Forwarded from Playfra - Maps & Analyses
Aerial view of Ukraine's new Verkhnya Tersa line, the next north-south line that the Russian Huljajpole-Ternuvate offensive will need to overcome after the similar current Haichur River line to continue further to Orikhiv and Zaporizhzhia from the east.
2 ditches were dug, and a line of barbed wire was placed. Ideally, another ditch and barbed wire line are expected to be built.
In particular, the Russians will need to overcome the following:
1. An open field
2. A swampy area
3. The Verkhnya Tersa River itself
4. A swampy area
5. An open field
6. A line of barbed wire
7. A ditch
8. A ditch
9. An open field
All of this under constant Ukrainian drone threat.
As you can see, engineering obstacles coupled with natural obstacles can form, if used correctly, formidable defensive nodes and can make the difference between a collapse and a stabilization.
Furthermore, here a Russian recon drone was hit while going back to friendly lines, which, together with a lot more, hints at the fact that the Russians know extremely well about those lines and that such mapping work does not expose any secret information whatsoever.
2 ditches were dug, and a line of barbed wire was placed. Ideally, another ditch and barbed wire line are expected to be built.
In particular, the Russians will need to overcome the following:
1. An open field
2. A swampy area
3. The Verkhnya Tersa River itself
4. A swampy area
5. An open field
6. A line of barbed wire
7. A ditch
8. A ditch
9. An open field
All of this under constant Ukrainian drone threat.
As you can see, engineering obstacles coupled with natural obstacles can form, if used correctly, formidable defensive nodes and can make the difference between a collapse and a stabilization.
Furthermore, here a Russian recon drone was hit while going back to friendly lines, which, together with a lot more, hints at the fact that the Russians know extremely well about those lines and that such mapping work does not expose any secret information whatsoever.
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Russia has resumed FPV drone strikes on the Pavlohrad - Pokrovsk Highway in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after a brief lull.
Ukraine has constructed anti-drone nets for part of the road, however some drones are still able to tear the net and get through.
Ukraine has constructed anti-drone nets for part of the road, however some drones are still able to tear the net and get through.
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Israeli media report "a serious security incident" in southern Lebanon, with multiple IDF soldiers reportedly injured after a Hezbollah attack.
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AMK Mapping
Israeli media report "a serious security incident" in southern Lebanon, with multiple IDF soldiers reportedly injured after a Hezbollah attack.
Israeli evacuation helicopters are landing at Rambam Hospital in Haifa, northern Israel, transporting Israeli casualties.
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Earlier today, the IDF announced the death of a Staff Sergeant of the 77th Armoured Battalion of the 7th Armoured Brigade, who was killed in fighting with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
During this incident, 2 other soldiers were lightly injured.
This brings the total confirmed Israeli casualties since the beginning of the war to 4 killed and 20 injured.
During this incident, 2 other soldiers were lightly injured.
This brings the total confirmed Israeli casualties since the beginning of the war to 4 killed and 20 injured.
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Forwarded from Suriyakmaps (Suriyak)
The Ukrainian winter offensive: Between the 70 square kilometers reported by the most pro-Russian sources & the 400 square kilometers cited by Zelensky, Suriyakmapsโ estimate stands at 283 square kilometers. ๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ
Taking advantage of temporary Russian communications issues (primarily the blocking of Starlink for Russian troops), Ukrainian army has made significant advances since late January, managing to reverse some of the Russian gains made during the fall of 2025 on the Pokrovskaya, Velikomikhailovskaya & Huliaipole fronts. These gains have been greater after connecting with isolated Ukrainian troops due to the rapid Russian advance during those months, which has forced the Russian command to withdraw from several locations to avoid a loss of material & human resources in territory that had not been fully consolidated.
Taking advantage of temporary Russian communications issues (primarily the blocking of Starlink for Russian troops), Ukrainian army has made significant advances since late January, managing to reverse some of the Russian gains made during the fall of 2025 on the Pokrovskaya, Velikomikhailovskaya & Huliaipole fronts. These gains have been greater after connecting with isolated Ukrainian troops due to the rapid Russian advance during those months, which has forced the Russian command to withdraw from several locations to avoid a loss of material & human resources in territory that had not been fully consolidated.
