We will probably see some Iranian ballistic missile launches to Israel in the next few hours.

More than 36,000 American citizens have fled the Middle East and returned to the U.S. since the beginning of the war with Iran.

A new wave of Israeli airstrikes is targeting several towns in southern Lebanon, including Tebnine, Chehabiyeh, Jouaiyya, Tyre, and Jezzine.

A U.S. C-17 Globemaster military transport aircraft was seen flying over the UAE in the direction of Iran on Flightradar24. Earlier, it was seen squawking 7700 - an emergency code.

It has since turned off its transponder.

Israeli airstrikes have also targeted the city of Khiam (where heavy fighting recently took place with Hezbollah) and the town of Jouaiyya, southern Lebanon, as well as parts of the eastern Bekaa Region of Lebanon.

Apologies, there was no airstrike on southern Beirut. I read "southern Lebanon" as "southern suburb" for some reason.

Since the beginning of the new Israeli invasion of Lebanon, 2 IDF soldiers have been confirmed killed and another 13 injured.

A Hezbollah drone is entering northern Israeli airspace.

Interception attempts

The drone was shot down by an interceptor missile.

I recently gained over 100,000 new followers on Twitter and 10,000 new subscribers on Telegram. Because of this, I will clear some things up for or all my new followers who see "Pro-Ukr" in my bio and immediately think I'm some sort of Pro-Ukrainian propagandist who thinks Russia has lost millions of soldiers.

I am what I'd consider a "traditional Pro-Ukrainian", as in what the movement was supposed to be about in early 2022. I support Ukraine's fight against a great power actor (Russia) trying to further its own interests, however that now extends to the US trying to sacrifice an entire generation of Ukrainian men for their own strategic interests.

I am a big advocate for individual sovereignty of nations and independent foreign policy, and support Ukraine being a neutral state, away from powers like Russia and the US (although, I acknowledge that in an inherently anarchic world system, you cannot be truly sovereign without possessing nuclear weapons).

But the war in Ukraine has long been lost. My stance since the beginning was that Ukraine should be able to determine its own future free of western or Russian interference and influence.

The modern Pro-Ukrainian movement has completely moved away from its 2022 roots that I've stuck with, and can now be described as a movement centred around simply being anti-Russian, focusing on killing as many Russians as possible rather than saving Ukrainian lives, while promoting Europe's maximalist demands (in a strategic sense, not a moral one) to end the war.

Any person who knows how power politics, war, and more specifically wars of attrition works understands that it is physically impossible for Ukraine to win the war, unless there is some extraordinary internal collapse within Russia. Ukraine cannot win militarily for many reasons that I could write for hours about, but the main one is simple and constantly overlooked: manpower shortages. This cannot be replaced by anything, even drones, despite Ukraine's strategic adaptations made with manpower shortages in mind.

So, taking that into consideration, I firmly support peace negotiations in Ukraine, even if that means Ukraine ceding territory in return for peace. With the outcome of this war effectively set in stone, the continuation of fighting will only result in more death and destruction for a result that will be the same if successful negotiations took place today.

But unfortunately, the US will not let that happen, as Ukraine fighting Russia temporarily overextends Russia, allowing for things like the overthrow of Assad, the war on Iran, and a renewed focus on countering the rise of China and Chinese influence, to take place in this Western-manufactured window of opportunity.

So for now, I wish all soldiers and civilians the best and pray that the war will end soon with as minimal casualties and destruction as possible. I hold these stances because I truly care about Ukraine, Ukrainians, and Ukraine's future. Modern Pro-Ukrainian "activism" online seems to be mainly centred around killing as many Russians as possible, which only results in Ukraine suffering even more for the exact same outcome.

I hope this clears some things up.

Ballistic missile launches from Iran to central Israel

~5 mins until sirens

Arrow-3 launches from Israel. They are trying to shoot them down over Jordan

2-3 minutes

Sirens in Amman, Jordan.

Alerts soon

Sirens in central Israel

Interceptor launches from Palmachim airbase, central Israel

Expansion of alerts to Tel Aviv