Possible Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missile flight over Lysychansk, Luhansk Oblast, on an eastern course.
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AMK Mapping
Possible Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missile flight over Lysychansk, Luhansk Oblast, on an eastern course.
Interception attempts were made over central Luhansk Oblast.
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Ukraine has launched hundreds of long-range UAVs and jet-drones at Russia and Russian-controlled territories from Chernihiv, Donetsk, Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, Odesa and Kharkiv Oblasts.
Earlier, at least two Flamingo cruise missiles were shot down over central Luhansk Oblast after they tried to fly towards Rostov Oblast. Additional missiles are now detected flying through Luhansk Oblast towards Volgograd Oblast. There may be more launches later on in the night.
Earlier, at least two Flamingo cruise missiles were shot down over central Luhansk Oblast after they tried to fly towards Rostov Oblast. Additional missiles are now detected flying through Luhansk Oblast towards Volgograd Oblast. There may be more launches later on in the night.
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Approximate flight path of the group of Ukrainian Flamingo cruise missiles. They have flown past Luhansk Oblast and entered northern Rostov Oblast, with a further course towards Volgograd Oblast.
Additionally, dozens of drones are attacking targets in Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk Oblasts, attempting to overwhelm degraded Russian air defences.
Additionally, dozens of drones are attacking targets in Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk Oblasts, attempting to overwhelm degraded Russian air defences.
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AMK Mapping
Regarding the upcoming combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine: Preparations for this attack were noted 5-6 days ago, which are being finalised now. Currently, all signs are pointing towards an attack tomorrow night or the night after, althoughโฆ
The Ukrainian Air Force Spokesperson confirmed this information I provided, stating that the next large-scale Russian missile attack could take place in the coming days due to the redeployment of strategic bombers and increased activity at their bases.
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Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli HUMVEE vehicle in the town of Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon.
The drone detonated against the corner of the front of the vehicle, likely only damaging it.
The drone detonated against the corner of the front of the vehicle, likely only damaging it.
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Hezbollah released footage showing an ATGM strike on a building occupied by Israeli soldiers in the town of Taybeh, southern Lebanon.
Hezbollah fighters monitored the movement of a group of at least 10 Israeli soldiers into the building prior to launching the guided missile. Notably, this video confirms a continued Hezbollah presence in the towns opposite Taybeh, which threatens the rather large IDF presence in the settlement.
Hezbollah fighters monitored the movement of a group of at least 10 Israeli soldiers into the building prior to launching the guided missile. Notably, this video confirms a continued Hezbollah presence in the towns opposite Taybeh, which threatens the rather large IDF presence in the settlement.
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AMK Mapping
Regarding the upcoming combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine: Preparations for this attack were noted 5-6 days ago, which are being finalised now. Currently, all signs are pointing towards an attack tomorrow night or the night after, althoughโฆ
Additional info about the upcoming Russian combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine:
It will not take place tonight. The highest threat is in place for tomorrow night. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Cherkasy Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, and Lviv Oblast.
What will be used:
- At least 20 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched by 4-7 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase.
- 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase.
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
Recently, Iskander-M ballistic missiles were delivered to OTRK installations in Bryansk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and possibly Rostov Oblast and Kursk Oblast. There is also a threat of Zircon hypersonic cruise missile launches from Bastion-P launchers in Western Crimea.
As for Kalibrs, there is a relatively high likelihood of 2-3 surface carriers launching as many as 24 Kalibr cruise missiles. It is unclear if these launches would take place from the Black Sea or the Caspian Sea.
There is no reliable information about the possible usage of Iskander-K cruise missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, or other types of missiles. Hundreds of Geran-2 drones are expected to be used.
As I mentioned earlier, there is a possibility that this attack is conducted in two parts across one day, with Geran-2 drones and ballistic missiles being used between 12am and 5am, while Kh-101 cruise missiles and Kalibrs are used any time after 8am.