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Suriyakmaps
The Ukrainian winter offensive: Between the 70 square kilometers reported by the most pro-Russian sources & the 400 square kilometers cited by Zelensky, Suriyakmapsโ estimate stands at 283 square kilometers. ๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ Taking advantage of temporary Russian communicationsโฆ
The Ukrainian winter counteroffensive:
According to my estimations, Ukraine recaptured and still holds approximately 288 kmยฒ, which is almost identical to Suriyak's estimation of around 283 kmยฒ.
This number is very different to most Pro-Russian estimates of around 70 kmยฒ and most Pro-Ukrainian estimates of over 400 kmยฒ.
According to my estimations, Ukraine recaptured and still holds approximately 288 kmยฒ, which is almost identical to Suriyak's estimation of around 283 kmยฒ.
This number is very different to most Pro-Russian estimates of around 70 kmยฒ and most Pro-Ukrainian estimates of over 400 kmยฒ.
The IDF has issued evacuation orders for the entire village of Sejoud, southern Lebanon, urging residents to evacuate north of the Zahrani River.
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AMK Mapping
The Ukrainian winter counteroffensive: According to my estimations, Ukraine recaptured and still holds approximately 288 kmยฒ, which is almost identical to Suriyak's estimation of around 283 kmยฒ. This number is very different to most Pro-Russian estimatesโฆ
As for settlements, Ukrainian forces managed to recapture/clear and still hold a total of 19 villages, and contest another 10 (including ones that were recaptured that Russia has since re-entered).
Russian forces have been able to recapture a total of 3 previously lost settlements.
These include settlements that Russia either didn't fully hold or hadn't completed the consolidation process in.
Yellow = Ukrainian recaptured
Green = Contested
Pink = Russian recaptured
Russian forces have been able to recapture a total of 3 previously lost settlements.
These include settlements that Russia either didn't fully hold or hadn't completed the consolidation process in.
Yellow = Ukrainian recaptured
Green = Contested
Pink = Russian recaptured
The Saudi Ministry of Defence claims that a total of 13 Iranian drones were shot down by air defence in the eastern part of Saudi Arabia over the last 9 hours.
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AMK Mapping
Ukrainian UAVs once again attacked the Ust-Luga and Primorsk Ports in Leningrad Oblast, resulting in large fires breaking out at both locations. These are the two largest Russian Baltic Sea ports. It appears that these drones once again utilised Polish, Lithuanianโฆ
NASA FIRMS data shows that massive fires continue to burn at both the Ust-Luga and Primorsk Ports in Leningrad Oblast after they were attacked by Ukrainian long-range UAVs.
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In the evening, 2-3 Russian Geran-2 drones attacked the Chernihiv-North Railway Station in Chernihiv City.
As a result of the strikes, damage was recorded to a ChME3-1063 train parked at the station.
Coordinates: 51.520129, 31.2492578
As a result of the strikes, damage was recorded to a ChME3-1063 train parked at the station.
Coordinates: 51.520129, 31.2492578
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Overnight, Russia carried out a combined attack on rear areas of Kharkiv Oblast with Tornado-S rockets, KAB glide-bombs, and Geran-2 drones.
Tornado-S rockets and other MLRS (such as BM-27 Uragan) struck targets in the Lyptsi and Tsyrkuny areas, as well as in the Kyivskyi District of Kharkiv City.
Geran-2 drones attacked targets in the Novobavarskyi and Pyatykhatky Districts of Kharkiv City, the cities of Lozova, Balakliya, Chuhuiv, and Zlatopil, as well as the town of Bezliudivka.
At least 7 KAB glide-bombs struck targets between the village of Oskil and the city of Izyum.
The attached videos show KAB strikes east of Izyum.
Tornado-S rockets and other MLRS (such as BM-27 Uragan) struck targets in the Lyptsi and Tsyrkuny areas, as well as in the Kyivskyi District of Kharkiv City.
Geran-2 drones attacked targets in the Novobavarskyi and Pyatykhatky Districts of Kharkiv City, the cities of Lozova, Balakliya, Chuhuiv, and Zlatopil, as well as the town of Bezliudivka.
At least 7 KAB glide-bombs struck targets between the village of Oskil and the city of Izyum.
The attached videos show KAB strikes east of Izyum.
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