AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

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AMK Mapping
In preparation for the next combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine, which I warned about yesterday, Russian An-72, An-148-100 and An-26 cargo planes landed at Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast, and Baltimore Airbase, Voronezh Oblast, delivering Iskanderโ€ฆ
From approximately 12am to 6am on the morning of February 21, Kyiv time (approximately 41 hours from now), Russia will likely carry out another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine, primarily targeting Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast.

This is the attack that I have been warning about for the last 2 days. As I have already stated, it will not involve Tu-95MS or Tu-160M strategic bombers.

So what will be used?

- At least 3 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers. 3 of these were equipped with Kh-22/32 cruise missiles at Shaykovka Airbase, Kaluga Oblast, as I reported earlier. They may redeploy back to Olenya Airbase in the next 24 hours.

- At least a dozen Iskander-M ballistic missiles. These were delivered to Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast, Baltimore Airbase, Voronezh Oblast, and delivered to OTRK installations in Kursk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and Bryansk Oblast. There were also likely deliveries to Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, however it is unclear if these will be used in this upcoming attack.

- Likely 16-24 Kalibr cruise missiles from 3 surface Kalibr carriers at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

- Possibly Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles from MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.

The primary target will be energy infrastructure Kyiv Oblast. The highest threat is to the CHP-5, CHP-5 and CHP-6 combined heat and power plants, the "Kyiv" 750 kV substation, and Trypillya Thermal Power Plant. Targets in other regions will probably also be hit - likely in Dnipropetrovsk and/or Kharkiv Oblasts.
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Ukrainian FPV drone strikes from the 412th Unmanned Systems Brigade on two Russian Tor-M2 short-range air defence systems.
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The Ukrainian Ratel H ground-based robotic complex have been equipped to launch FPV drones. This video shows one system automatically opening a cell and launching a fibre-optic FPV drone.

The Ratel H can carry and launch up to 4 FPV drones of various types. With a range of up to 60 km, these systems can provide Ukrainian drone operators with safer conditions without significantly reducing the range of the FPV drone.
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Russia attacked the of Slovyansk area of Donetsk Oblast with at least 4 KAB glide-bombs this morning.

One of the strikes was with a KAB-250, and targeted the town of Bylbasivka, just west of Slovyansk. This strike was filmed and adjusted by a Russian reconnaissance drone.
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Russia and Iran carried out joint naval exercises in the Gulf of Oman today.

Iranian Rear Admiral Hassan Maqsoudlou characterised the exercises as a conveyance of "peace and friendship to regional countries" aimed at "preventing any unilateral action in the region".
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New Chinese satellite imagery shows 18 U.S. Airforce F-35 fighter jets and 6 E/A-18G electronic warfare aircraft stationed out in the open at Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan.
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AMK Mapping
From approximately 12am to 6am on the morning of February 21, Kyiv time (approximately 41 hours from now), Russia will likely carry out another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine, primarily targeting Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. Thisโ€ฆ
Considering the fact that the preparations for this upcoming combined missile attack are effectively complete, it's also possible that the attack will occur tonight between 12am and 6am. I will keep an eye on the situation and provide updates if necessary.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท An Iranian surveillance drone has been launched from the highlighted region.
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At least 6 Russian Smerch MLRS rockets struck Kherson City Centre overnight.
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โ€”โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท BREAKING: An American attack against Iran is imminent, it could happen within the next 72 hours โ€“ Sources

@Middle_East_Spectator
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I'm hearing it could happen even as soon as tonight or tomorrow evening.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Meer)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Footage showcases two U.S. Air Force E-3 Sentry AWACS spotted flying over Tel Aviv minutes ago, en route to Prince Sultan Air Base, Saudi Arabia.

@wfwitness
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Forwarded from Suriyakmaps (Suriyak)
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With the agreement in the north, attention returns once again to Suwayda, where, following the fall of the SDF, the Druze have lost Damascus's power of containment over the south, now only prevented by the Israeli threat of reprisals in the event of a new massacre like the one in July against the Druze and Christian population.
Although the population of Suwayda is largely opposed to the Damascus authorities, it is possible that an agreement similar to that of the SDF will be implemented in Suwayda, leaving the National Guard Forces as the โ€˜Asayishโ€™ of the south in exchange for the symbolic entry of the MOI into Druze territory and its strategic areas in coordination with a normalisation agreement with Israel (cession of the Golan Heights and demilitarisation of the south).
This would prevent a new massacre and officially (though not formally) end the first Syrian civil war.
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Middle East Spectator โ€” MES
โ€”โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท BREAKING: An American attack against Iran is imminent, it could happen within the next 72 hours โ€“ Sources @Middle_East_Spectator
Update: I have also received information that the U.S. attack on Iran will likely take place in the next 72 hours, and that Iran is planning to carry out ballistic missile attacks during this period too.

Still treat all of this as unconfirmed, though.
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Iskander on Voznesensk, Mykolaiv Oblast, from Crimea
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AMK Mapping
Iskander on Voznesensk, Mykolaiv Oblast, from Crimea
Explosion in Voznesensk
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