It will not take place tonight. The highest threat is in place for tomorrow night. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Cherkasy Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, and Lviv Oblast.
What will be used:
- At least 20 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched by 4-7 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase.
- 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase.
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
Recently, Iskander-M ballistic missiles were delivered to OTRK installations in Bryansk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and possibly Rostov Oblast and Kursk Oblast. There is also a threat of Zircon hypersonic cruise missile launches from Bastion-P launchers in Western Crimea.
As for Kalibrs, there is a relatively high likelihood of 2-3 surface carriers launching as many as 24 Kalibr cruise missiles. It is unclear if these launches would take place from the Black Sea or the Caspian Sea.
There is no reliable information about the possible usage of Iskander-K cruise missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, or other types of missiles. Hundreds of Geran-2 drones are expected to be used.
As I mentioned earlier, there is a possibility that this attack is conducted in two parts across one day, with Geran-2 drones and ballistic missiles being used between 12am and 5am, while Kh-101 cruise missiles and Kalibrs are used any time after 8am.
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AMK Mapping
Thanks everyone for tuning in! For those who missed it, you can find the livestream replay on my YouTube channel.
I'll probably do another livestream on YouTube this weekend with the same topic of covering frontline changes in Ukraine from the week prior.
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Overnight, at least 28 Russian Geran-2, Geran-3 and Gerbera drones attacked the Yuzhnyi Port in Odesa Oblast.
The drones flew in two waves. The first consisted of about 10 Geran-3 jet-drones, as well as 8 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 drones. The second wave consisted of around 10 Geran-2 drones.
The drones flew in two waves. The first consisted of about 10 Geran-3 jet-drones, as well as 8 Gerbera decoy drones and Geran-2 drones. The second wave consisted of around 10 Geran-2 drones.
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Last night, several Russian Geran-2 drones attacked targets in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
3 drones impacted the city of Kryvyi Rih [Media 3], while another 2 impacted a target near the town of Mykolaivka. In the town of Dmytrivka, drones struck the dachas on the outskirts, resulting in a large fire breaking out [Media 1 & 2] (48.41173, 36.2017).
Prior to this, during a separate attack, a Geran-2 drone impacted near a residential building, killing two civilians and tearing off the leg of a 9-month-old baby who is now in critical condition.
3 drones impacted the city of Kryvyi Rih [Media 3], while another 2 impacted a target near the town of Mykolaivka. In the town of Dmytrivka, drones struck the dachas on the outskirts, resulting in a large fire breaking out [Media 1 & 2] (48.41173, 36.2017).
Prior to this, during a separate attack, a Geran-2 drone impacted near a residential building, killing two civilians and tearing off the leg of a 9-month-old baby who is now in critical condition.
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Overnight, Russia once again attacked Kharkiv Oblast with Geran-2 drones.
At least 13 drones were used in the following areas:
- At least 5 drones struck a target in the town of Derhachi, just northwest of Kharkiv City.
- At least 2 drones impacted the Kholodnohirskyi and Shevchenkivskyi Districts, 1 of which struck a railway depot [Media 3] (50.02406, 36.17970).
- 1 drone struck a target in the town of Tsyrkuny, just northeast of Kharkiv City.
- 4 drones impacted areas close to the frontline in the Kupyansk direction, including 2 in the town of Velykyi Burluk and 2 near the village of Prosyanka.
- 1 drone impacted near the city of Balakliya.
At least 13 drones were used in the following areas:
- At least 5 drones struck a target in the town of Derhachi, just northwest of Kharkiv City.
- At least 2 drones impacted the Kholodnohirskyi and Shevchenkivskyi Districts, 1 of which struck a railway depot [Media 3] (50.02406, 36.17970).
- 1 drone struck a target in the town of Tsyrkuny, just northeast of Kharkiv City.
- 4 drones impacted areas close to the frontline in the Kupyansk direction, including 2 in the town of Velykyi Burluk and 2 near the village of Prosyanka.
- 1 drone impacted near the city of Balakliya.
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