Russia has likely planned to carry out another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine in the next 3 days.
If it takes place, the attack could involve:
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from Bryansk Oblast, Crimea, Taganrog (Rostov Oblast) and Voronezh Oblast.
- Kh-22/32 cruise missiles launched from Tu-22m3 strategic bombers.
- Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from Kursk Oblast.
- Kh-59/69 cruise missiles from Su-57 fighters at Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast.
- The new "Izdeliye-30" cruise missile launched by Su-34/35s.
- Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles launched from Crimea.
- Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles launched from MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.
Not all of these above weapons will be used.
Additionally, despite their most recent attack involving almost 1,000 Geran-2/Gerbera drones, Russia still has sufficient accumulations of drones at their major launch sites surrounding Ukraine for a major attack involving hundreds of drones.
The highest threat is in place for 11pm - 5am on Saturday night, however it could take place at any of the next 3 nights.
If it takes place, the attack could involve:
- Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from Bryansk Oblast, Crimea, Taganrog (Rostov Oblast) and Voronezh Oblast.
- Kh-22/32 cruise missiles launched from Tu-22m3 strategic bombers.
- Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from Kursk Oblast.
- Kh-59/69 cruise missiles from Su-57 fighters at Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast.
- The new "Izdeliye-30" cruise missile launched by Su-34/35s.
- Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles launched from Crimea.
- Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles launched from MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.
Not all of these above weapons will be used.
Additionally, despite their most recent attack involving almost 1,000 Geran-2/Gerbera drones, Russia still has sufficient accumulations of drones at their major launch sites surrounding Ukraine for a major attack involving hundreds of drones.
The highest threat is in place for 11pm - 5am on Saturday night, however it could take place at any of the next 3 nights.
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In the Lyman direction, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have advanced in several areas over the last few weeks.
In the southeast, Russian forces continued advancing west of Dibrova and captured new positions in the forests there. They also partially cleared the salient west of the village and improved their positions further north in the forests along the highway.
To the north, the Russians advanced further southwest along the forest plantations southwest of Stavky, reaching the northern outskirts of Lyman. Other forces infiltrated through northern Lyman from the area of the agricultural complex, reaching Petropavlivska Street. Additionally, Russian forces improved their positions in the treelines southeast of Drobysheve and entered the forests northwest of Lyman, while other assault groups finally cleared the western part of Stavky and the agricultural buildings. Meanwhile, fighting continues in Drobysheve and the forests south of the town.
+ ~4.92 km² in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10
In the southeast, Russian forces continued advancing west of Dibrova and captured new positions in the forests there. They also partially cleared the salient west of the village and improved their positions further north in the forests along the highway.
To the north, the Russians advanced further southwest along the forest plantations southwest of Stavky, reaching the northern outskirts of Lyman. Other forces infiltrated through northern Lyman from the area of the agricultural complex, reaching Petropavlivska Street. Additionally, Russian forces improved their positions in the treelines southeast of Drobysheve and entered the forests northwest of Lyman, while other assault groups finally cleared the western part of Stavky and the agricultural buildings. Meanwhile, fighting continues in Drobysheve and the forests south of the town.
+ ~4.92 km² in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10
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In the Rai-Oleksandrivka direction, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have made new progress in multiple areas.
In the north, Russian forces cleared new treeline positions northwest of Riznykivka, and are engaged in fighting for the remaining Ukrainian strongpoints in this area. Additionally, they expanded their infiltrations to the western part of Kalenyky, entering the forest west of the village and the treelines south of Kryvy Luka.
To the south, following earlier infiltrations, the Russians captured the two forests south of Riznykivka. Assault operations continue in the western part of the village.
To the southwest, Russian forces completed the capture of the two forests south of Fedorivka Druha and secured new treeline positions there too. Additionally, Ukrainian forces began counterattacking in the Minkivka area, re-entering the outskirts and the nearby forest, however Russian forces were able to push them back out of the western part of the village.
Furthermore, the situation was corrected south of MInkivka where Ukrainian positions remain in some strongpoints which the Russians are actively assaulting. Russian forces are also trying to infiltrate from Minkivka to the Siverskyi Donets Canal.
+ ~6.80 km² in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10'
In the north, Russian forces cleared new treeline positions northwest of Riznykivka, and are engaged in fighting for the remaining Ukrainian strongpoints in this area. Additionally, they expanded their infiltrations to the western part of Kalenyky, entering the forest west of the village and the treelines south of Kryvy Luka.
To the south, following earlier infiltrations, the Russians captured the two forests south of Riznykivka. Assault operations continue in the western part of the village.
To the southwest, Russian forces completed the capture of the two forests south of Fedorivka Druha and secured new treeline positions there too. Additionally, Ukrainian forces began counterattacking in the Minkivka area, re-entering the outskirts and the nearby forest, however Russian forces were able to push them back out of the western part of the village.
Furthermore, the situation was corrected south of MInkivka where Ukrainian positions remain in some strongpoints which the Russians are actively assaulting. Russian forces are also trying to infiltrate from Minkivka to the Siverskyi Donets Canal.
+ ~6.80 km² in favour of Russia.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10'
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