at Ukraine in recent hours. At least 120 are currently detected in Ukrainian airspace, flying in large groups towards the western regions of Ukraine. In my opinion, most of these drones are Gerbera decoy…
The Ukrainian GUR has confirmed my earlier reports that Russia has launched a prolonged combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
The first wave of attacks has consisted of more than 300 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 strike drones, targeting the western regions of Ukraine, aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the missiles. This wave is still ongoing, and appears to mostly consist of decoy drones.
Tonight/tomorrow morning, it is expected that Russia will launch missiles, including Kh-101s, Iskander-Ms, and Kalibrs, as well as additional Geran-2 drones.
The first wave of attacks has consisted of more than 300 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 strike drones, targeting the western regions of Ukraine, aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence ahead of the missiles. This wave is still ongoing, and appears to mostly consist of decoy drones.
Tonight/tomorrow morning, it is expected that Russia will launch missiles, including Kh-101s, Iskander-Ms, and Kalibrs, as well as additional Geran-2 drones.
So far, during the first wave of attacks, Russian Geran-2 drones have struck targets in the following locations, mainly in Western Ukraine:
- Lutsk, Volyn Oblast
- Dubno, Rivne Oblast
- Rivne City
- Ivano-Frankivsk City
- Kolomyya, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Zdolbuniv, Rivne Oblast
- Yampil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Chernivtsi City
- Smila, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy City
- Kyiv City
- Malyn, Zhytomyr Oblast
- Mykolaiv City
- Snihurivka, Mykolaiv Oblast
- Chernyakhiv, Zhytomyr Oblast
The drones have mainly been targeting SBU buildings, electrical substations, and oil infrastructure.
- Lutsk, Volyn Oblast
- Dubno, Rivne Oblast
- Rivne City
- Ivano-Frankivsk City
- Kolomyya, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Zdolbuniv, Rivne Oblast
- Yampil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Chernivtsi City
- Smila, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy City
- Kyiv City
- Malyn, Zhytomyr Oblast
- Mykolaiv City
- Snihurivka, Mykolaiv Oblast
- Chernyakhiv, Zhytomyr Oblast
The drones have mainly been targeting SBU buildings, electrical substations, and oil infrastructure.
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Scenes from the Geran-2 drone strikes on Khmelnytskyi and Lutsk cities. Among the targets hit in Khmelnytskyi is an oil depot. SBU buildings have also been under attack.
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