AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

If you want to help support my reporting: https://buymeacoffee.com/amk_mapping.

All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
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Of course, states will always engage in Realpolitik, especially if you're Ukraine who is engaged in an existential war and stuck in the middle of a great power proxy conflict.

But I still think its important to remain human and point out the moral and ethical implications of certain actions.
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Forwarded from HagueFugitive
the state of MAGA
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Today (March 27), Hezbollah published a total of 58 statements regarding recent operations targeting Israel and the IDF in Israel and southern Lebanon, down from yesterday's 94.

This brings their total stated operations since the beginning of the war to 945, with an average of 36.35 per day since March 2.

Note: Hezbollah only announces a small fraction of the total operations carried out against the IDF, and often combines multiple attacks into one statement. This graph only counts total Hezbollah statements.
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Israeli fighter jets accompanied by a refuelling aircraft are seen operating over Syrian airspace as they continue to attack targets in Iran.
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Iran's Khatam-al Anbiya Central Headquarters reports that they targeted an U.S. naval support and reinforcement ship this morning, located near the Omani port of Salalah.

They did not specify if the ship was actually hit.
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An Iraqi militia drone struck a target in the Dohuk Governorate of Iraqi Kurdistan.
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AMK Mapping
Israeli fighter jets are still circling over Beirut. No strikes yet.
An Israeli drone/airstrike targeted an apartment building in Beirut.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Meteor Sabra)
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Unconfirmed reports suggest that the missile carried a leaflet saying:

โ€œHezbollah has turned your homes into terrorist areasโ€


@wfwitness
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Israeli/US airstrikes are targeting Tehran, Iran.

Strikes are reported in the Sohrevardi Neighbourhood of District 7, the northeastern suburbs of Tehran, and the eastern suburbs of Tehran.
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Smoke is seen rising over northern Tehran after US/Israeli airstrikes.
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Air defence activity is reported in Tehran.
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Fighting between Hezbollah and IDF troops in the town of of Al-Bayada, southern Lebanon is ongoing. The IDF made a ~10 km incursion here from the Lebanese border in recent days.
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A new large wave of Israeli airstrikes is targeting numerous parts of southern Lebanon. This has been ongoing for the last couple of hours and continues to this minute.

Among these strikes, a targeted assassination strike was carried out on a car in the town of Jezzine.
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AMK Mapping
Two Iranian drones struck the Salalah Port in Oman, damaging port cranes. The Omani Government stated that one port worker was moderately injured, and condemned the attack.
The Salalah Port in Oman has suspended all operations for approximately 48 hours after 2 Iranian drones struck it, resulting in damage to one of the port cranes and the full evacuation of the port.
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AMK Mapping
Smoke is seen rising over northern Tehran after US/Israeli airstrikes.
Scenes from eastern Tehran after US/Israeli airstrikes targeted the city. Renewed strikes are also reported on the northeastern suburbs of the city.
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Smoke is seen rising from the Lavizan District of northeastern Tehran after US/Israeli airstrikes.
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Hezbollah published footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli Armoured Personnel Carrier near the town of Taybeh, southern Lebanon.

This is the second confirmed instance of Hezbollah using an FPV drone against an Israeli armoured vehicle.
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Today marks one month since the US and Israel launched their war against Iran, which immediately spiralled into one of the largest regional wars the Middle East has ever seen.

One month in, none of the stated goals have been achieved, despite constant statements made by Trump about how much they had supposedly achieved.

Despite over 10,000 strikes being carried out on Iran so far, with hundreds still occurring every single day, Iran is still launching ballistic missiles and drones at Israel and the Gulf States every day,

Iran's leadership remains firmly in place and shows no signs of cracking, despite the death of Khamenei on day 1. There is no major unrest in Iranian cities, and pro-regime demonstrations continue to this day, despite US and Israeli calls for a popular uprising against the regime.

Oil prices continue to remain extremely high, despite efforts by Trump and the US to calm worries of future price rises.

The Houthis officially joined the war on the side of Iran today, which risks additional economic issues in the event of a blockade of the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

Hezbollah continues to fire hundreds of rockets and drones at Israel and IDF positions every single day, and the IDF continues to face continuous ground resistance in southern Lebanon, despite the elimination of most of Hezbollah's leadership and other serious degradations in 2024 and constant strikes against them since then.

The US is being forced to bring in new troop reinforcements and firepower to the Middle East which they did not have in the region before the war, which proves they are facing more resistance than expected and the war timeline is not going to plan.

It is safe to say that despite serious blows to Iran's military capabilities and an obvious U.S. and Israeli superiority in military capacity, the war is not going to plan.

Iran's strategy of launching small numbers of ballistic missiles at a time in order to degrade western interceptor stockpiles while increasing the longevity of their own ballistic missile stockpiles is proving successful. Interception rates are now beginning to sharply drop off, and Israel and Gulf States are beginning to ration their interceptors.

Remember, for the US and Israel to win, they have to achieve regime change and destroy all Iranian military capabilities. For Iran to win, they just have to survive and make it too costly for the US to continue.

There is almost no popular support for this war in the US and the wider Western World, let alone enough required to keep up a prolonged, costly war in an area on the other side of the world.

The coming weeks will be decisive. Trump has two options:

1. Commit to an all-out war by sending in troops for ground operations to unblock the Strait of Hormuz, and possibly begin a full-scale ground operation on mainland Iran too.

2. Make false claims about the success of the war, shift the goalposts, and pull out to save face ahead of the midterm elections. Iran is betting on the second option, but is prepared for the first.
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Unidentified missile to Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrvosk Oblast.
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