Israeli fighter jets have entered Lebanese airspace. An Israeli reconnaissance drone is currently circling over Ain Qana.

Three Israeli airstrikes have targeted the town of Kfar Tibnit, southern Lebanon.

One Israeli airstrike also targeted Ain Qana, southern Lebanon.

The IDF claims that the target of the airstrikes were weapons warehouses used by Hezbollah.

Most/all of the Tu-95MS landed at Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, with none flying to Engels-2 Airbase. 7 were redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase in total.

That being said, this next attack will likely take place either tonight or tomorrow night. The highest threat is to Kyiv Oblast, Lviv Oblast, Volyn Oblast, Ternopil Oblast, and Zhytomyr Oblast. Other areas in central Ukraine may also be targeted.

Two explosions were heard in Sumy City from Russian Iskander-M strikes.

Two Iskanders were launched from the area of Tomarovka, Belgorod Oblast, and impacted a target somewhere south of Sumy City.

Deepstate has finally admitted the fall of Toretsk.

The next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine will likely take place tonight.

In the image, there are two Tu-95MS strategic bombers equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. These are currently in the air, redeploying to Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.

The number of Tu-95MS at Olenya is being clarified, but it's somewhere between 7 and 10. 1 other Tu-95MS stationed at Engels-2 Airbase is also equipped with missiles.

Additionally, 2-4 Tu-160 strategic bombers have likely been equipped with missiles at Belaya Airbase.

Furthermore, two surface-carriers have reportedly been equipped with 16 Kalibr cruise missiles at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

Image credit: @eRadarrua.

Iskander from Belgorod to Sumy Oblast.

Flying past Hrabovske/Krasnopillya

Disappeared near Krasnopillya, Sumy Oblast.

There was activity on one of the frequencies used by Russian strategic aviation, further suggesting the next attack will indeed take place tonight.

I don't know which frequency this was as I didn't hear anything on the ones I'm currently monitoring. It sounds like it was a combat-related frequency, rather than communications to command and control in Moscow, although this isn't confirmed yet.

The two Tu-95MS pictured in the above image are approaching Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, for landing, where they will join the other strategic bombers stationed there.

There are also 6 MiG-31K fighters stationed at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. They were last seen inside their concrete hangars. There is currently no reliable information suggesting they will be used tonight.

So far, the main threat is from Kh-101 cruise missiles, Kalibr cruise missiles, Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and Kh-59/69 cruise missiles.

Currently there are only ~12 Geran-2/Gerbera drones detected in Ukrainian airspace.

Considering the fact that most strategic bombers are concentrated in western Russia, any mass-launches of Gerans probably wont take place for at least 5 hours.

Currently, a minimum of 8 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are ready for the next missile attack on Ukraine.

This includes:
- 5 Tu-95MS at Olenya Airbase.
- 2 Tu-95MS at Dyagilevo Airbase.
- 1 Tu-95MS at Engels-2 Airbase.

Also, as I mentioned earlier, there is a possibility of 2-4 Tu-160M strategic bombers being used from Belaya Airbase in the far east. If this is the case, these bombers will already be airborne right now, but without being detected yet.