Scenes from eastern Tehran after US/Israeli airstrikes targeted the city. Renewed strikes are also reported on the northeastern suburbs of the city.

Smoke is seen rising from the Lavizan District of northeastern Tehran after US/Israeli airstrikes.

Hezbollah published footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli Armoured Personnel Carrier near the town of Taybeh, southern Lebanon.

This is the second confirmed instance of Hezbollah using an FPV drone against an Israeli armoured vehicle.

Today marks one month since the US and Israel launched their war against Iran, which immediately spiralled into one of the largest regional wars the Middle East has ever seen.

One month in, none of the stated goals have been achieved, despite constant statements made by Trump about how much they had supposedly achieved.

Despite over 10,000 strikes being carried out on Iran so far, with hundreds still occurring every single day, Iran is still launching ballistic missiles and drones at Israel and the Gulf States every day,

Iran's leadership remains firmly in place and shows no signs of cracking, despite the death of Khamenei on day 1. There is no major unrest in Iranian cities, and pro-regime demonstrations continue to this day, despite US and Israeli calls for a popular uprising against the regime.

Oil prices continue to remain extremely high, despite efforts by Trump and the US to calm worries of future price rises.

The Houthis officially joined the war on the side of Iran today, which risks additional economic issues in the event of a blockade of the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

Hezbollah continues to fire hundreds of rockets and drones at Israel and IDF positions every single day, and the IDF continues to face continuous ground resistance in southern Lebanon, despite the elimination of most of Hezbollah's leadership and other serious degradations in 2024 and constant strikes against them since then.

The US is being forced to bring in new troop reinforcements and firepower to the Middle East which they did not have in the region before the war, which proves they are facing more resistance than expected and the war timeline is not going to plan.

It is safe to say that despite serious blows to Iran's military capabilities and an obvious U.S. and Israeli superiority in military capacity, the war is not going to plan.

Iran's strategy of launching small numbers of ballistic missiles at a time in order to degrade western interceptor stockpiles while increasing the longevity of their own ballistic missile stockpiles is proving successful. Interception rates are now beginning to sharply drop off, and Israel and Gulf States are beginning to ration their interceptors.

Remember, for the US and Israel to win, they have to achieve regime change and destroy all Iranian military capabilities. For Iran to win, they just have to survive and make it too costly for the US to continue.

There is almost no popular support for this war in the US and the wider Western World, let alone enough required to keep up a prolonged, costly war in an area on the other side of the world.

The coming weeks will be decisive. Trump has two options:

1. Commit to an all-out war by sending in troops for ground operations to unblock the Strait of Hormuz, and possibly begin a full-scale ground operation on mainland Iran too.

2. Make false claims about the success of the war, shift the goalposts, and pull out to save face ahead of the midterm elections. Iran is betting on the second option, but is prepared for the first.

Unidentified missile to Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrvosk Oblast.

The aerial target disappeared. Alarms sounded in Pavlohrad after it disappeared. It appears that it was some sort of cruise missile which was shot down on approach to the city.

Nevermind. This was an R-37/77 air-to-air missile launched by a Su-35 in Donetsk Oblast targeting Ukrainian tactical aviation flying over Pavlohrad. The aircraft flew away before the missile reached there, and it self-destructed between Synel'nykove and Pavlohrad.

More specifically, it targeted a Ukrainian Su-27 fighter that was covering Su-24s/F-16s attempting to launch glide-bombs at Russian positions in the Hulyaipole area. The Su-35 was covering a couple of Su-34s flying east of Kurakhove which intended to launch KAB glide-bombs at Ukrainian positions in the Dobropillya/Novopavlivka area.

The Ukrainian Su-27 tried to launch its own air-to-air missile, and the Su-35 launched its own. Neither hit their targets and both bombing runs were cancelled.

The IDF stated that they completed a new wave of airstrikes on Tehran.

Targets were hit in the west, northeastern, central, and eastern parts of the city. Aerial refuelling operations occurred in the Deir ez-Zur Governorate of eastern Syria, as seen in this video.

Unidentified missile to Voronizh, Sumy Oblast

Flying to Krolevets

Disappeared near Vozdvyzhenske. Likely a Kh-31P anti-radar missile.

The speed was unusually high (~5,000 km/h), which is closer to that of an R-37M air-to-air missile than a Kh-31P, however no Ukrainian tactical aircraft were reported in this area.

Iskander on Kramatorsk from Donetsk City/Makiivka. It has since disappeared.

Ballistic missile launch from Iran to southern Israel

Another missile to Sumy Oblast. This time flying to Hlukhiv.

6-7 mins until alerts in southern Israel

Disappeared near Esman, Sumy Oblast. Probably an R-37 self-destructing.

Another missile was detected flying to Semenivka, Chernihiv Oblast from the north, but it also disappeared near the international border.

Early warning alerts include Beer Sheba

Alerts may sound sooner if Arrow-3/2/THAAD is launched.